bishbish777 Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 I'm not too familiar with the weather dynamics in this area...would you guys say that for tomorrow nights system, that the precip is usually modeled too far south? Or, another way to say, that the bands usually set up farther north than modeled? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 And sticking 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 8 Blocking, blocking, and more blocking. Looking more likely every day this is going to last for a long time. Can we pull off January though? 5 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Day 9'er 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post joelgombiner Posted November 30, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Thought we were totally warm-nosed, and then... 10 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Really interesting to see some of the temps up north in Bellingham and down south in Tacoma currently reaching near 40 and this small are in central Puget Sound under heavy precip staying around freezing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 minute ago, bishbish777 said: I'm not too familiar with the weather dynamics in this area...would you guys say that for tomorrow nights system, that the precip is usually modeled too far south? Or, another way to say, that the bands usually set up farther north than modeled? Tomorrow is a different setup. It will focus on the south puget sound more. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Just now, bishbish777 said: I'm not too familiar with the weather dynamics in this area...would you guys say that for tomorrow nights system, that the precip is usually modeled too far south? Or, another way to say, that the bands usually set up farther north than modeled? With a band like that, they often push a bit further north than modeled. 6 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawksfan2008 Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 minute ago, bishbish777 said: I'm not too familiar with the weather dynamics in this area...would you guys say that for tomorrow nights system, that the precip is usually modeled too far south? Or, another way to say, that the bands usually set up farther north than modeled? Generally if they move it’s north, but not a sure thing. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Meatyorologist Posted November 30, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Roads are covered and everything. Getting heavier. Unbelievable turn of events! I had no expectation of a changeover, let alone stickage! Evaporative cooling is crazy sometimes! 11 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: Tomorrow is a different setup. It will focus on the south puget sound more. Thank God. One more night like this would kill me. I know I should just walk away from the forum tonight. You know how that goes though. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, bishbish777 said: I'm not too familiar with the weather dynamics in this area...would you guys say that for tomorrow nights system, that the precip is usually modeled too far south? Or, another way to say, that the bands usually set up farther north than modeled? It will trend north. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Strong, cold east wind Saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 OTH-SEA +10.2 1 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Just when I thought it was over, temps dropped and now it's snowing. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Hawksfan2008 said: Generally if they move it’s north, but not a sure thing. The precip shield tends to extend farther north than anticipated. The bulk of the precip will be south most likely. This could easily change lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bueryan Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Hard rain here still in Burien. Hoping I get in on the action, but I'm on the border of the cold air. Hard to go to bed right now. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 32.8. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Day 10 Another cold, deep trough 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: Thank God. One more night like this would kill me. I know I should just walk away from the forum tonight. You know how that goes though. Not feeling great about tomorrow when I see how weird tonight turned out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 minute ago, MossMan said: It will trend north. Us southsiders also need snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: Roads are covered and everything. Getting heavier. Unbelievable turn of events! I had no expectation of a changeover, let alone stickage! Evaporative cooling is crazy sometimes! I think the warmest sector has already moved through. The next two days should be pretty much all snow for whatever falls. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, Requiem said: I assume (no Weatherbell... yet) that the relative silence regarding southern snow maps means King EURO wasn't too nice to us... It was not nice to us. Total nonevent The big difference between this and the GFS is just how much drier the euro is. Most of the precip never makes it inland. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 What a f*cking roller coaster of a storm. Just when we gave up hope, pointed out where models went wrong, and then temps drop and WSW issued. Best start to winter ever. 8 My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Fun model riding continues until further notice! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: The precip shield tends to extend farther north than anticipated. The bulk of the precip will be south most likely. This could easily change lol A tad north extension would probably help us. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The snow has been very light here for the last hour despite the radar showing much heavier precip over us. I think the warm nose aloft might be moving into my area now. Disregard this update... dumping snow again. 5 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: You have no right to complain. No, but I do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said: It was not nice to us. Total nonevent The big difference between this and the GFS is just how much drier the euro is. Most of the precip never makes it inland. Just beyond frustrating. I'm definitely trying to be as optimistic as possible to not rain on our northern neighbors' parade but this is a pretty aggravating start to the season. 4 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BurienSnowGlobe Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Starting to stick on Dearborn St. in Seattle IMG_3724.MOV 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Nice band aimed right @ Seattle. Could get some crazy returns 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 30, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Power finally went out. 7 2 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Nice band aimed right @ Seattle. Could get some crazy returns I live under that pink wedge south of I-90. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xfkirsten Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Somehow made it through the Kraken game without losing power (and boy, that was certainly... a game...) and it looks like, in the meantime, the precip turned over to a mix. Looks like maybe there may have even been some sleet at one point, my deck is covered in chonky pellets. Nothing really seems to be accumulating at all in the lower elevations in Redmond, though a quick look at the traffic cams shows you only have to go up a couple hundred feet, tops, to see a lot more piling up. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 To clarify the situation... that band tomorrow night is not really a different feature. Its just the current band lifting a little north again but with colder air aloft coming back in late tomorrow afternoon. 4 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Under a winter storm warning for heavy snow, while the overnight point forecast calls for rain with a steady temperature around 41. 3 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 This is just crazy, just when I thought it was over, it was. 2 1 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: Not feeling great about tomorrow when I see how weird tonight turned out. Way colder air mass tomorrow night. Moisture is pointed at us too. WSW flow aloft with cold enough air aloft is golden for us. Tonight went as I expected it would. The thing that kills me is it's colder here than places getting snow. When the 925mb temps fall a bit more we could catch something late tonight. In short though...I hate it here in this pattern. Tomorrow night is way different. 5 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post selkirks Posted November 30, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 Now all snow near U-Village. Very heavy. 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawksfan2008 Posted November 30, 2022 Report Share Posted November 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Disregard this update... dumping snow again. Radar is really filling for us. Let’s go! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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