November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[Meatyorologist]

16 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

YOU GUYS. Tim’s being such a f----- f-- tonight. Amirite? 🖐 

Yeah this has no place here.

[FroYoBro]

Chilly day as a light east wind continues. High of 46 here. Down to 45 now. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

cool kidz are all on Mastodon now

I've had a Mastodon account for years. Only in the past two weeks has it really hit anything approaching a critical mass of interesting people. Thanks, Elon!

[Meatyorologist]

Some spots nearby got down to 21F last night... That's pretty top-tier.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Lol today was the coldest day at EUG since Jan 2017. Pathetic and depressing. Cannot wait to move my family away from here.

Has it taken anyone else here almost 6 years to have a return low temp take that long to come around?

We "only" got down to 20F here so we are still yet to see ours. Got down to 19F last winter but not colder. D**n variability.

I regret that I have but one weenie to give for that post.

[Snownerd3000]

Rains are coming. Saw cloud seeding going down the 405

 

[snow_wizard]

The 18z GFS is far from terrible.  GOA ridge is back.

Looking great for a cold one tonight.  The east wind has died in all but a few areas.  Going to crash hard!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

9 freezes so far is pretty decent and a bunch of them in a row. Very nice!

Currently 46F and beautiful sunshine on the porch watching ballgames.

[MossMan]

Michael Dickson will be faced with a similar situation here in a few weeks!

Edited November 19, 2022 by MossMan

[ShawniganLake]

High cloud alert.  It’s clouding over.  Unlikely tonight will be as cold as last in this area. 

[Cloud]

25 this morning at BFI. 26 previous.

nice back to back minimum temps. 

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Michael Dickson will be faced with a similar situation here in a few weeks!

Since we’re using athletes to measure. 
 

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Clouds indeed here as well. Might touch freezing before midnight but anything after that is a bonus.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

High cloud alert.  It’s clouding over.  Unlikely tonight will be as cold as last in this area. 

Yeah... ECMWF shows high clouds and a batch of mid-level clouds later tonight.    But tonight is still the coldest night shown for the next week.

[TacomaWx]

2 hours ago, ShawniganLake said:

We would need another inch to catch up with 2019. Looks like that will probably happen next week. I had forgotten how dry 2019 was though. 

It was super dry…easily the driest I’d recorded. That month was incredibly boring after September and October were very active. 

[TacomaWx]

48/28 today. Earliest 28 or lower min I’ve recorded. Not the earliest low in the 20s we’ve had though hit 29 on 11/16/2014. 

[SpaceRace22]

Moving up to WA next year and want to try to go somewhere that gets a reasonable amount of snow. Is there anywhere within 45 minutes of Redmond that gets significantly more snow than the rest of Seattle area? Thinking there realistically isn't anywhere within that radius that will get significantly more than any other suburb, but maybe there's something I've overlooked. Right now I will probably just look at houses out in the far east part of Redmond where the elevation goes up around 500', but let me know if there's something better!

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, SpaceRace22 said:

Moving up to WA next year and want to try to go somewhere that gets a reasonable amount of snow. Is there anywhere within 45 minutes of Redmond that gets significantly more snow than the rest of Seattle area? Thinking there realistically isn't anywhere within that radius that will get significantly more than any other suburb, but maybe there's something I've overlooked. Right now I will probably just look at houses out in the far east part of Redmond where the elevation goes up around 500', but let me know if there's something better!

Be neighbors with Tim or Randy. North bend can do pretty well and it’s closer. I know the higher elevation places in issaquah can do well. 

[joelgombiner]

4 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said:

Moving up to WA next year and want to try to go somewhere that gets a reasonable amount of snow. Is there anywhere within 45 minutes of Redmond that gets significantly more snow than the rest of Seattle area? Thinking there realistically isn't anywhere within that radius that will get significantly more than any other suburb, but maybe there's something I've overlooked. Right now I will probably just look at houses out in the far east part of Redmond where the elevation goes up around 500', but let me know if there's something better!

I would go north and/or east of Redmond. Better chance of catching the convergence zone. Often sets up near the King-Snohomish line. 

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I've had a Mastodon account for years. Only in the past two weeks has it really hit anything approaching a critical mass of interesting people. Thanks, Elon!

How dare Elon allow free speech on Twitter.  Authoritarian lunatic right there!

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, joelgombiner said:

I would go north and/or east of Redmond. Better chance of catching the convergence zone. Often sets up near the King-Snohomish line. 

Yes.  I would definitely try to lean on the north and east side of things.  Maybe something on Novelty Hill Road.

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, joelgombiner said:

I would go north and/or east of Redmond. Better chance of catching the convergence zone. Often sets up near the King-Snohomish line. 

Yeah somewhere the C-zone is frequently around and with a bit of elevation wouldn’t be a bad bet. If I’m thinking of somewhere within 45 minutes of Redmond basically in the convergence zone or the highlands near Tiger/Cougar mountain. 

[snow_wizard]

11 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Be neighbors with Tim or Randy. North bend can do pretty well and it’s closer. I know the higher elevation places in issaquah can do well. 

Randy is too far away.

[Gradient Keeper]

I didn't get out of the 30's today with a high temp of 39.4. Current temp: 37.0, Dewpoint 24.8 with continued gusty and ice cold east wind!

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah somewhere the C-zone is frequently around and with a bit of elevation wouldn’t be a bad bet. If I’m thinking of somewhere within 45 minutes of Redmond basically in the convergence zone or the highlands near Tiger/Cougar mountain. 

That far south you definitely need elevation.  I think the C-Zone is better unless you go way east.  When I lived in Redmond a long time ago we did pretty well on a hill about 3 or 4 miles south of the county line.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I didn't get out of the 30's today with a high temp of 39.4. Current temp: 37.0, Dewpoint 24.8 with continued gusty and ice cold east wind!

If this pattern were to continue a few more days you would probably be seeing highs in the mid 30s or so.  Cold air is really building over the Basin.

[snow_wizard]

The mean on the 850s on the GEFS drops to around -2 at the end of the month.  Getting better.

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

If this pattern were to continue a few more days you would probably be seeing highs in the mid 30s or so.  Cold air is really building over the Basin.

Yep. We were heading that way, but when the cold air thickened up deepening sloshing over the Cascades the downslope winds actually warmed me up several degrees. Today the wind has been nearly entirely confined to the gap/Gorge, so the low level cold intensified again. Another 2-3 days as you mentioned and I'd be 30-33 for a high temp.

00z GFS in 2 hours 58 minutes

[Doinko]

6 hours ago, Phil said:

Might not see a “standard” niña pattern until late Jan or early Feb. This doesn’t account for any potential SSW/deeper NAM flip before then, of course.

Another round of potent blocking seems likely starting mid-Dec as MJO returns to IPWP/WPAC, after a transient zonal flow pattern late Nov/early Dec.

Would not surprise me if 80% or more of the CONUS is in the deep freeze during the holiday season this year, with a large ridge over Alaska. Would be very different from previous years.

I'll be in Denver during the holidays, I'm hoping I can experience an arctic blast while I'm there

[Rubus Leucodermis]

15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

How dare Elon allow free speech on Twitter.  Authoritarian lunatic right there!

How dare anyone choose to leave Twitter. Exercising ones right to exit is totalitarian!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

14 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah somewhere the C-zone is frequently around and with a bit of elevation wouldn’t be a bad bet. If I’m thinking of somewhere within 45 minutes of Redmond basically in the convergence zone or the highlands near Tiger/Cougar mountain. 

The hills between Woodinville and Monroe often do well in the snow department.

[Doinko]

8 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Yep. We were heading that way, but when the cold air thickened up deepening sloshing over the Cascades the downslope winds actually warmed me up several degrees. Today the wind has been nearly entirely confined to the gap/Gorge, so the low level cold intensified again. Another 2-3 days as you mentioned and I'd be 30-33 for a high temp.

00z GFS in 2 hours 58 minutes

We kept the breeze and stayed mild throughout the night but it wasn't strong enough to keep us that cool throughout the day which was slightly annoying.

[Gradient Keeper]

Honestly I don't get the twitter craze and I think society will be far better off it is ceases to exist. There are too many lunatics on the platform. Far too many. Just my opinion. I live an app-free lifestyle though, so could just be me. Outstanding

00z ECMWF in 4 hours 53 minutes GET READY!!!!

[Front Ranger]

4 hours ago, SnowWillarrive said:

The snow is extremely local. Just spoke to a guy on the north end of Buffalo and he has received less than 12 inches.
 

Really frustrating for weather wenie 

[snow_wizard]

9 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

How dare anyone choose to leave Twitter. Exercising ones right to exit is totalitarian!

I never said people didn't have the right to leave.  I just wonder why having the speech more free would drive anyone to leave.  Some people just melt down when confronted with opposing ideas I guess.

[Gradient Keeper]

18z GEFS. This wouldn't be too bad, am I right?

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

How dare anyone choose to leave Twitter. Exercising ones right to exit is totalitarian!

Elon is destroying his $44B investment in staggering quick fashion.   

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

I never said people didn't have the right to leave.  I just wonder why having the speech more free would drive anyone to leave.  Some people just melt down when confronted with opposing ideas I guess.

Too many for sure. Adults should be able to discuss anything and even through disagreement still keep a level of respect and decorum to where we can just go on our ways because we don't have to agree with nor accept what everyone does or believes. With that being said.

00z ECMWF(Christmas Eve) in 844 hours 50 minutes.

Get your eggnog(spiked optional), favorite Christmas cookies, treats, snacks, meats, whatever you wish, but be here for an exciting run cementing a White Christmas for MANY of us! Be here 9:45 PM SHARP!

[SnowWillarrive]

6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

10-12 miles was the difference between epic and bust 

[Cloud]

I use Twitter for content like this.