November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, Jginmartini said:

 

to me looks kind of like this action

[Weiner Warrior]

Still coming down. 32.5 degrees

[LowerGarfield]

Coworker of mine in Warrenton (Clatsop County, OR near Astoria) says it has been snowing at her house but not sticking.

[T-Town]

37 now. We’re wasting valuable snow falling as rain!!

[bainbridgekid]

2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Stevens Pass ski area will open Friday

So is Snoqualmie. They got 18” yesterday.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

Still coming down. 32.5 degrees

Where in Seattle are you?  I think my son at UW is looking to go for a snow drive.  

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

Are these bands the source of the predicted possible snow tonight, or is there going to be some other feature later on?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Where in Seattle are you?  I think my son at UW is looking to go for a snow drive.  

I would guess he’s in Bellevue near Cougar Mountain.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Temp is @ 32/33. Just need a slight drop to get major stickage! 

[Doinko]

11 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

The low is diving south too far offshore.

No kidding! I don't envy any meteorologist trying to forecast where it will, or might snow over the next 48-72 hours! There will be many fluctuations made with short-term fine tuning needed by the hour in some cases.

A compromise between the GFS and Euro would probably be okay for Portland

[GHweatherChris]

ummmm, which one is correct......  I mean they look kinda similar but still very different.

Edited November 30, 2022 by GHweatherChris

[MWG]

8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

LOL I needed this laugh today. High temp for today was 52!! like wtf 

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I would guess he’s in Bellevue near Cougar Mountain.

Ahhh... his location says Seattle.

Of course my goofy user name implies I live at SeaTac.   

[TacomaWx]

6 minutes ago, T-Town said:

37 now. We’re wasting valuable snow falling as rain!!

My brother is at home right now and says it’s mostly snow there. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

ummmm, which one is correct......  I mean they look kinda similar but still very different.

The UW is a composite... so there is often overlap between radars which can make precip look more than each individual radar.    I think the top image is just the coastal radar.  

But now I see the issue is the opposite.    Maybe the top one is the composite version of the coastal radar and that version always shows more precip than the standard one.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Probably last photo before the band ends!

[GHweatherChris]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

The UW is a composite... so there is often overlap between radars which can make precip look more than each individual radar.    I think the top image is just the coastal radar.  

I get that, just comparing my little spot on each map and the difference in echoes is quite different.

[T-Town]

Flakes mixing in now.  Watching a transition from rain to snow is one of my favorite weather dork things. 

[Kolk1604]

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Temp is @ 32/33. Just need a slight drop to get major stickage! 

Down to 35 here, but still raining 

[Phishy Wx]

warm nose is a bastard.  oh what could've been. Euro/Canadian blend was right after all. Kudos to the NWS last night at least in the Spokane metro area. looking like 6-8"ish will be it for this round, already starting to settle and compact.  mostly melted off driveway where I plowed and trees. They probably didn't need to extend the WSW and I wouldn't be surprised if it gets dropped or changed to an Advisory later, secondary and neighborhood streets are a mess

[TT-SEA]

Just now, GHweatherChris said:

I get that, just comparing my little spot on each map and the difference in echoes is quite different.

Yeah... updated my post.   I see the issue is the opposite.   The top one shows much more precip for you.   

[Requiem]

Seems like for a little silver lining models are a little more robust with snow showers down here into Thursday. Could see some spots with accumulation, I'm sure...

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, Phishy Wx said:

warm nose is a bastard.  oh what could've been. Euro/Canadian blend was right after all. Kudos to the NWS last night at least in the Spokane metro area. looking like 6-8"ish will be it for this round, already starting to settle and compact.  mostly melted off driveway where I plowed and trees. They probably didn't need to extend the WSW and I wouldn't be surprised if it gets dropped or changed to an Advisory later, secondary and neighborhood streets are a mess

Did u end up staying and canceling your work trip?

[Phishy Wx]

35 and very light non accumulating snow

[Cloud]

6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

ummmm, which one is correct......  I mean they look kinda similar but still very different.

Both are correct? NWS shows coastal radar... which would make it miss some echos over inland. 

This one shows it looks very similar to the UW radar. 

https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOm51bGwsImNlbnRlciI6Wy0xMjEuOTcsNDYuNzMyXSwibG9jYXRpb24iOm51bGwsInpvb20iOjd9LCJhbmltYXRpbmciOmZhbHNlLCJiYXNlIjoic3RhbmRhcmQiLCJhcnRjYyI6ZmFsc2UsImNvdW50eSI6ZmFsc2UsImN3YSI6ZmFsc2UsInJmYyI6ZmFsc2UsInN0YXRlIjpmYWxzZSwibWVudSI6dHJ1ZSwic2hvcnRGdXNlZE9ubHkiOmZhbHNlLCJvcGFjaXR5Ijp7ImFsZXJ0cyI6MC44LCJsb2NhbCI6MC42LCJsb2NhbFN0YXRpb25zIjowLjgsIm5hdGlvbmFsIjowLjZ9fQ%3D%3D

[Phishy Wx]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Did u end up staying and canceling your work trip?

Yep, this is way better than Houston lol

[Doinko]

4 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Seems like for a little silver lining models are a little more robust with snow showers down here into Thursday. Could see some spots with accumulation, I'm sure...

Could be some last minute surprise or something for Friday night but obviously that's a very low chance

[SnowySeeker50]

Dropped from 39 to 33 in the last hour and just transitioned to rain/snow mix at the bottom of the hill

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Both are correct? NWS shows coastal radar... which would make it miss some echos over inland. 

This one shows it looks very similar to the UW radar. 

https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOm51bGwsImNlbnRlciI6Wy0xMjEuOTcsNDYuNzMyXSwibG9jYXRpb24iOm51bGwsInpvb20iOjd9LCJhbmltYXRpbmciOmZhbHNlLCJiYXNlIjoic3RhbmRhcmQiLCJhcnRjYyI6ZmFsc2UsImNvdW50eSI6ZmFsc2UsImN3YSI6ZmFsc2UsInJmYyI6ZmFsc2UsInN0YXRlIjpmYWxzZSwibWVudSI6dHJ1ZSwic2hvcnRGdXNlZE9ubHkiOmZhbHNlLCJvcGFjaXR5Ijp7ImFsZXJ0cyI6MC44LCJsb2NhbCI6MC42LCJsb2NhbFN0YXRpb25zIjowLjgsIm5hdGlvbmFsIjowLjZ9fQ%3D%3D

I am gonna go with the NWS one and pretend it is snowing when it is not 

[SouthHillFrosty]

[dhoffine]

Deleted the WSW message, Frosty already posted it :)

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Seems like for a little silver lining models are a little more robust with snow showers down here into Thursday. Could see some spots with accumulation, I'm sure...

With thicknesses dropping to around 521-523dm and a few little embedded disturbances and light gradients, pretty much anyone could see a little something tomorrow morning or Thursday night.

[Kolk1604]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

You beat me to it! 

[weatherweenie]

1 minute ago, SnowySeeker50 said:

Dropped from 39 to 33 in the last hour and just transitioned to rain/snow mix at the bottom of the hill

My doorbell cam shows that it just started to snow in Lakeland Hills...

[Requiem]

Just now, Doinko said:

Could be some last minute surprise or something on Friday night but obviously that's a very low chance

This isn't the Friday situation-- obviously lots to resolve with that low. This accumulation is solely hit or miss with that wave of moisture arriving tonight.

[snow_wizard]

Snowing pretty good here.  The wind shifted enough to bring some of the cold air from the North Bend area in here.  Currently 34.

ECMWF shows a nice amount of moisture over the next several hours.

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Phuck, they couldn't leave it alone could they.

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Will the night shift crew cancel this?! Stay tuned for the next episode of "What's going on at the NWS Seattle Center?" 

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

With thicknesses dropping to around 521-523dm and a few little embedded disturbances and light gradients, pretty much anyone could see a little something tomorrow morning or Thursday night.

A half inch to an inch would be really nice

[TT-SEA]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Snowing pretty good here.  The wind shifted enough to bring some of the cold air from the North Bend area in here.  Currently 34.

ECMWF shows a nice amount of moisture over the next several hours.

I don't think that is what happened.   We mixed out entirely earlier today.   The cold air is moving in again from the NW now.