November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[Snownerd3000]

6 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Wonder what he thinks of that Judah character?

[Sonny Summers]

10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I was thinking last night, even a winter that was solidly chilly throughout like 07-08' would seem like a tremendous win at this point. 

 

Just now, Snownerd3000 said:

Judah in his younger days before success went to his head...

[Snownerd3000]

1 minute ago, Sonny Summers said:

 

Judah in his younger days before success went to his head...

Who is coaching him you think?

[Sonny Summers]

Just now, Snownerd3000 said:

Who is coaching him you think?

Looks like Bill Murray in that video footage.

[TT-SEA]

16 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

After the dry 2 months we had a week of dry weather is almost impossible in November. Timothy!

Not an entire week but Monday-Thursday looks basically dry for the Seattle area.  As Justin and Andrew were saying... a more dynamic November is pretty nice because the alternative is usually constant light rain and drizzle and mild temps.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Not an entire week but Monday-Thursday looks basically dry for the Seattle area.  As Justin and Andrew were saying... a more dynamic November is pretty nice because the alternative is usually constant light rain and drizzle and mild temps.

I am not opposed to a dry week in November, if it is like late November 2015 or 2013. Chilly nights cool to mild days. November 2019 was cool and dry and boring as crap. November 2008 was dry and warm, and boring as crap. 

[Snownerd3000]

7 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said:

Looks like Bill Murray in that video footage.

Well I'll be damned! I thought it was Joseph Barthalomew Bastardi himself.

[Sonny Summers]

3 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Well I'll be damned! I thought it was Joseph Barthalomew Bastardi himself.

Can't argue with him. He's a great choice-the equivalent of the legendary Vince Lombardi.

[umadbro]

[Snownerd3000]

Interesting analogs here

 

[HuskyMaestro]

Really happy with an active colder November, hopefully the Alaska block stays for a long time and keeps the door open for white Thanksgiving and Christmas. One can hope. 

Hard for me to root for an ice storm though, that stuff is just so deadly. If it comes to fruition I'd have to scratch any plans for the day and beg the family to not drive anywhere. 

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Interesting analogs here

 

Oh my!! You just broke the Debbie Downer theme on the forum today…HOW DARE YOU! 
 

I had at least a foot and a half or so of snow in 1985, 8” in 1996, foot and a half in 2006…Just to name a few…

[bainbridgekid]

Second snow of the year in Whistler village at 2,200 feet today. Looks like they could see up to 6” before turning to rain tomorrow morning.

 

[Snownerd3000]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Oh my!! You just broke the Debbie Downer theme on the forum today…HOW DARE YOU! 
 

I had at least a foot and a half or so of snow in 1985, 8” in 1996, foot and a half in 2006…Just to name a few…

We will not be one and done this winter.  

[Snownerd3000]

2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

Second snow of the year in Whistler village at 2,200 feet today. Looks like they could see up to 6” before turning to rain tomorrow morning.

 

I miss Whistler.  Haven't been since before the pandemic.  Time to head back.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

For the record there is no Debbie Downer theme on the forum today. #facts

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

From the weeklies.  This is the last third of November, all 5 day averages.  I've seen worse.

 

[FroYoBro]

I hope Jesse comes back tomorrow to celebrate the rain. 

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

For the record there is no Debbie Downer theme on the forum today. #facts

There’s been a lot of naysaying the GFS snow maps, but that’s merely realism, not pessimism.

[Phishy Wx]

[MossMan]

16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

For the record there is no Debbie Downer theme on the forum today. #facts

I feel like everyone suddenly became Rich Marriott on here. Odd. I for one am always going to be like Walter Kelly! 

[Nov1985]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I feel like everyone suddenly became Rich Marriott on here. Odd. I for one am always going to be like Walter Kelly! 

 

[Phishy Wx]

Australia getting late Spring record snow

 

 

[FroYoBro]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

Australia getting late Spring record snow

 

 

Ice age now!

[Snownerd3000]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

Australia getting late Spring record snow

 

 

Didn't even know they got snow lol

[SilverFallsAndrew]

28 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

From the weeklies.  This is the last third of November, all 5 day averages.  I've seen worse.

 

This dovetails nicely with the November 1985 analog. 

[TacomaWx]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This dovetails nicely with the November 1985 analog. 

This is merely a warning shot 

[kokaneekidz]

20 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I feel like everyone suddenly became Rich Marriott on here. Odd. I for one am always going to be like Walter Kelly! 

How do you look in that oversized double breasted suit jacket?

[Skagit Weather]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Light rain moving into western WA... the 36-hour rain event begins.     I am hoping to see some impressive rain totals.    I actually like these type of rain events.

I’m actually looking forward to the next 24 hours almost more than I am to next week. This has the chance to dump some truly historic levels of rain up here. Unfortunately it will probably get the midnight split, but it may end up being one of the wettest 24 hour periods in the last 50 years in my location. Probably need about 3” or so to be the wettest day recorded which definitely looks possible up here.

Sedro-Woolley has recorded 7 days above 3” of rain in the last 125 years. Three of those days are from the last 11 years when I’ve had my weather station and barely cracked 2”. I’m more in the rainshadow so I’d imagine my max day is definitely less. 

[Omegaraptor]

13 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Didn't even know they got snow lol

Great Dividing Range in SE Australia certainly does. Their highest mountain is 7310'.

Maritime cold fronts frequently reach into subtropical latitudes in Australia as well (even in summer sometimes) since there's no land between the south coast of Australia and Antarctica.

[Phishy Wx]

And so it begins....

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Spokane WA
239 PM PDT Thu Nov 3 2022

IDZ002-003-WAZ036-040815-
/O.NEW.KOTX.WW.Y.0027.221104T0400Z-221104T1500Z/
Coeur d`Alene Area-Idaho Palouse-Spokane Area-
Including the cities of Hayden, Cheney, Airway Heights, Downtown
Spokane, Davenport, Worley, Rockford, Coeur d`Alene, Moscow, Post
Falls, Plummer, Spokane Valley, Fairfield, Potlatch, and Genesee
239 PM PDT Thu Nov 3 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM
PDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to 2 inches
  below 2,000 feet including downtown Spokane and 2 to 4 inches on
  higher benches above 2,000 feet.

* WHERE...Hayden, Cheney, Airway Heights, Downtown Spokane,
  Davenport, Worley, Rockford, Coeur d`Alene, Moscow, Post Falls,
  Plummer, Spokane Valley, Fairfield, Potlatch, and Genesee.

* WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 8 AM PDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Friday morning commute. Wet heavy snow
  may result in broken tree branches with isolated power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road
conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by
calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

[Slushy Inch]

Subfreezing at the time. Monday morning snowstorm for central sound.

[Doinko]

GFS is still showing this, temps around 33-34 too so not too unreasonable

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Up to 10.6 mm (0.42") for the day already. Really starting to come down out there now.

[SouthHillFrosty]

 

[Slushy Inch]

This can't be discounted yet; it will be cold enough Monday morning.

[T-Town]

31 minutes ago, Nov1985 said:

 

The King. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

7 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

 

Would it end the record lows in the PNW?

[TacomaWx]

4 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

This can't be discounted yet; it will be cold enough Monday morning.

Temps and DPs do look cold enough there but it looks like it’s probably way overdoing the amount of cold air getting into the lowlands. Shows 850s getting close to -15C up near the border. 

[TacomaWx]

43/37 today so far…but likely a midnight high temp later. 0.05” of rain and 0.18” MTD.