Snownerd3000 Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z GFS shows basically no precipitation for the next 16 days for western WA except for a quick hitting snowstorm next Thursday. Makes perfect sense... very typical November with lots of sun and an occasional snowfall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 1 hour ago, MossMan said: I remember one fairly quick icing event in my area and that might have been it! Couldn’t remember how regional it was. For some reason my weather memory between 2000 and 2005 is not there. Yeah, I've only seen two freezing rain events up here in the last twenty years. One was during December 2008 when we picked up maybe 0.1" on top of our already bountiful snowpack and one must have been in 2004 when maybe it was up to 0.25" or something. Or maybe less, I just remember it not being particularly significant. 1 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 Obviously, it is time to panic. The GooFuS says it will be dry for 16 days, and the GooFuS is always dead-on accurate 10+ days out. 1 2 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z GFS shows basically no precipitation for the next 16 days for western WA except for a quick hitting snowstorm next Thursday. Makes perfect sense... very typical November with lots of sun and an occasional snowfall. Crazy, I wonder if this coming winter retains the -EPO pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 Excited for upcoming European run! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 41 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: My brother lives in Granite Falls. He had a pretty significant ice storm in January 2012. He had to remove some trees that were permanently damaged. I'm not sure how widespread the ice storm was that year. Interesting, I didn’t realize that! I know places south of Lynnwood had some icing with massive icing the further south (and east I think) you got. We stayed all snow at my old location west of Smokey Point. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 Tomatoes are holding up 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 wind kept us from bottoming out. got down to 23 at the house. was suppose to drop to 15. Maybe tonight will be less windy and we can plummet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 First freeze of the season here at 32 degrees. Could potentially pull off our earliest sub 30 low I’ve recorded in the next couple days…current record is 11/16. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 36 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z GFS shows basically no precipitation for the next 16 days for western WA except for a quick hitting snowstorm next Thursday. Makes perfect sense... very typical November with lots of sun and an occasional snowfall. La Nino it's a thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Interesting, I didn’t realize that! I know places south of Lynnwood had some icing with massive icing the further south (and east I think) you got. We stayed all snow at my old location west of Smokey Point. I was surprised he got ice rather than snow. Many areas got a decent snowfall with the storm. He is usually more likely to get snow. It was a strange storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 got down to 24.6 last night, currently 34. 3 Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 GEFS looking good for that block to develop 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 PDX up to 39. 1 1 3 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 8 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: wind kept us from bottoming out. got down to 23 at the house. was suppose to drop to 15. Maybe tonight will be less windy and we can plummet Felts Field dropped down to 18. The current dp is 21. The NWS has fog in the forecast. You'll likely be colder tomorrow morning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 High November moon angles doing their thing. 3 1 1 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 2 hours ago, MossMan said: I remember one fairly quick icing event in my area and that might have been it! Couldn’t remember how regional it was. For some reason my weather memory between 2000 and 2005 is not there. Haha, you're not missing much!! 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Phil Posted November 9, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 Hey all. Wow it’s been a ride. Long story short, last week I had a bad reaction to a medication and nearly died. I just got out of the hospital a few days ago. Not 100% back yet, but am grateful to still be here after a stretch of bad luck so prolific it almost has to be scripted by the cosmos. Love all u crazies. Grateful to be given another chance to track what should be an endless barrage of blizzards and arctic fronts this winter. 16 1 6 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: High November moon angles doing their thing. I will have to apply my moonblock lotion before I go out tonight. Wouldn't want to get moonburn. 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Hey all. Wow it’s been a ride. Long story short, last week I had a bad reaction to a medication and nearly died. I just got out of the hospital a few days ago. Not 100% back yet, but am grateful to still be here after a stretch of bad luck so prolific it almost has to be scripted by the cosmos. Love all u crazies. Grateful to be given another chance to track what should be an endless barrage of blizzards and arctic fronts this winter. Sorry for the stretch of luck and glad to see you still kicking. You're back just in time for the Nov 1985's younger less potent brother to kick in. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Phil Posted November 9, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 There is a cluster of (extended) EPS members going for a very cold pattern in the West towards the holidays. Enough that it shows up in the ensemble mean both at 500mb and 850mb/2m temperatures. Way out there but interesting nonetheless. 10 3 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 Unlike the GFS and GEM, the 12z Euro is nowhere near a cold outcome for us. Just a big fat ridge. 2 1 1 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 Low temp 26.6 hard freeze! 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 Doesn't look like we'll have a day at or above a high of 38-40 degrees in the next ten days. I'm going to an Idaho Vandals game on Saturday. While I think football was meant to be played outside, I am so glad it will be inside this week. That's why we try to go to early season Cougars games. 2 Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: I will have to apply my moonblock lotion before I go out tonight. Wouldn't want to get moonburn. November Wind angles did there thing here. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 27 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Unlike the GFS and GEM, the 12z Euro is nowhere near a cold outcome for us. Just a big fat ridge. And that's what will happen, I'd bet me left shoe, maybe my right one too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 I don't know, there is potential here and all 3 models show basically the same strong ridge going into AK. Lots to get down in the details but the overall pattern of strong ridge and almost a N S shot right from the Arctic to NW is present. It could be but could also be amazing. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 That trough right above Alberta in the last frame also has some potential to pay us a visit. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Phil Posted November 9, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 Ok then. 10 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 1 hour ago, MossMan said: Interesting, I didn’t realize that! I know places south of Lynnwood had some icing with massive icing the further south (and east I think) you got. We stayed all snow at my old location west of Smokey Point. I remember 2012 and 1996(?). In 2012, I was living in Bellevue, just next to the Microsoft campus. We were just on ZR/GR/SN line, with a coworker in Seattle getting snow, DT Bellevue getting graupel, and Renton south getting freezing rain. Bonney Lake was hit hard with nearly every parking lot tree seeing some damage and some stands of cottonwoods getting shredded. My parents lost power for a day and all of the remaing snow had been glazed over. 1996 was the big one, but I can't find much (I'm not looking that hard, so that might be the problem), but I do remember that Bonney Lake had a couple inches of ice, with branches and power lines down everywhere. I think that was the same storm where the Everett marina collapsed. As for the topography, on a macro scale it could work, at least Tacoma to Stanwood, where marine or continental influence isn't as direct. The valleys though, like the Snohomish, Green River, and Snoqualmie, would get wrecked, and with some of the new transmission lines up since 1996, I'd expect it'd be crippling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Ok then. mini 85 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 2012 was a fun one. Was living in West Seattle at the time. The forecast was for a shot of snow then a quick warm-up to mild rain. I woke to rain on the morning of the 12th, but oddly, things didn’t look like they were melting out there. Stepped out the front door and was greeted by still-frigid temperatures and the distinctive sound raindrops make as they freeze on impact. North of about Downtown Seattle it stayed as snow basically throughout the whole event. 5 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 Winds kept SEA from reaching the freezing mark this morning... 33. Not so much at BFI and it got down to 30. First frost and freeze. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 12 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: 2012 was a fun one. Was living in West Seattle at the time. The forecast was for a shot of snow then a quick warm-up to mild rain. I woke to rain on the morning of the 12th, but oddly, things didn’t look like they were melting out there. Stepped out the front door and was greeted by still-frigid temperatures and the distinctive sound raindrops make as they freeze on impact. North of about Downtown Seattle it stayed as snow basically throughout the whole event. I remember it started drizzling here during the afternoon with a temp in the upper teens and I told my wife this is going to be bad. Woke up the next morning to no power and what sounded like gunshots outside every few minutes which was branches breaking off the trees in the forest behind our house. 4 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TT-SEA Posted November 9, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 Some pics from January 2012... before the ice storm when we were buried in snow and then after the ice storm. 13 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 January 2012 was a really solid event…10.5” of snow that month but the snow depth only got to about 8” at its peak. Then we had 1” of freezing rain fall. This is the only ice storm I’ve seen in my life besides some minor ice accumulation in 2008 IIRC. It was crazy how much ice accumulated on everything and some of the damage to trees in my nieghboorhood is still visible today. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 I don’t have many pics from the 2012 event since that was right before I switched to the IPHONE. Had a Samsung that met it’s demise and everything in it. But I do have this pic of my old Jetta! That was a fun week! 7 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Sonny Summers Posted November 9, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said: High November moon angles doing their thing. I remember posting on The Western Weather Forums back in 2007. I think my screen name was Purcell Trench or something like that. You and I had a bit of a tussle in 2009. I didn't post much after that. I joined the new forum in 2016 as snow drift. I posted here and there. You and I, for whatever reason, have never gotten along. I can't figure out what your problem is. I don't have any problem with you. If I have wronged you in the past, please forgive me. I just want to live at peace with everyone. I think I may mostly lurk from now on. I'll view the site solely for information, because it is such a great resource. I hope you have a great winter and you get a healthy dose of snow and cold. ❄🌬 snow drift 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 Think tonight is the night for cold. Winds have finally died off, clear skies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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