This is the part of the pattern that can put a dent in the ongoing drought and will likely produce alot of damaging storms. Here's some thought from Gary Lezak as this is by far the most exciting stretch of weather in this years pattern and he thinks 3-5 inches of rain over the next 10 day is certainly possible for the KC area.
Weather 2020
Well, here we are almost 45-days after the strongest and most deadly severe weather outbreak in this year's LRC, March 12-14, and around 135 days after the other big winter outbreak in this part of the LRC, December 9th.
Gary Lezak
@glezak
Do you remember this day in the previous cycle? 3 people were killed in western Ohio. This part of the pattern is cycling back through, one of our signature long-range predictions, in the next six days! If you know the LRC, then you know it is due around 4/28
Seems silly. 60s with a low dewpoint is not stressful for anyone at any time. People live in that temperature indoors all winter. So when it gets to 45 in Minneapolis in February its a heat risk?
2 months from now it wouldn’t, though. Climatology is factored in.
For instance, the first hot pattern of summer is often harder on the general population, since people aren’t acclimated yet.