Iceresistance Posted November 1, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 18 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: You're far away from any large bodies of water. I know, but the storm system that could cause heavy rainfall for my area has been trending 30-50 miles east in the past several runs. EDIT: Oh wait, I read it wrong! 1 1 Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I’ll just be happy to see our first freeze. When and if that happens… I was living in PDX in 2008. That year, the first freeze and first snow happened on the same morning. 1 1 2 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 3 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Sunny here this morning... Love those colors!!! Had a low of 42 and currently 49er 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 1 hour ago, Iceresistance said: Prepare for the Siberian Express! Siberian Express has such a lovely ring to it It also goes great with cocoa 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 850s appear to be a little colder on the 12z compared to 00z 6 2 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Hoping for record snowfall in Portland. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I’ll just be happy to see our first freeze. When and if that happens… Until then my Banana trees continue to grow !!! I bought a single small plant years ago to accent a little pond. Now their taking over my yard! Next year I need to thin the herd. 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 17 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: I was living in PDX in 2008. That year, the first freeze and first snow happened on the same morning. That's what happened here in December 2016... Almost unimaginable we could go that long without a freeze, but things turned out just fine. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Looks like it's currently 42 at home with a high so far today at midnight of 44. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 The Control wants to triple this by the 10th 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Until then my Banana trees continue to grow !!! I bought a single small plant years ago to accent a little pond. Now their taking over my yard! Next year I need to thin the herd. Both banana AND palm trees! A Phil-approved garden! 1 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: The Control wants to triple this by the 10th This is quite an impressive mean. Wow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Both banana AND palm trees! A Phil-approved garden! Everything was so small when I put them in…..work a few shifts, raise a child and poof! Didn’t totally think this one through 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 24 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Siberian Express has such a lovely ring to it It also goes great with cocoa lol of course that was yesterday's model on crack 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 14z Peruvian has everything sliding east. Judah was right again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: lol of course that was yesterday's model on crack All the best runs involve drugs, alcohol, inhalants, or hallucinogens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 As it currently stands with the models, next Tuesday's total lunar eclipse will be impossible (between midnight-5am).... but we'll take some snow in its place! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 3 hours ago, FroYoBro said: These posts got old like a year ago. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 25 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Until then my Banana trees continue to grow !!! I bought a single small plant years ago to accent a little pond. Now their taking over my yard! Next year I need to thin the herd. lol that looks like my folks backyard in South Carolina 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: All the best runs involve drugs, alcohol, inhalants, or hallucinogens. indeed they do 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 27 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That's what happened here in December 2016... Almost unimaginable we could go that long without a freeze, but things turned out just fine. Our roses were in full bloom when it started snowing on 12/4/16. 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 11 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: All the best runs involve drugs, alcohol, inhalants, or hallucinogens. I just smoked some PCP, so the 18z is going to be AMAZING! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 7 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Looking over the past years of analytics, October 31st was the business day the forum has seen in an October since 2017 and the second busiest October day of all time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Our roses were in full bloom when it started snowing on 12/4/16. I found some quite tasty blackberries still on the vines during the snow of November 2010. They were growing in our wood pile and must have been slightly protected, but it was still a unique sight to see. 1 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: I just smoked some PCP, so the 18z is going to be AMAZING! Get a huff of DMT smoked through a broken mercury thermometer and you'll have forecasting skillz on par with the Panasonic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 18 minutes ago, administrator said: 14z Peruvian has everything sliding east. Judah was right again. iFred? 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Our roses were in full bloom when it started snowing on 12/4/16. Last year we didn’t freeze until 12/25 as well. 2008,2016 and 2021 were all exceptionally late first freezes that proceeded very good winters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 16 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: I just smoked some PCP, so the 18z is going to be AMAZING! Hey, that's nothing. The Druncle puts that on his Corn Flakes© in the morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 18z is running…hopefully we continue to have really good control/ensemble runs. The EPS mean is really good…doesn’t even seem possible that there could be such support on the ensembles for this. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Druncle is loading up his bong as we speak 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 2008 had a fairly early (By recent standards) freeze in much of the Willamette Valley with that trough around Indigenous People's Day. But after that we torched until December. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 33 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: lol of course that was yesterday's model on crack I’ve got this….I pretty good about not trusting any model until after an event unfolds! Then…only then will I be onboard and yield to the excitement! 2 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 2008 had a fairly early (By recent standards) freeze in much of the Willamette Valley with that trough around Indigenous People's Day. But after that we torched until December. I would say that worked out pretty well. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 11 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Last year we didn’t freeze until 12/25 as well. 2008,2016 and 2021 were all exceptionally late first freezes that proceeded very good winters. SEA's average first freeze is about Nov. 14/15 and it looks like the it could be around Nov 9/10 this year per the models so it wouldn't exactly be out of the ordinary. In fact, I think that's probably quite normal and due given how late the first frost/freeze were last few years. Snow however before Nov. 17 is quite rare. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Just now, Sonny Summers said: I would say that worked out pretty well. It did. I would say, December 2008 is the GOAT Event of the 21st Century even down to about Salem, though 2016-17 was probably the best overall winter of the Century for Salem. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Phantom snowstorm on the gfs already with temps in the upper 30s and DPs in the mid 30s 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 11 minutes ago, Cloud said: SEA's average first freeze is about Nov. 14/15 and it looks like the it could be around Nov 9/10 this year per the models so it wouldn't exactly be out of the ordinary. In fact, I think that's probably quite normal and due given how late the first frost/freeze were last few years. first freeze is like 2.5 weeks late or something over here. I've had multiple frosts IMBY, but no official freeze yet that I'm aware of 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Bueryan Posted November 1, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 Longtime lurker here... I figured it was a good time to check-in for the first time this year. Glad to see old friends. I've got my saddle ready for the model riding this week. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2022 Report Share Posted November 1, 2022 GFS throws us about 2.75" in a 24-hour period ending Saturday afternoon. Watching tomorrow morning, if we have precip around it will at the very least be mixed with snow. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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