November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I'll try to QB the overnight GFS. Helping my wife out as much as I can. I am now at 40 straight hours awake. Breaking my previous record from college in 2005.

Goodness bro. I hope you and her are both able to get some rest real soon!

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Big improvement on the EPS.  Stronger block, better placement, colder 850s.

Arctic trough not digging off BC as far north?

[Kolk1604]

6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Arctic trough not digging off BC as far north?

Through Day 9

[Gradient Keeper]

EPS block trending stronger, heights are higher over southern Alaska, southwestern Yukon, and a notch further east. We just need that secondary polar lobe originating over Barrow/Utqiagvik to track a bit further east as it slides south through Alaska and then the main surge of bitter air will blast through Yukon, British Columbia and into WA/OR rather than digging down off southeastern Alaska riding down off the British Columbia coast. I think that's a real possibility. Watch for this the next 2-3 runs.

[snow_wizard]

The ECMWF suite suggests a period of clear and cold weather with a little bit of lowland snow going into it.

[snow_wizard]

19 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Arctic trough not digging off BC as far north?

Much straighter shot.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Very nice!

[Iceresistance]

1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I'll try to QB the overnight GFS. Helping my wife out as much as I can. I am now at 40 straight hours awake. Breaking my previous record from college in 2005.

Holy crap! My record is 24 hours, Twice!

I would severely injure myself (Not self harming myself) if I even tried that!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, Iceresistance said:

Holy crap! My record is 24 hours, Twice!

I would severely injure myself (Not self harming myself) if I even tried that!

My RNS (responsive neuro-stimulator) and anti-convulsant medicine make it possible. I'll pay the price when I hit REM later and the fencing position begins...

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Overnight GFS day 1

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Day 2

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Day 3

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Day 4

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Day 5

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Day 6

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Day 7

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Day 8. Kind of a shitt run but more grounded in reality.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Day 9

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Day 10

[TigerWoodsLibido]

No action on the overnight GFS for the south valley other than some seasonably cool temps at times. Onto the morning run!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Ok I'm gonna hit the hay. 44 hours is impressive AF. I didn't think I had it in me. Have fun with the morning runs everybody!

[The Blob]

Down to 39 this morning. 

[TT-SEA]

Deck is wet... so it did rain at some point during the night.   Dry now and 39.

SEA picked up .17 overnight which is more than I was expecting based on the radar last night.  

[Ellsworb]

36 on the east shore of Lake Tapps this morning… I’m feeling very optimistic about next week’s chances of early November  awesome. 

[TT-SEA]

6 hours ago, smerfylicious said:

Down to 35 here. My poor tomatoes  

Tomatoes don't belong in November!    Our tomato plants usually turn brown by early October. even its warm and wet.    We were cleaning out some the garden on Saturday and the tomato plants were still totally green and flowering.  I would say it was the late start, but they were growing pretty good in early June when we had that warm rainy period.    

[Doinko]

 

06z is not bad at all

[TT-SEA]

6 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

A little lowland snow and a hard freeze would satisfy me on this round.

I am on board with that being a lock. 

Its pretty easy to get a hard freeze in November if there is any clear weather at night... even under a ridge.   And I think there will be some snow in places or at least snow mixed with the rain with that system on Sunday into Monday.    

The 00Z ECMWF showed a dry east wind for us from Tuesday through the rest of the week... that pattern would be a slam dunk for cold nights.

[Doinko]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I am on board with that being a lock. 

Its pretty easy to get a hard freeze in November if there is any clear weather at night... even under a ridge.   And I think there will be some snow in places or at least snow mixed with the rain with that system on Sunday into Monday.    

The 00Z ECMWF showed a dry east wind for us from Tuesday through the rest of the week... that pattern would be a slam dunk for cold nights.

Both the GEFS and EPS means are showing a few highs in the 30s with lows in the 20s.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

35.6˚F.

[T-Town]

39 here earlier, first time in the 30s this fall. 41 now. 

[Doinko]

31 minutes ago, Doinko said:

 

06z is not bad at all

Mini snowstorm north of Salem with a subfreezing high and some ice down into Corvallis/Eugene.

Overall it's good to see a gorge component to this on the Euro and GFS.

[Chewbacca Defense]

Got down to 32 overnight, but now 38 with some light rain. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

7 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Got down to 32 overnight, but now 38 with some light rain. 

Sadly no snow

[jakerepp]

Weather station says I haven't had rain in 11 days. I think I can say that it will register more rain in AZ than here. There won't be anything falling from trees to plug it up constantly!

Might have to start thinking about taking an alternate route down next week. Don't really feel like getting stuck in the Blues.

[T-Town]

My phone is on board. 

[MossMan]

.30” so far on the day. 
Raining and 37.8.

Was 35.9 and dumping earlier. Brrr. Was probably not very far off from having a positive splat. 

[Blizzard777]

8 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

This would be pretty top tier stuff in December or January. Hopefully if for whatever reason this round doesn’t work out we see this pattern again in a month or two. 

Hopefully the trend for the season with endless easy snow and cold

Low 38 and currently 39

 

[North_County]

Unofficial, obviously, but my car thermometer hit 31F right by the Clearbrook weather station at 7:45 this morning. I'm choosing to count it.

[Blizzard777]

15 minutes ago, T-Town said:

My phone is on board. 

That’ll send the folks panic buying at the stores !!!  I better get my TP quick! 

[The Blob]

20 minutes ago, T-Town said:

My phone is on board. 

Mine too

[Anti Marine Layer]

23 minutes ago, T-Town said:

My phone is on board. 

Torchy on Friday 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Ummm we had our first freeze… School delay, and 1.5” of snow. 

[The Blob]

I just saw a snow map on Fox 12

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like it snowed down to about 1000’. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Reports of sticking snow on the 101 in multiple places.

[MossMan]

It’s coming. The PNA says so. 

[ShawniganLake]

39F rain this morning. GEFS has trended a little colder since this time yesterday. 

[MillCreekMike]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

It’s coming. The PNA says so. 

Woah your fuzzy PNA maps are clearer than ever this year!

[FroYoBro]

30 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Ummm we had our first freeze… School delay, and 1.5” of snow. 

November to remember! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

November to remember! 

I don’t care what happens the rest of the month. This is our first 1”+ snow in November since 2015.