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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember


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18 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

You're far away from any large bodies of water.

I know, but the storm system that could cause heavy rainfall for my area has been trending 30-50 miles east in the past several runs.

EDIT: Oh wait, I read it wrong! 😳

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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850s appear to be a little colder on the 12z compared to 00z

7E20592D-3C5F-4059-A7F1-BA40D589D89B.png

E3CF8614-E074-446E-BD1A-C3A167D2E37D.png

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2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats

Total Snowfall - 0.75”

Max Snow Depth - 0.5”

Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13)

Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13)

Number of Freezes - 48

Sub-40 highs - 12

Highs 32 or lower - 3

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25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’ll just be happy to see our first freeze. When and if that happens…

Until then my Banana trees continue to grow !!! I bought a single small plant years ago to accent a little pond.  Now their taking over my yard! 
Next year I need to thin the herd.  

353D8B6E-1829-4C58-8A57-E5A4F6297B76.jpeg

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17 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I was living in PDX in 2008. That year, the first freeze and first snow happened on the same morning.

That's what happened here in December 2016... Almost unimaginable we could go that long without a freeze, but things turned out just fine. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Looks like it's currently 42 at home with a high so far today at midnight of 44. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Until then my Banana trees continue to grow !!! I bought a single small plant years ago to accent a little pond.  Now their taking over my yard! 
Next year I need to thin the herd.  

353D8B6E-1829-4C58-8A57-E5A4F6297B76.jpeg

Both banana AND palm trees! A Phil-approved garden!

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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25 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

Until then my Banana trees continue to grow !!! I bought a single small plant years ago to accent a little pond.  Now their taking over my yard! 
Next year I need to thin the herd.  

353D8B6E-1829-4C58-8A57-E5A4F6297B76.jpeg

lol that looks like my folks backyard in South Carolina

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27 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That's what happened here in December 2016... Almost unimaginable we could go that long without a freeze, but things turned out just fine. 

Our roses were in full bloom when it started snowing on 12/4/16.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Guest administrator

Looking over the past years of analytics, October 31st was the business day the forum has seen in an October since 2017 and the second busiest October day of all time.

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7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Our roses were in full bloom when it started snowing on 12/4/16.    

I found some quite tasty blackberries still on the vines during the snow of November 2010. They were growing in our wood pile and must have been slightly protected, but it was still a unique sight to see.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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4 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

I just smoked some PCP, so the 18z is going to be AMAZING!

Get a huff of DMT smoked through a broken mercury thermometer and you'll have forecasting skillz on par with the Panasonic.

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2008 had a fairly early (By recent standards) freeze in much of the Willamette Valley with that trough around Indigenous People's Day. But after that we torched until December. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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11 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Last year we didn’t freeze until 12/25 as well. 2008,2016 and 2021 were all exceptionally late first freezes that proceeded very good winters. 

SEA's average first freeze is about Nov. 14/15 and it looks like the it could be around Nov 9/10 this year per the models so it wouldn't exactly be out of the ordinary. In fact, I think that's probably quite normal and due given how late the first frost/freeze were last few years. 

Snow however before Nov. 17 is quite rare. 

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Just now, Sonny Summers said:

I would say that worked out pretty well.

It did. I would say, December 2008 is the GOAT Event of the 21st Century even down to about Salem, though 2016-17 was probably the best overall winter of the Century for Salem. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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11 minutes ago, Cloud said:

SEA's average first freeze is about Nov. 14/15 and it looks like the it could be around Nov 9/10 this year per the models so it wouldn't exactly be out of the ordinary. In fact, I think that's probably quite normal and due given how late the first frost/freeze were last few years. 

first freeze is like 2.5 weeks late or something over here.  I've had multiple frosts IMBY, but no official freeze yet that I'm aware of

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GFS throws us about 2.75" in a 24-hour period ending Saturday afternoon. 

Watching tomorrow morning, if we have precip around it will at the very least be mixed with snow. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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