November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[FroYoBro]

Getting pretty windy out there. Gusts to around 30 mph.

[Mr Marine Layer]

29 minutes ago, Dave said:

I'll hook you up. Would you like to give him a facepalm, wiener, or a barf dude? 

Barf 

[Terreboner]

The inversion is real over here.  Just got home and the Davis says we got up to a boiling 30.0 today.

[MossMan]

52 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

95 wasn't a great year if I recall for the PS area. 

Great windstorm in December which included a little snow afterwards if I remember correctly! Then January had a lovely blast! 

[NWbyNW]

If it is not smoke, it's something else.  We cannot escape bad air quality this year.  The sky is looking quite smoggy around the foothills and AQI's are dropping around the Lower Mainland BC and northwestern Washington.  Looking pretty gross.

 

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

22 minutes ago, Terreboner said:

The inversion is real over here.  Just got home and the Davis says we got up to a boiling 30.0 today.

And 60 degrees in parts of the mid-Willamette valley today. Crazy stuff. Much more seasonable to the north and south though. 51/29 spread so far here, down to 50 now.

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

If it is not smoke, it's something else.  We cannot escape bad air quality this year.  The sky is looking quite smoggy around the foothills and AQI's are dropping around the Lower Mainland BC and northwestern Washington.  Looking pretty gross.

 

 

Yeah it almost looked like October again this morning while on I-5 driving south from Mt Vernon. Lots of people burning their wet crap in this area yesterday it seemed like. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Moving to Buffalo. BRB!

[Snownerd3000]

21 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Great windstorm in December which included a little snow afterwards if I remember correctly! Then January had a lovely blast! 

I was only 11 but can't remember it. Maybe the epicness of 96 dwarfed it in my memories

[Terreboner]

Might get some "fake" phantom snow flurries later as the inversion strengthens overnight due to the low level northerly upslope.   Temp is plummeting already, just looked and it says 28.1

[BLI snowman]

18z GFS eye candy for Portland flood enthusiasts (i.e. Joshua). Don't think I've ever seen modeled amounts that high...

 

[Gradient Keeper]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

18z GFS eye candy for Portland flood enthusiasts (i.e. Joshua). Don't think I've ever seen modeled amounts that high...

 

It would be weird if we were to see a repetitive pattern of ARs followed by cold troughs throughout November and December.

00z GFS in 3 hours 35 minutes

[SilverFallsAndrew]

8 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

18z GFS eye candy for Portland flood enthusiasts (i.e. Joshua). Don't think I've ever seen modeled amounts that high...

 

I like the 48 hour map too. 

[Deweydog]

Gorgeous day!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

SLE hit 60 today, already down to 54, it drops quick this time of year. 60/29 today. Good for a -1.5 departure. November climo sucks. 

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I like the 48 hour map too. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

High of 23 in Burns...

[HuskyMaestro]

Loved the fog this morning. Is there any town/place in Western WA where the fog gets to be heavy Silent Hill-like fog where you can’t see past 100 feet? I’ve never experienced it but I’d love to wake up in that atmosphere in a cozy cabin. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Thank you @RentonHillTC for this!!!
 

I’m going to try and find a good place to set this up. Unfortunately there really aren’t a lot of unobstructed places I can put these except the roof. And our house is on a brick foundation so it will fall apart completely when the big earthquake hits.

At the very least I will get another digital reading besides just the one on the PWS (which I hope isn’t broken).

Our yard is in bad shape. Despite the house being worth over half a million, we have kids and have gotten them a lot of stuff over the last few years. Since I don’t know when I’m gonna die then I just want to make sure that I’m able to give them as much happiness as possible during the few times I get to see them down here. 
 

This is all 4 directions of where I could set up the rain gauge. Andrew did a good job setting up the PWS on the roof.

 

North

 

East

 

South

West

[TacomaWx]

49/36 today. We’re running -3.7 so far this month. The temps haven’t been crazy but it’s been consistently colder than normal this entire month. Not really a fan of the inversion pattern though just eventually turns into nasty smog. 

[Dave]

9 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Thank you @RentonHillTC for this!!!
 

I’m going to try and find a good place to set this up. Unfortunately there really aren’t a lot of unobstructed places I can put these except the roof. And our house is on a brick foundation so it will fall apart completely when the big earthquake hits.

At the very least I will get another digital reading besides just the one on the PWS (which I hope isn’t broken).

Our yard is in bad shape. Despite the house being worth over half a million, we have kids and have gotten them a lot of stuff over the last few years. Since I don’t know when I’m gonna die then I just want to make sure that I’m able to give them as much happiness as possible during the few times I get to see them down here. 
 

This is all 4 directions of where I could set up the rain gauge. Andrew did a good job setting up the PWS on the roof.

 

North

 

East

 

South

West

Sweet! Looking forward to the results

BTW, have you been betting on college hoops? Your screen seems a bit sus.

[snow_wizard]

I ended up with 54/26 today.  First time it has gotten to 50 in many days.  The east wind made an attempt to get in here, but it was apparently short lived.

[snow_wizard]

11 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

49/36 today. We’re running -3.7 so far this month. The temps haven’t been crazy but it’s been consistently colder than normal this entire month. Not really a fan of the inversion pattern though just eventually turns into nasty smog. 

I think I'm running around -5 to -6 for the month to date.  39.8 average so far.

[snow_wizard]

Models are in good agreement for the strong MJO wave to move into region 7 late this month.  Get the cold weather gear ready.

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

SLE hit 60 today, already down to 54, it drops quick this time of year. 60/29 today. Good for a -1.5 departure. November climo sucks. 

Don’t worry Andrew I’m sure PDX isn’t done with 60 degree days this month either 

[Mr Marine Layer]

???

[Dave]

2 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

???

Wieners incoming for everyone. Lots of them. I'm pretty hungry though.

[snow_wizard]

The ECMWF shows another week of cold nights for many locations.  The CAA coming up will mix the atmosphere a bit, but after that it shows things really decoupling.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

19 minutes ago, Dave said:

Sweet! Looking forward to the results

BTW, have you been betting on college hoops? Your screen seems a bit sus.

College hoops is so chaotic that it's tough to bet on. Plus I would never do that because I will always maintain the integrity of college hoops in my mind. If you're gonna bet on anything it should mostly be pro player props.

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Moving to Buffalo. BRB!

Seems like they get one of these every few years.

[jcmcgaffey]

9 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Seems like they get one of these every few years.

A big time Great Lake effect snow storm is on my top 10 weather experiences.  

[MossMan]

2 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Moving to Buffalo. BRB!

Perhaps this will lead to an epic event here in a few weeks like what happened in 2006! 

[Mr Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Moving to Buffalo. BRB!

Lots of snow

[Poulsbo Snowman]

28 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

College hoops is so chaotic that it's tough to bet on. Plus I would never do that because I will always maintain the integrity of college hoops in my mind. If you're gonna bet on anything it should mostly be pro player props.

The sportsbook at the Suquamish casino is about 5 minutes from my house.  During the NCAA tourney last March, I won about 300.00 there.  Lots of fun.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, Poulsbo Snowman said:

The sportsbook at the Suquamish casino is about 5 minutes from my house.  During the NCAA tourney last March, I won about 300.00 there.  Lots of fun.

Oh trust me, I would probly have made tens of thousands last year on the season but I can't justify it in my mind for everything these basketball programs have all done for me.

[TacomaWx]

49 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I think I'm running around -5 to -6 for the month to date.  39.8 average so far.

Mean temp here is 42.0…overnight lows have been in the mid 30s mostly for the last week so the negative departures haven’t been significant. 

[The Blob]

Windy at work

[Winterdog]

Not quite as cold as yesterday at this time but still a chilly 34 after a high of 44.  Looking for another low in the 20's tonight.  I've got a good chance to break my 30 year record of 16 freezes in November since I'm sitting at 11 now. 

[Doinko]

GOA waters are much cooler than they were a few weeks ago

[Phil]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

Models are in good agreement for the strong MJO wave to move into region 7 late this month.  Get the cold weather gear ready.

Keep in mind the pattern response to maritime continent forcing in Nov/Dec is very different vs mid/late winter.

[Meatyorologist]

6 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Anyone have any tips for getting soap scum off bathroom tile?

How would that impact our winter weather prospects?

[Meatyorologist]

[The Blob]

15 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

How would that impact our winter weather prospects?

Vinegar?

[TacomaWx]

19 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

How would that impact our winter weather prospects?

He’s probably gonna say something along the lines of “I last deep scrubbed the soap scum out of the bathroom floor in early December 2021 ” 

[TacomaWx]

45 here…not nearly as chilly as this time the last few nights. 

[MossMan]

This winter will be the equivalent to this Love Boat episode! You’re welcome. 

 

[LowerGarfield]

Outside it is 26F. 

[LowerGarfield]

10 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This is just ugly. Thank God it's a map for November 27th, not December 27th.

I'm going to get weenied for this but it's ok to root for good weather on Wed 23rd and Nov 27th...think of the travelers. I am traveling this year, but so are many others.

Edit: that sounds really snide but I promise it is ugly. Just prefer to travel with good weather.

[AlTahoe]

1 hour ago, jcmcgaffey said:

A big time Great Lake effect snow storm is on my top 10 weather experiences.  

Considering what reed has been through that is saying alot about a major lake effect storm

 

 

[LowerGarfield]

20 minutes ago, MossMan said:

This winter will be the equivalent to this Love Boat episode! You’re welcome. 

 

You mean it will get horrible ratings and moved to Paramount + after the first three or four episodes?