November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[RentonHill]

3 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Why is it so much lower quality on here? SMH

Maybe these will show up

[Deweydog]

Just now, RentonHillTC said:

I think my uncles consignment store was right there. Hope it doesn’t turn into anything too serious! Are you worried?

Nah. The wind laid down tonight and the topography near town helps out a lot. Gradients look weaker tomorrow.

[ShawniganLake]

18 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Sitting at a nippy 30 degrees already tonight.  Tomorrow will be 9 freezing mins in a row for MBY.

Wow. Crazy. Through yesterday Shawnigan Lake had only officially had 3 freezes so far this fall. And just looking at recent years that’s fewer than 2017, 2019, and 2020. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

10 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

I’ve had 2-3” of rainfall in mine before and had it freeze solid and it’s never broken.  I’m not saying I would recommend it but they are pretty tough.  I was out of town for a week before the February 2019 blast and thought for sure it would be wrecked when I got home, but it was fine. 

I’ve broken multiple rain gauges by letting water freeze in them.

[Gradient Keeper]

Laying here on the couch and the wind is nuts. Strongest of this east wind event. Corbett new peak gust 69mph, Crown Point 79mph. It's raging outside right now so loud! PDX-DLS also now -8.6mb new peak gradient. At 10 PM pressure at The Dalles was supposed to be 1040mb, but was 1042.8mb and it's still rising. The gradient is forecast to weaken substantially from 4 AM through 7-9 PM before it ramps up significantly Thursday morning through Friday midday. WRF 4km sounding over PDX shows a bunch of 50kt wind barbs just off the surface. Could be an east wind storm east of I-205.

[RentonHill]

Last year was nuts. I can’t even imagine seeing this on a 10 day ensemble mean chart. And it was less than  year ago! Newborn will really mess your mind up

[SouthHillFrosty]

18 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Last year was nuts. I can’t even imagine seeing this on a 10 day ensemble mean chart. And it was less than  year ago! Newborn will really mess your mind up

I would settle for a rain/snow mix this year tbh 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z WRF-GFS 1.33km hi-res for 12 AM forecast The Dalles at 1040mb, but currently at 1043.7mb. Whoops! PDX-DLS -8.8mb

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z WRF-GFS 1.33km hi-res for 12 AM forecast The Dalles at 1040mb, but currently at 1043.7mb. Whoops! PDX-DLS -8.8mb

Under-modeling of basin surface pressures during cold pool setups is practically a given.

[Gradient Keeper]

Just now, Deweydog said:

Under-modeling of basin surface pressures during cold pool setups is practically a given.

Yep. Time and time again. The wind is fun right now and sneaking outside it's roaring. I can hear occasional bursts aloft too. The joys of living east of I-205.

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Yep. Time and time again. The wind is fun right now and sneaking outside it's roaring. I can hear occasional bursts aloft too. The joys of living east of I-205.

I’m just fine being on the periphery. Don’t think I’d enjoy what can be week+ stretches of 35-45 mph gusts 24 hours a day.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Re-cap. 10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, 10 Day Rainfall/Snowfall totals

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF Re-cap. 10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, 10 Day Rainfall/Snowfall totals

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEFS, EPS - Both ensemble camps are in good agreement that a pattern change back to wet weather begins sometime Monday afternoon or evening.

[Everleigh]

23.7* IMBY this morning. 

I had to go to Lowes in Lacey yesterday morning, to pick up the new kitchen sink/faucet (HOORAY!), and man....The fog and frost was so thick in some places through Yelm/Rainier/Lacey...It was like a winter wonderland! lol 

There were also many dipsh*ts driving without their headlights on. SMH I flipped them all off, in my head...lol

[FroYoBro]

The wind never completely died last night. Cooler than yesterday morning though. 37 here. 

[Tyler Mode]

6 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Also worth noting, mom texted this evening from the coast and said they were under a level 1 evacuation warning after slash burn got a little frisky in the breeze. Plz send prayers

https://www.chinookobserver.com/news/local/conditions-more-promising-as-firefighting-efforts-continue-near-chinook/article_0666bf36-6553-11ed-a165-1327a9c0d247.html

Yes drove through all the smoke today.  I wonder when they started the fire, when it was calm, or when the winds were already blowing 40 mph.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Wind totally died overnight here which allowed for another freeze. 32 currently.

[Doinko]

Wind completely died here as well and we dropped to 29. Hillsboro got down to at least 24!

[Doinko]

First above average day at PDX yesterday since 11/05, with 54/41. Wind never really let up until late yesterday so they didn't get that low. A +0.4 departure. Looks like they got down to at least 34 today though

[Meatyorologist]

29F here! 3rd 20's of the season iirc

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

29F here! 3rd 20's of the season iirc

Also my third night in the 20s. Pretty cold start to the month! And the sun has been really nice especially since we got a good soaking recently and likely will transition to a much wetter pattern.

[Meatyorologist]

2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Also my third night in the 20s. Pretty cold start to the month! And the sun has been really nice especially since we got a good soaking recently and likely will transition to a much wetter pattern.

We're in the midst of an unusual dry streak, but it doesn't feel drought-like. There's still plenty of condensation in the morning, surface soils are remaining damp.

[Meatyorologist]

KSEA down to 32F with fog. Second freeze of the season for the airport.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

36.7˚F and foggy this morning. First foggy morning of this ridging event.

[Skagit Weather]

Pretty amazing how even the slightest breath of wind can keep temperatures up here. The last couple of mornings have featured a couple 5 mph gusts which have kept the temperature oscillating between the upper 30s and the upper 20s. This morning we just managed to squeeze just after 4 a.m. before the temp popped up again.

8th freeze of the month with a low of 30. I think it's safe to say this November is slightly different than last November considering I didn't have a single subfreezing low last year.

[Anti Marine Layer]

[Phishy Wx]

garbage in > garbage out

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Corvallis hit 21.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

15 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

If Phil were on he would be mocking for you for saying your snow just stays despite days of sunny weather with highs in the 40s.    Impossible he would say!   That is some magic snow.  

But I know its real... and it happens in my area all the time as well during the really low sun angle time of the year with dewpoints below freezing and clear skies.      

Well this time of year pretty much no place on my property gets more than 2-3 hours of direct sunlight. Also it rained all day here last Friday. 

[TacomaWx]

Low of 36 in Tacoma this morning. Very frosty and 25 in enumclaw when i showed up earlier. Sunrise was really nice but I was driving so I couldn’t get a pic. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

60 degree thanksgiving starting to look like a pretty good bet.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

10 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

60 degree thanksgiving starting to look like a pretty good bet.

Gotta warm up sometime. 

[Phishy Wx]

bust out the shorts and flip flops.  Tropical T-Giving!!!

[Joshua Lake Oswego]

BC is going to get absolutely hosed mid/late next week. An AR looks to set up shop and be close to stationary for about 60 hours. Extreme NW Washington should fare well too, but most of Oregon and Washington will get the leftover slops as it peters out.

[Phishy Wx]

 

[Omegaraptor]

Quite the impressive hard frost in Corvallis. Grass is white and even roofs are covered in it.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

22 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

60 degree thanksgiving starting to look like a pretty good bet.

Just wait until the mid-70’s show up in December or January. May not happen this year but it will happen soon, since it is now well within the bounds of our climate.

[MossMan]

I remember washing my truck on a nice warm day right around Thanksgiving 2008…

[Phil]