November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[TT-SEA]

Snowblower is out of our dilapidated shed.  I did the same thing during the first quarter of the Super Bowl in 2019 and was using it the next morning.    Crazy that I could wait until February that year... doing it in November seems more appropriate. 

[Snownerd3000]

2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

 

 

[MossMan]

I just told my wife that the models have changed and snow no longer looks likely. 
 

You’re welcome. 

[The Cats Meow]

9 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

We are in NAM territory now

 

 

hopefully that low sinks south and weakens a bit and then sets up shop just south of the mouth of the columbia

[TT-SEA]

And it started on the first pull!   Probably the shortest turn around time possible this year... used in April and getting it ready in November.    

[MossMan]

Don’t forget, tires are required right now. It’s getting real, folks. 

[GHweatherChris]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yesterday was not a shorts day... that was raw.  

 

Yesterday was a perfect day for shorts.

[Gummy]

4 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

 

Phil could explain it to us in simple terms if he were here

 

But he wouldn't

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

And it started on the first pull!   Probably the shortest turn around time possible this year... used in April and getting it ready in November.    

Engine was probably still warm from its last use not all that long ago!

[Snownerd3000]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I just told my wife that the models have changed and snow no longer looks likely. 
 

You’re welcome. 

This comes close to making up for your jinx of the whole thing a day or 2 ago

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Engine was probably still warm from its last use not all that long ago!

I left it with a full tank of gas too... bad idea but seems to be OK with a shorter break.

[Snownerd3000]

1 minute ago, Gummy said:

Phil could explain it to us in simple terms if he were here

 

But he wouldn't

Don't PV typically affect the east coast/midwest vs the PNW?  I know the epic Feb of 19 featured a visit but thought it was pretty rare.

[SnowPlz]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I just told my wife that the models have changed and snow no longer looks likely. 
 

You’re welcome. 

I just threw my laptop through a window in front of my in-laws and screamed “winter is cancelled!!!” in their faces. You’re welcome. 

[Skagit Weather]

Looks like NWS has accepted the warmer model trends as well. Temperatures are up about 5 degrees across the board with predicted highs for next week in the upper 30s and low 40s.

[GHweatherChris]

[Blizzard777]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I just told my wife that the models have changed and snow no longer looks likely. 
 

You’re welcome. 

It can still happen!  I once saw Jim Kirk get a “Royal Fizzbin!”.  

[Anti Marine Layer]

4 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Yesterday was a perfect day for shorts.

High temperature?

[GHweatherChris]

Just now, Mr Marine Layer said:

High temperature?

46

[The Cats Meow]

Does anyone here like hummingbirds?  My hummingbirds have stepped up their eating the last two days.  Maybe they know something is coming.

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

Thief

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I left it with a full tank of gas too... bad idea but seems to be OK with a shorter break.

I use this in all of my gas powered stuff, works well to keep the fuel fresh. 

[GHweatherChris]

2 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Thief

Rugs and food

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I use this in all of my gas powered stuff, works well to keep the fuel fresh. 

I normally do that too... but I think I was so annoyed that I needed it so late that I was just happy to put it away and not look at it any more. 

[lowlandsnow]

Even if this event busts, there are some very cold GEFS and EPS members a little later. 

[TT-SEA]

10 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Yesterday was a perfect day for shorts.

Like I said... I am much more wimpy.   I draw the line on raw rainy days.  

[snow_wizard]

11 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Don't PV typically affect the east coast/midwest vs the PNW?  I know the epic Feb of 19 featured a visit but thought it was pretty rare.

A disrupted PV basically benefits the entire northern tier of the US.  It usually means cold air displaced southward from normal.

[Weiner Warrior]

The snow first showed up when I changed my name to Weanie Warrior and started handing out weaners. Must be good luck

[snow_wizard]

4 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

Even if this event busts, there are some very cold GEFS and EPS members a little later. 

Indeed.  The blockiness is going nowhere for a good while.  I'm thinking this might be a situation where something big happens with only short warning.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Now in Nam range and it has that low very strong much like some of the other models had shown. However It is showing it to be snowfall for the Puget Sound area starting around 3 or 4 pm Wed. 

Edited November 26, 2022 by MR.SNOWMIZER

[Anti Marine Layer]

Just now, Weiner Warrior said:

The snow first showed up when I changed my name to Weanie Warrior and started handing out weaners. Must be good luck

weenie weiner weaner

[snow_wizard]

11 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I use this in all of my gas powered stuff, works well to keep the fuel fresh. 

Pricey!

[Gradient Keeper]

18z NAM looks crummy. (Past 2 runs) Strong cyclogenesis this run.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Now in Nam range and it has that low very strong much like some of the other models had shown. However It is showing it to be snowfall for the Puget Sound area starting around 3 or 4 pm Wed. 

A strong low is a double edged sword.  It pulls cold air down faster and can result in nice backwash CAA.

[lowlandsnow]

NAM is very interesting temps get as low as 24 at Seattle and are at 28 at 4 pm Tuesday

[lowlandsnow]

Interesting tweets (1) NWWashingtonWX (@wx_washington) / Twitter

 

[snow_wizard]

6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

18z NAM looks crummy. (Past 2 runs) Strong cyclogenesis this run.

I thinks it's unnecessary torture to use the NAM.

[kokaneekidz]

5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

A strong low is a double edged sword.  It pulls cold air down faster and can result in nice backwash CAA.

Maybe we could pull a double barrel low out if this mess. And pull the air around Vancouver Island into hoquiam and keep us under low level northerly winds interior wise.. it is possible . Seen it happen before and it never seems to show in the models prior to commencing 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

I thinks it's unnecessary torture to use the NAM.

Its useful in terms of trends though. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Time for our favorite Uncle! Hide your alcohol and lock that liquor cabinet.

[lowlandsnow]

NWWashingtonWX suggests it will be a NOWCAST situation