November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Pretty clear trend to weaken the low and upstream cold air dumping.

ICON seems to be warmer for tomorrow night... appears to show rain for the lowlands while the 12Z run showed snow and heavier precip.

[Nov1985]

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

ICON seems to be warmer for tomorrow night... appears to show rain for the lowlands while the 12Z run showed snow and heavier precip.

The ICON has been showing rain for a while now, and it usually erroneously keeps things warm anyways. Overall it looks to speed up the timing, making the run appear warmer.

[MossMan]

6 minutes ago, Nov1985 said:

Let's ride!

He just kept saying “Let’s Ride…In The Snow” In a creepy voice. I took that as him being onboard. 

[TT-SEA]

39 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Nice to see the idea of some snow thursday gaining traction on the models. Even some places that hit hard with the first round will change over to rain briefly…so we’re gonna need some fresh snow afterwards! 

The NAM is straight up impressive for Thursday... if Wednesday morning fails the redemption might be very quick to follow.

[SnowWillarrive]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

He just kept saying “Let’s Ride…In The Snow” In a creepy voice. I took that as him being onboard. 

 

Time to get snow suit out! 

[Meatyorologist]

At this rate, it may start snowing tomorrow morning and change over to rain before midnight. Pretty drastic reduction in strength on the latest runs.

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

 

Time to get snow suit out! 

And I cannot repeat the word exchange between Jesse and Cliff Mass…Those two really do not like each other! 
In other news… Down to 26.2 degrees! 

[SnowPlz]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

At this rate, it may start snowing tomorrow morning and change over to rain before midnight. Pretty drastic reduction in strength on the latest runs.

Then back to snow 

[RentonHill]

3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

At this rate, it may start snowing tomorrow morning and change over to rain before midnight. Pretty drastic reduction in strength on the latest runs.

I thought we wanted it weaker

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

I thought we wanted it weaker

Not a bad thing! Just an advancement in timing

[The Cats Meow]

I'm somewhere in the donut hole in the south sound.  Looks like maybe a trace of snow followed by some rain, then a trace of snow and some rain and then do it all over again.  Mostly dry for a while though until the low drops south of the area.

Should be an interesting ride for western washington and western oregon though.  Exciting!

[umadbro]

I’m officially on the board. Must have snowed shortly when I wasn’t looking. Now it’s just awful ice I get to pick at in the morning.

[Guest administrator]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Not a bad thing! Just an advancement in timing

If we can have some cold rain to wash out the 2-3 inches, then we won’t have to worry about ice. Fingers crossed.

[GoldenEars]

6 minutes ago, umadbro said:

I’m officially on the board. Must have snowed shortly when I wasn’t looking. Now it’s just awful ice I get to pick at in the morning.

Try filling a sandwich bag with hot tap water and rubbing it on the windows.. A lot easier than scraping and it's kind of fun.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Who is ready for the 00Z!!!! 
 

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Our next system is absolutely racing southeastward through the Gulf of Alaska.

 

[Guest administrator]

43 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I think late Wednesday night and Thursday might well become the big show in the Seattle area.    That scenario has really taken off today in the models. 

Resolution is still too low. Non factor until tomorrow evening.

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 days left (plus a few more hours today) to rack up the page count.

[Cold Snap]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Who is ready for the 00Z!!!! 
 

 

That’s what the 00z GFS will be taking that’s for sure!

[Gradient Keeper]

@Meatyorologist are you doing the honors of handling the 00z GFS tonight, or?

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

@Meatyorologist are you doing the honors of handling the 00z GFS tonight, or?

Yes, since you are so generous

[Anti Marine Layer]

39 minutes ago, Cloud said:

 

Can we post the transcript, one post per paragraph? 

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

Yes, since you are so generous

Well okay then. Make it a Cold and SNOWY one!

[Anti Marine Layer]

43 minutes ago, Cloud said:

 

There are lots of dumb people who advertise their health products on the internet and promise a link for a good deal after their "short" 90 minute sermon adoring the product and their speech.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

The 0z RGEM shows it switch over to rain in the lowlands tomorrow evening except in the Fraser Valley. Still starts as snow from Portland northward.

[bainbridgekid]

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Our next system is absolutely racing southeastward through the Gulf of Alaska.

 

That swirl along the Central WA/BC border might have something to do with how well the cold/dry air advected into Western Washington today.

[TT-SEA]

And now its time for the GFS to show 83 inches of snow in Seattle in 4 days and around 10 inches of total precipitation.    

[SnowWillarrive]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Alright... time for the GFS to show 83 inches of snow in Seattle in 4 days and around 10 inches of total precipitation.    

Greatest December storm about to commence. 

[Meatyorologist]

6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Well okay then. Make it a Cold and SNOWY one!

I'll try 

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

And now its time for the GFS to show 83 inches of snow in Seattle in 4 days and around 10 inches of total precipitation.    

GFS: “hatah’s gonna hate!” 

[Meatyorologist]

00z GFS Day 0 (Init):

4 Run Trend:

[LowerGarfield]

Remember, whoever posts the thread title should include something mundane or boring.

edited for grammar.

[Meatyorologist]

00z GFS Day 1:

4 Run Trend:

[SouthHillFrosty]

Looks a little north, same strength doe. Nothing to worry about yet 

Edited November 29, 2022 by SouthHillFrosty

[Meatyorologist]

00z GFS Day 2:

4 Run Trend:

[Phishy Wx]

In it to win it, spent the last hour getting the driveway and sidewalk cleaned off of today's 3" ish.

cancelled my work trip to houston as to not miss this week. doing that remote now.  will use the flight credit for a trip later in Q1.  it would kill me if I missed a potentially historic event.  hope I didn't jinx it

[Skagit Weather]

11 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

Remember, whoever posts the thread title should include something mundane or boring.

edited for grammar.

December not to remember?

[RentonHill]

i  dont know what this means

[Nov1985]

Game still on for Wednesday night couple o' inches.