November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Euro convergence zone snow. My favorite weather event.

The hell is that Diamond of green over my head???

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

The hell is that Diamond of green over my head???

You my friend are not use to the swamp

 

#karma

[Chewbacca Defense]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

The hell is that Diamond of green over my head???

Proof that this will not verify.  Once the dark bands move to your location, we can start to believe what we are seeing

[Slushy Inch]

Second trough in right spot this run. Timeframe is moving up really quick, no push backs. Just a train of troughs from artic to the PNW. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

FYI mossman, it gets to your house 3 hours later. The snow gods will never forget their favorite child

[Slushy Inch]

This is legit, 980mb low to the south, 1040mb high to the north.

[Snownerd3000]

9 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

I'd like a repeat of DEC 18, 1990 if possible.

[Kolk1604]

4 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

This is legit, 980mb low to the south, 1040mb high to the north.

Drop the hammer! 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Yea……no. looks like a good rain/snow mix 

[Snownerd3000]

Man that low placement is everything. If it swings just a little further south... 

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Man that low placement is everything. If it swings just a little further south... 

Trough needs to be a little farther east, it's so close.

[Doinko]

Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Trough needs to be a little farther east, it's so close.

First one is looking better though

[ShawniganLake]

That euro run was pretty meh.  Nice mountain snow pattern. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

18 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

That is the true coat salesman in fargo!

[SouthHillFrosty]

[Blizzard777]

1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said:

Please accept my apologies - that wasnt my intent and you are absolutely correct. Not every post needs a snarky/sarcastic response and I can do better. 

I love ya RentonHillTC, your still on Santa’s good list
Nice apology as well.  Everleigh, great question as well. I’m continually learning from all of you so any question plays.  
 

Did the sun come up today…seems really dark and wet out ! 
.42 precipitation 

[bainbridgekid]

Freezing rain in the passes this morning. Stevens looks like a sheet of ice.

 

[Deweydog]

5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

That is the true coat salesman in fargo!

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Freezing rain in the passes this morning. Stevens looks like a sheet of ice.

 

No freezing rain at Stevens pass at all, around 28 degrees, and the cams show snow.

[ShawniganLake]

26 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

This is legit, 980mb low to the south, 1040mb high to the north.

A 980mb low off northern Vancouver island isn’t a very good conduit to cold further south. 

[Skagit Weather]

Looks like the rain shadow is just starting to break down up here. 0.04" on the day and 48F.

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

A 980mb low off northern Vancouver island isn’t a very good conduit to cold further south. 

It’s over. 

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

A 980mb low off northern Vancouver island isn’t a very good conduit to cold further south. 

True, just noticed the huge pressure gradient. Was hoping low would slight east and south.

[Snownerd3000]

Good thing we're worried about low placement over a week out. General pattern looks fantastic. Details will iron out. 

[Slushy Inch]

11 minutes ago, MossMan said:

It’s over. 

EPS is better for that system.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

20 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

11.1" of accumulated slushy rain for me! Score!

[Poulsbo Snowman]

18 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

A 980mb low off northern Vancouver island isn’t a very good conduit to cold further south. 

Trends, baby.  This is still a ways out and has a lot of time to trend over Portland.  

[The Blob]

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

How are everyone’s horoscopes, wooly bear stripes and pig spleens looking?

Here ya go.

https://www.slice.ca/december-2022-horoscopes/

[RentonHill]

EPS 850s catching up for day 9 vs 00z

[Phishy Wx]

6z must've been Druncle's bastard kid.

[The Blob]

My maple looks amazing right now.

[ShawniganLake]

8 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

11.1" of accumulated slushy rain for me! Score!

Post pics please

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

EPS snow 12z

Same hour from last night's 0Z

 

[The Cats Meow]

Anyone who thinks they know what it's going to be like in a week needs to get off this here website and go make some millions.

I'm pretty jacked about the up coming pattern and what it could be.

 

[Cold Snap]

3 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

34 inches for me! Lock it in!!!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

EPS snow 12z

Same hour from last night's 0Z

 

What are surface and 925 mbar temps modeled to be when most of that falls?

[The Cats Meow]

Folks make fun of the pepto maps but I think last year the pepto maps, while not completely accurate, led to about 7" of snow at my back door.

[Slushy Inch]

3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

What are surface and 925 mbar temps modeled to be when most of that falls?

Probably marginal conditions.

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, Hour364Please said:

Folks make fun of the pepto maps but I think last year the pepto maps, while not completely accurate, led to about 7" of snow at my back door.

The atmosphere probably had a little something to do with it too.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

What are surface and 925 mbar temps modeled to be when most of that falls?

Unfortunately it doesn't show surface temps, just anamolies, and I don't trust anomaly maps, since I don't think these ensemble maps have a good idea of what normal is (for example, I have seen maps from the operational that would show a high temp in Wenatchee of 25, and the anomaly map shows it 5-10 degrees ABOVE normal, instead of the 10-12 degrees BELOW normal that it is).

And it doesn't show 925s for the ensemble.  Weatherall maps might, since weathermodels.com is cheaper than Weatherbell