November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[Poulsbo Snowman]

7 minutes ago, Hour364Please said:

It's been blocky all summer and fall.  No reason to think the pattern won't persist.

The goods are coming.  Eventually the block will hit the sweet spot and the cold will come crashing down.  Probably all the way to southern California.

It's going to be epic.  I just feel it.

Be fun to see 6" in LA.

[Phil]

W-WA is DUE.  

 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

I get what you're saying, but for my location zonal flow is perfect, as long as temps are not above normal. 

I'm just saying that a blocky winter will end up being dry and more often than not the block is set up right over us.

You’re among the 5% of people here that can score with zonal flow.

There has never been a top-tier lowland PNW winter that didn’t feature anomalous blocking.

[Doinko]

24 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

anything in this century?

2016/17 I think would be one, 2013/2014 was also good in some places. I think 2008/09 had massive blocking too so I think that counts as well

[Cold Snap]

Currently 37 with a DP of 18. Lips are starting to get chapped from this dry weather. Whenever the NWS releases a wind advisory for east winds Duvall is literally exempt from it because there are no big gaps that Duvall is exposed to. Wind hasn’t gusted above 15mph all day here.

[Doinko]

Dewpoint at PDX down to 22 degrees

[Nov1985]

So this is basically June 850T range the day after Thanksgiving? 63°F #ThermalRidge 

 

[Meatyorologist]

5 hours ago, Terreboner said:

24.6 deg/21.2 deg day so far.  Currently 24.5 deg

Looks like a winter wonderland out here with everything coated white.  Wish it wasn't fake cold though :).

If it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck...

[bainbridgekid]

Wind has been really bad in Enumclaw today. My girlfriend has a farm out there and two sturdy seeming livestock shelters literally blew away and ended up upside down on a neighboring farm.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS time!

Sorry I'm late, it's my month to bathe. What? Don't judge. Maybe I'm just hugely into water conservation? Maybe I'm Amish? No offense to any Amish members in the group, or who may have future plans to do so.

It's not my fault people the boring weather maps lead to pure nonsense like this. Anyways, let's see if there is a more concrete pattern change after Day 7, or renewed blocking over Alaska/150-160 W. C'MON!!!!

Oh, and in case you are new here, we will ALWAYS....

Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!!

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 1

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3 (Past 4 runs)

[Gradient Keeper]

With the models this putrid I'm only going to post the (Past 4 runs) Days 3-7. Yeah.

00z ECMWF in 1 hour 48 minutes

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4 (Past 4 runs)

[Poulsbo Snowman]

You may just want to post hour 360.  Save the misery.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5 (Past 4 runs)

[Gradient Keeper]

3 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

You may just want to post hour 360.  Save the misery.

Heck of an idea! I usually live in Day 15 myself anyways.

[Gradient Keeper]

What about posting Day 16, then 15, 14, 13.... backwards, but pretending it's the next few days. Going from ultimate enthusiasm and eventually as we get closer to Day 1 to "Well, this sucks!" Interesting....

[Poulsbo Snowman]

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

What about posting Day 16, then 15, 14, 13.... backwards, but pretending it's the next few days. Going from ultimate enthusiasm and eventually as we get closer to Day 1 to "Well, this sucks!" Interesting....

Works for me.  Something will eventually work out.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6 (Past 4 runs)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7 (Past 4 runs)

[RentonHill]

Might be our biggest ridge yet

[Cloud]

#NoRidgeNovember

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[Gradient Keeper]

Just now, Cloud said:

#NoRidgeNovember

I really f'd that one up didn't I.

[Gradient Keeper]

I'd rather look at a babies fully loaded diaper than this run.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I'd rather look at a babies fully loaded diaper than this run.

Unfortunately, given what we've seen the last 6 months or so, it's probably spot on.  Maybe we can get some fog out of it.

[Meatyorologist]

Dewpoint down to 12F at KSEA. Easterlies doing their work!

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[Gradient Keeper]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

Dewpoint down to 12F at KSEA. Easterlies doing their work!

Very cold nights ahead. Enjoy.

[Meatyorologist]

Whelk, glad I'm the only one here who likes dry and cold too. This has been a nice last couple weeks.

[RentonHill]

Nice choad-esque base to this one. She ain’t goin nowhere

[Meatyorologist]

46F in DT Seattle, 29F in Meadowbrook. Temp spread is super impressive!

[Cloud]

3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Very cold nights ahead. Enjoy.

I’ve heard Jim’s bucket of water hasn’t melted yet.  

[Snownerd3000]

57 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z GFS time!

Sorry I'm late, it's my month to bathe. What? Don't judge. Maybe I'm just hugely into water conservation? Maybe I'm Amish? No offense to any Amish members in the group, or who may have future plans to do so.

It's not my fault people the boring weather maps lead to pure nonsense like this. Anyways, let's see if there is a more concrete pattern change after Day 7, or renewed blocking over Alaska/150-160 W. C'MON!!!!

Oh, and in case you are new here, we will ALWAYS....

Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!!

Who said you could bathe? 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10

[Gradient Keeper]

Just now, Snownerd3000 said:

Who said you could bathe? 

My bad.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

10 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 9'er

It's Armageddon.  I see an Angel with a trumpet.

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

It's Armageddon.  I see an Angel with a trumpet.

Really? I thought I’m seeing a turd. Maybe just me.