Jump to content

November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember


Iceresistance

Recommended Posts

The ECMWF certainly shows some inversionary cold in the day 5 day 6 time frame.  Perfect surface pressure gradient.

  • Like 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, NWbyNW said:

Not sure why air quality is so poor over the PNW.  Is it because of an inversion or something?

There is some wildfire smoke in Western Oregon but it's pretty light. 

image.thumb.png.37e28ddfaa7e78862296279b2ed104c6.png

 

There is an inversion.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, umadbro said:

Get used to inversions and glancing blows for the winter. Maybe quick half inch snow falls that quickly transition to ZR for a short time then to rain. I’d be shocked if anything notable happens this winter. 
 

and no, that’s not based on recent model runs.

I doubt it.  There will certainly be periods like you are talking about, but the blocking should move around.  We just had a pretty epic trough after all.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

It's a bummer the 00z GFS Op run was yet another outlier, because this would have been some cold, windy fun!
 

https://a.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/2022111100/images_d2/slp.183.0000.gif

https://a.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/data/2022111100/images_d2/kpdx.180.0000.snd.gif

It could still happen.  I think the GEM has shown similar.  

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 degrees in Waterville.  One of the most incredible microclimates in the state.

  • Shivering 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z ECMWF Day 1-8 slight improvement?

floop-ecmwf-2022111100.500h_anom_na.gif

Yup.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

31 degrees.  This cold snap is really doing well.

  • Shivering 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Night shift folks?

  • Excited 1
  • Shivering 3

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Jeez. I don't know what's more fun. The 00z model runs tonight or stepping in dog shit barefoot. It's kind of a toss-up at this point, but I will closely evaluate the pros and cons, negatives or benefits of each with a side by side statistical comparison, graphs, artistic display, and full report later.

  • Excited 1
  • lol 1
  • Popcorn 3
  • Sick 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Jeez. I don't know what's more fun. The 00z model runs tonight or stepping in dog barefoot. It's kind of a toss-up at this point, but I will closely evaluate the pros and cons, negatives or benefits of each with a side by side statistical comparison, graphs, artistic display, and full report later.

I look forward to your thorough analysis 

  • lol 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Jeez. I don't know what's more fun. The 00z model runs tonight or stepping in dog barefoot. It's kind of a toss-up at this point, but I will closely evaluate the pros and cons, negatives or benefits of each with a side by side statistical comparison, graphs, artistic display, and full report later.

The only thing I'll say is that, yes, the runs look like garbage right now. But in my untrained eye they also don't look that stable meaning that I wouldn't put too much stock on them holding on without some surprises down the road.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Dave said:

The only thing I'll say is that, yes, the runs look like garbage right now. But in my untrained eye they also don't look that stable meaning that I wouldn't put too much stock on them holding on without some surprises down the road.

Oh yeah, I agree. They aren't that bad. If the ridge offshore 'merges' sooner with the Aleutian ridge the evolving monster block would do so further west and the cut-off/kona low would be shunted further too. Likely? No. Probable? Maybe. It's not impossible.

6z GFS in 1 hour 39 minutes

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wow!  10 in Omak and 2 in Winthrop right now.  The low in Winthrop was -5.  Straight up impressive for this time of year.

  • Like 3
  • Shivering 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I assume there is snow on the ground in both places. I feel like an idiot typing that. 🥸

Yeah...they had a lot of snow.

  • Snow 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I ended up with 46/30 for Thursday.  Chilly.

  • Shivering 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We briefly hit 32F for freeze #3.

  • Shivering 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Cross-Cascade gradient

1.png

  • Like 2
  • Windy 2

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

×
×
  • Create New...