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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember


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1 minute ago, Requiem said:

Just beyond frustrating. I'm definitely trying to be as optimistic as possible to not rain on our northern neighbors' parade but this is a pretty aggravating start to the season. 

Frustrating indeed but you know the drill. Snow is never a slam dunk around here. 

If it is any consolation, the euro seems to be the only model that is that dry right now. The GEM, GFS and even UKMET are much wetter. A 60-70 mile shift eastward and there would be a lot more juice to work with on the euro. Wouldn't take a dramatic change. 

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1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Way colder air mass tomorrow night.  Moisture is pointed at us too.  WSW flow aloft with cold enough air aloft is golden for us.

Tonight went as I expected it would.  The thing that kills me is it's colder here than places getting snow.  When the 925mb temps fall a bit more we could catch something late tonight.  In short though...I hate it here in this pattern.  Tomorrow night is way different.

Agreed it’s frustrating. Sitting at 32.5 degrees and just freezing rain/slush. 

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7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I think the warmest sector has already moved through.  The next two days should be pretty much all snow for whatever falls.

Nope, the sector is sitting in my front yard and he says he's not leaving until tomorrow night

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Just now, joelgombiner said:

Under a winter storm warning for heavy snow, while the overnight point forecast calls for rain with a steady temperature around 41. image.thumb.png.2c5125b820fa4fc309d56aa8e29a6023.png

Haha, I noticed this too. Perhaps the night shift hasn’t gotten around to updating the forecast portion. I seem to be currently under one of the heavy bands - absolutely dumping. Looking forward to some of those returns in the Olympia area working their way north. What a ride!

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1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Way colder air mass tomorrow night.  Moisture is pointed at us too.  WSW flow aloft with cold enough air aloft is golden for us.

Tonight went as I expected it would.  The thing that kills me is it's colder here than places getting snow.  When the 925mb temps fall a bit more we could catch something late tonight.  In short though...I hate it here in this pattern.  Tomorrow night is way different.

925 temps are slowly rising and then will fall later tomorrow afternoon.    We also have a period of southerly wind coming up too.    But tomorrow night we have 925 temps falling again and light wind.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Us southsiders also need snow😂😂

Home Alone Reaction GIF by 20th Century Fox Home EntertainmentI want it ALL!! I NEED IT ALL! I am slightly obsessed. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Still dumping snow here in Ravenna. Extremely wet snow. 

What an unexpected turn of events!

E781B111-FB38-4B5B-9758-500F2AEC5D80.jpeg

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2022-23 Winter:

11/29: .25" + 1" = 1.25" | 11/30: .25"

12/2: .2" + .5" = .7" | 12/3: .2" | 12/4: trace

12/18: .4" | 12/19: .2" + .8" = 1.0" | 12/20: .2 + 1.5" = 1.7

1/31: trace | 2/14: trace | 2/22: .2 | 2/26: 1.0"

Total: 6.7"

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1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Precip will be over though.

Precip never really ends... and when the main band comes back north tomorrow night the south wind is gone.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, Winterdog said:

Nope, the sector is sitting in my front yard and he says he's not leaving until tomorrow night

It's been a while since I was this angsty over snow. January 2020, February 2021, December 2021, and even February 2022 were all decent to pretty good up here while February 2019 was okay totals, but below average compared to the rest of the area. So it really hasn't been since the dreadful 2012-2018 period that I felt like my location was cursed.

Hopefully I can scrape something out of the next week or so of cold temperatures.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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Current outage update. Looks like our family lake house is in the dark, they must have gotten a great burst of heavy wet snow. 

1F57292B-A00F-4CA1-9B45-9DA413B06D4B.jpeg

4186112B-BD32-4002-A3D1-9F601C241C4C.png

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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2 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Should have taken Tim’s advice and slept 10 hours last night 😂 

And tomorrow night will be the same thing all over again!  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Should have taken Tim’s advice and slept 10 hours last night 😂 

Tonight I have a miserable mix of anger and excitement.  Won't sleep well.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Just now, bishbish777 said:

FWIW (probably not much..), 06Z HRRR is looking really dry for tomorrow night. Definitely much drier than its own 00Z run and way drier than GFS. Tomorrow seems interesting, placement and QPF really variable between the models.

Screw that model.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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26 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Way colder air mass tomorrow night.  Moisture is pointed at us too.  WSW flow aloft with cold enough air aloft is golden for us.

Tonight went as I expected it would.  The thing that kills me is it's colder here than places getting snow.  When the 925mb temps fall a bit more we could catch something late tonight.  In short though...I hate it here in this pattern.  Tomorrow night is way different.

Move to the King/Snohomish county line. Trust me you will not regret it. Overperformed in Feb 2019, January 2020, Feb 2021, and now tonight. Literally an over performing event every year for the past 4 years. Was only supposed to get 4 inches tonight according to the Euro and I’m almost at 6 now!

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2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats

Total Snowfall - 0.75”

Max Snow Depth - 0.5”

Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13)

Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13)

Number of Freezes - 48

Sub-40 highs - 12

Highs 32 or lower - 3

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