Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 GFS/GEFS definitely develop an impressive low level cold pool Gorge/Columbia Basin that strengthens late week. ECMWF/EPS also does but not as cold 925s. Given the model trends and trough holding over us through Day 3 I would favor a cold pool and period of gusty east winds for sure. 00z ECMWF in 7 hours 14 minutes 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 6, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 This is a extremely rare snow event for so early up here. By tomorrow most places will have between 12-24 inches on ground and that will be the deepest this early since I've been coming here in 2013. 8 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said: This is a extremely rare snow event for so early up here. By tomorrow most places will have between 12-24 inches on ground and that will be the deepest this early since I've been coming here in 2013. Congrats man!!! 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 1 hour ago, Doinko said: Zoomed in on the field but I can't get the pics to flip. Hope you can read what some kid wrote even if it is upside down: 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Not much happening over here on the other side of the mountain. Few sprinkles and 44 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 1 minute ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said: Zoomed in on the field but I can't get the pics to flip. Hope you can read what some kid wrote even if it is upside down: I will neither confirm nor deny that it was me!!! 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 1 minute ago, Eujunga said: Up to 1.00" of rain on the day! I'm more excited about this than I was a few snowflakes. I got shadowed on the AR event but did fine with this one. Nice! 0.90" here so precip rates are definitely playing a big role today. 1 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SimplySmoothWX Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said: Zoomed in on the field but I can't get the pics to flip. Hope you can read what some kid wrote even if it is upside down: it says ''YOUR MOM'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 52 minutes ago, Perturbance said: Snow still falling at my place. 32.9°. Fantastic What elevation is this? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 The 18z has shaved about 1C off the 850s and 925 for tonight in this area. Pretty good chance there will at least be some flakes here. 4 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Sunny and 46F here. Snowfall warning issued for tonight through Tuesday morning. 2-6” 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The 18z has shaved about 1C off the 850s and 925 for tonight in this area. Pretty good chance there will at least be some flakes here. Hoping the over performance in the South Valley could mean a better chance here 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The 18z has shaved about 1C off the 850s and 925 for tonight in this area. Pretty good chance there will at least be some flakes here. Gfs overall looks better tomorrow night in terms of precip and temps but wouldn’t surprise me to see some flakes tonight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 3 (Past 8 runs) Shows even better here the trough holding over us. This is starting to show up in colder min temps for this area on the 18z GFS. Looking really nippy some days. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, Doinko said: Hoping the over performance in the South Valley could mean a better chance here I'm pretty shocked how cold it is down your way today. 2 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Gfs overall looks better tomorrow night in terms of precip and temps but wouldn’t surprise me to see some flakes tonight. Tonight is the better bet for me it would appear. Moisture struggles to get this far north tomorrow night. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I'm pretty shocked how cold it is down your way today. Certainly west of I-5. East of I-5 is cool but not nearly as cold. 1 1 3 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 The difference in 925s tomorrow night GFS vs ECMWF is ridiculous. Not sure what to make of that. GFS is about -4 and ECMWF +1 or +2. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Certainly west of I-5. East of I-5 is cool but not nearly as cold. It's that easterly pressure gradient. 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I'm pretty shocked how cold it is down your way today. Yep it's only 39-40 right now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: It's that easterly pressure gradient. Yup, that's why this is a shitty location for snow more than people think. We've gotten really lucky in the last decade. 1 1 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: It's that easterly gradient. Usually I thinkthat easterly gradient warms us up downsloping off of the west hills but today I guess it didn't make much of a difference. Not sure if it helps or hinders us during snow events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Just now, Doinko said: Usually I thinkthat easterly gradient warms us up downsloping off of the west hills but today I guess it didn't make much of a difference. Not sure if it helps or hinders us during snow events. Depends on the time of year or day. If this had come in at night or one week later we would be in business. Just unlucky this time. 2 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: Depends on the time of year or day. If this had come in at night or one week later we would be in business. Just unlucky this time. Surprised it isn't warming up really. Has been 39-40 for the past few hours without any precip at all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Tonight is the better bet for me it would appear. Moisture struggles to get this far north tomorrow night. Remains to be seen if the overall over performance down in Oregon will bode well for us later on…maybe the models are running 1C warmer than reality at 850/925mb. Could also be that was just due to the easterly gradient helping out the west valley and wouldn’t have any meaning for us. Right now I tend to think it was just the right set up for them down there and won’t mean anything for us and we just end up with cold rain for the most part…or maybe some brief non accumulating wet snow at best. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Gradient Keeper Posted November 6, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 This does not look like early November, but dang it sure is pretty. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Cold Snap Posted November 6, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 My flight is supposed to get in from Phoenix around 10:40 pm. I’m really hoping I can get back and see some flakes fall at least. Meanwhile having a great time at the Seahawks Cardinals game! 13 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Wtf. It’s still going. 3 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Just now, Omegaraptor said: Wtf. It’s still going. How much have y’all gotten so far? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Just now, Omegaraptor said: Wtf. It’s still going. Is it sticking? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 1 minute ago, Doinko said: Is it sticking? On pavement no. Most grass/natural surfaces are white. Probably a few tenths of an inch on those surfaces. 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Nothing to see over here. Basic November weather. Need one of those bomb cyclones that happened Turkey day a few years ago. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Hillsboro is still at 39 degrees 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Finally starting to get some light rain 50F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Pretty awesome to see snow this early in the season down in the south valley. Fairly historic event for most down there (and don’t worry TWL you’ve made it very clear you aren’t seeing anything and we all need to pity you) The front was pretty dynamic moving through the Portland area this morning. Sharp wind shift to the NW and the temperature dropped from 47 degrees around 8am to 37 degrees around 11am. Still holding at just 41. 5 1 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 Just now, Cascadia_Wx said: Pretty awesome to see snow this early in the season down in the south valley. Fairly historic event for most down there (and don’t worry TWL you’ve made it very clear you aren’t seeing anything and we all need to pity you) The front was pretty dynamic moving through the Portland area this morning. Sharp wind shift to the NW and the temperature dropped from 47 degrees around 8am to 37 degrees around 11am. Still holding at just 41. Currently 36 in Eugene, 34 in Corvallis, 37 in Salem. Pretty good stuff for peak daytime heating. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 16 minutes ago, MWG said: Finally starting to get some light rain 50F. Hope you can get some snow soon!! 2 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Currently 36 in Eugene, 34 in Corvallis, 37 in Salem. Pretty good stuff for peak daytime heating. 42F for a high here. Not too shabby for Nov 6. Currently 38F with some light rain. 1 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Cats Meow Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 Does anyone know if the cold air bypassed Western Washington? Strange pattern with snow in Oregon and colder temps there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 The latest runs are indicating SEA may not reach 50 again until at least the 15th. That is quite impressive for this early in the season. 1 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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