Deweydog Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 1 minute ago, TacomaWx said: Looks like some typical model waffling on this morning’s runs. Got down to 42 this morning to start November off. 3 4 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Sunny here this morning... 4 6 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post RentonHill Posted November 1, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 GEFS 850s at hr 150 continue to improve 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Model suite still looks good for at least somebody, esp at elevation. Andrew, y’all got a truck to go up to the mtns? 3 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 35 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I would be just fine with a Dec 2021 repeat. I had around 20 inches at my place. Was amazing. I’m at 600 feet and feeling slightly optimistic about next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Gfs is coming to its senses. 2 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: I had around 20 inches at my place. Was amazing. I’m at 600 feet and feeling slightly optimistic about next week. Consistent line of showers dropped 10” total over 3 straight nights in onshore southerly flow snow hahaha. 2 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 18 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: I feel like that's more of end of winter thing. I liked where the 00z Euro was going and I'm hoping it trends colder The way the models look now, that pattern is going to be one that will struggle to push the continental air south with much efficiency. North and higher elevations are your best bet. Maybe things will shift for the better still. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darrington Troll Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Almost believable for the Darrington area…not excited about those highs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 1 hour ago, administrator said: Nice Think MILD and RAIN! C'MON! 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: The way the models look now, that pattern is going to be one that will struggle to push the continental air south with much efficiency. North and higher elevations are your best bet. Maybe things will shift for the better still. Yea definitely best to keep expectations in check…atleast for another few days as we get closer with the model runs. If set up was just a few weeks later it would be an absolute slam dunk though just harder to pull off so early in the season. Need more things to go right for it to work out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 48 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I would be just fine with a Dec 2021 repeat. Last December was great! I ended up with a foot of snow on the ground and lows in the single digits. Not gonna happen in early November. 2 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 I'll take it for early November. some sub freezing highs in there next week 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 GEFS has Portlands coldest 850mb temps of the next 10 days occurring the next couple mornings. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 13 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Gfs is coming to its senses. I look forward to the 18z showing subpolar conditions throughout the region. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: GEFS has Portlands coldest 850mb temps of the next 10 days occurring the next couple mornings. Thanks TIM 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 GFS is outputting fringy a** temps but showing snowfall. Call me a skeptic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Yea definitely best to keep expectations in check…atleast for another few days as we get closer with the model runs. If set up was just a few weeks later it would be an absolute slam dunk though just harder to pull off so early in the season. Need more things to go right for it to work out. Yep. Some people north of say Olympia will probably see some snow out of this. Maybe even a little continental air makes it out of the Fraser gap next week. Strong north wind with arctic air sweeping down through Puget Sound? Probably not. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Thanks TIM This is Tim’s burner account. Realistic but unpopular weather commentary. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: GFS is outputting fringy a** temps but showing snowfall. Call me a skeptic. Won't stop the masses from panicking about snow because their phone shows a snowflake. 43/34 be dammed, it's gonna snow! 6 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, Cloud said: GFS is outputting fringy a** temps but showing snowfall. Call me a skeptic. Skeptic. 2 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 My 10-day forecast looks more sloppy than deep freeze. Hey, it’s only early November, I’ll take it! 4 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 And we're off! Where's Rob? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 The latest weekly SST departures are: Niño 4 -1.1ºC Niño 3.4 -1.0ºC Niño 3 -1.0ºC Niño 1+2 -1.8ºC 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 13 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Yep. Some people north of say Olympia will probably see some snow out of this. Maybe even a little continental air makes it out of the Fraser gap next week. Strong north wind with arctic air sweeping down through Puget Sound? Probably not. Probably a bit 2017-like. Maybe even 1973 if you wanna go old skool, but probably won't be that significant. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 1 minute ago, BLI snowman said: Probably a bit 2017-like. Maybe even 1973 if you wanna go old skool, but probably won't be that significant. I was thinking the same thing. This has an early November 2017 feel to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Just got off a conference call with Judah C, Cliff M, and Joe Z, all are in agreement that there is nothing much here and we are in the throws of a GFS fever dream. It'll be nice to get some much needed rain and as it wont really get below freezing for more than six hours, I don't have to cover my tomatoes. Its a win-win-win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, administrator said: Just got off a conference call with Judah C, Cliff M, and Joe Z, all are in agreement that there is nothing much here and we are in the throws of a GFS fever dream. It'll be nice to get some much needed rain and as it wont really get below freezing for more than six hours, I don't have to cover my tomatoes. Its a win-win-win! These posts got old like a year ago. 6 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 11 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: I was thinking the same thing. This has an early November 2017 feel to it. I remember a pretty decent Spokane snow in December 17 I think. had just moved here and hadn't driven in snow in about 10 years prior at that point. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 (edited) 7 minutes ago, administrator said: Just got off a conference call with Judah C, Cliff M, and Joe Z, all are in agreement that there is nothing much here and we are in the throws of a GFS fever dream. It'll be nice to get some much needed rain and as it wont really get below freezing for more than six hours, I don't have to cover my tomatoes. Its a win-win-win! And the Seahawks will not win another game this season and the Broncos will run the table and will be headed to the Super Bowl. It’s a dark day all around. 1991/92 here we come!!! Let’s Ride!! Edited November 1, 2022 by MossMan 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 16 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Probably a bit 2017-like. Maybe even 1973 if you wanna go old skool, but probably won't be that significant. I’d gladly take something like November 2017 again. It wasn’t much snow…but if something similar to that happens again it would be one of the more epic seasonal transitions. From 80-90 degrees and smoke to upper 30s and some snow just a couple weeks later. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: These posts got old like a year ago. He’s probably right, though. No lowland snow south of Mossman! Us northerners will be posting snow pix and you will be stuck in the sad lands with nothing more than cold rain yet again. Cheer up. It could be worse. You could live in Eugene and not see sticking snow for the next four or five years. 2 1 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 19 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Probably a bit 2017-like. Maybe even 1973 if you wanna go old skool, but probably won't be that significant. 73 was pretty legit here. 32F high with almost a foot of snow and lows in the mid 20s. Even YYJ picked up a few inches at sea level. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, MossMan said: And the Seahawks will not win another game this season and the Broncos will run the table and will be headed to the Super Bowl. It’s a dark day all around. 1991/92 here we come!!! Let’s Ride!! Split flow will dominate from now until May. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 cansips updated today. Looks good. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 45 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Yep. Some people north of say Olympia will probably see some snow out of this. Maybe even a little continental air makes it out of the Fraser gap next week. Strong north wind with arctic air sweeping down through Puget Sound? Probably not. Slow bleeds of cold air out of the Fraser always work out best for me anyway, if you'll allow me a brief moment of greediness. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Just now, North_County said: Slow bleeds of cold air out of the Fraser always work out best for me anyway, if you'll allow me a brief moment of greediness. As I observed a few days ago, the most important weather is always the weather that happens in your own backyard. 7 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 1 minute ago, North_County said: Slow bleeds of cold air out of the Fraser always work out best for me anyway, if you'll allow me a brief moment of greediness. Yea. Stalled arctic fronts with weak outflow are often the biggest snow makers here 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Hard to believe it’s already November! 1 1 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Hard to believe it’s already November! Winter cancel 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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