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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember


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13 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Corvallis FINALLY getting rain. Took long enough

It’s coming!!!

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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4 minutes ago, Dave said:

Nothing down here yet in the best college town in the Pac-12.

Patience is the keyword for us down here. It’ll come eventually and it’ll be great.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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2 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Whatever I want!  lol

I just go places for no reason when I have days off.  I like taking pictures. :) 

And not in a Dennis Reynolds kind of way…well I suppose that’s video so…

Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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37 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

SEA is only at .11 for the day.   What a waste of an AR event in Seattle.

They usually fare pretty well with these. Nice to see this one going more to areas usually not in the main band.

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16 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Whatever I want!  lol

I just go places for no reason when I have days off.  I like taking pictures. :) 

 

Maybe this pic is more colorful.

image.thumb.jpeg.0495d6e21bcfc5e778fe414211b8e1e1.jpeg

Haha well welcome to the neighborhood I guess! 

There's some snow still on the ground in Skykomish. Nothing in Gold Bar but delicious elk burgers 

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6 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Poor Phil

No idea why people mock the other side of the country... we all know the pattern will flip eventually.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Looks like some folks in Seattle are NOT happy about missing out on the heavy rain

https://komonews.com/news/local/interstate-5-northbound-lanes-shut-down-protesters-freeway-seattle-downtown-traffic-alert#

Those roadways are practically dry! What a sh*thole city…

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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13 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Looks like some folks in Seattle are NOT happy about missing out on the heavy rain

https://komonews.com/news/local/interstate-5-northbound-lanes-shut-down-protesters-freeway-seattle-downtown-traffic-alert#

Awesome... I'm in Seattle and need to take the bus home... FML. How much trouble do you think the bus would get in for running the protestors over...

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11 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

B8D6E3A4-5CE2-440D-9B71-ABE7F7C44F6B.jpeg

A lot of that’s still phantom snow, though it does seem that there’s a chance for a brief episode where it’s both cold enough to snow and hasn’t dried out yet (but it dries out shortly thereafter). And the ECMWF is far more pessimistic about those chances.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Awesome... I'm in Seattle and need to take the bus home... FML. How much trouble do you think the bus would get in for running the protestors over...

Question is: why the fk are they even protesting for something happening in Ethiopia? Too bad it didn’t rain here today. 

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5 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Question is: why the fk are they even protesting for something happening in Ethiopia? Too bad it didn’t rain here today. 

I think maybe a war just ended or something?

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7 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Question is: why the fk are they even protesting for something happening in Ethiopia? Too bad it didn’t rain here today. 

Great question.  I'm sorry for what is going on in the world but life is hard as it is.  I can't be bothered to worry about every injustice going on in the world and you blocking my way isn't making me sympathetic to your cause, its making pissed at you because its friday afternoon and all I want to do is go home, spend time with my kids, have some beverages and some bud after they go to sleep, put on a movie and model ride with my weather nerd homies.  Don't keep me from these thing and we good ;)

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1 hour ago, Skagit Weather said:

Looks like Aberdeen is at about 3" for the day. It would still need another inch to crack the top 30 wettest days, but the 5" in 24 hours is more impressive. That would at least make the top 10 wettest calendar days although of course there have probably been many more 24 hour periods wetter than that.

High tide from earlier and the heavy rain is flooding parts of Aberdeen right now, had to run a few errands, it was slow go.  We get more rain up this way with our elevation but don't have much flooding issues here.

Edited by GHweatherChris
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0.70” here so far today…0.82” storm total. Grass has started to come back to life in the last couple days finally. 

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-2

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-2.7”

Monthly rainfall-0.02”

Wet season rainfall-7.22”

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5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I think maybe a war just ended or something?

Soooo a war ended and they protest? They want war? Don’t really give a D**n, it’s a free country, protest away, exercise your rights. Just don’t hold up commuters by going on the freeway. 😡

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12 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Question is: why the fk are they even protesting for something happening in Ethiopia? Too bad it didn’t rain here today. 

Because some people care about more than just their own personal bottom line?

Which, needless to say (but I better say it anyway), doesn’t automatically make the tactic of blocking traffic justified.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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18 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Awesome... I'm in Seattle and need to take the bus home... FML. How much trouble do you think the bus would get in for running the protestors over...

Probably a criminal charge of some sort, quite possibly a felony one.

You believe lethal force is a reasonable response to being delayed getting home?

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Still hasn’t cracked the 50˚F barrier here. Currently 44.1˚F. Been looking at the models and the mild air is still coming. It is just going to take until after dark for it to get here. Looks like our high for the day will be around 8:00 PM.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Probably a criminal charge of some sort, quite possibly a felony one.

You believe lethal force is a reasonable response to being delayed getting home?

I obviously am kidding. But this isn't the way to make friends nor a way to way to really make people sympathetic to a cause.

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4 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

I obviously am kidding. But this isn't the way to make friends nor a way to way to really make people sympathetic to a cause.

Given how violent and polarized some of the rhetoric in the USA has gotten, it was unfortunately not obvious.

And yes, such tactics do have a potentially high negative cost when it comes to public optics and should not be chosen casually.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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  • Longtimer

I heard some fresh produce in western Norway got thrown out of a supermarket just because it was past expiration date! There are kids starving in New Orleans! WHO WANTS TO GO BLOCK THE FREEWAY IN PROTEST WITH ME???

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4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Given how violent and polarized some of the rhetoric in the USA has gotten, it was unfortunately not obvious.

And yes, such tactics do have a potentially high negative cost when it comes to public optics and should not be chosen casually.

Ya i don't even think this has anything ro do with politics but get your point.

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Starting to seem like this system may under perform here locally. Just 0.89” storm total so far…0.77” so far today. Was probably due to us hanging onto the rain shadowing longer than expected this morning. Pretty much everywhere else looks close to what the models showed. 

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-2

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-2.7”

Monthly rainfall-0.02”

Wet season rainfall-7.22”

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NWS Spokane:  Damaging Wind Storm incoming

 

Wind: Continued consistent messaging from the ensemble and high
resolution models for the impending strong and damaging winds
tonight. The bottom line is the timing and strength for the winds.
Comparing this event to Jan 2021 and Nov 2015, as many people are
remembering those events, this one is similar in many ways but a
few differences come to the top. Tonight's event will produce
winds similar in strength to 2021 with peak wind gusts of 60-70
mph focused along eastern Washington from Coeur d'Alene to the
Blue Mountains. Not to be forgotten, the east slopes of the
Cascades and the Waterville Plateau will also see quite strong
wind gusts with the cold front passage. Widespread 45-55 mph wind
gusts are expected out of the southwest.

Timing: As of mid afternoon we're seeing some spots already
gusting to 30-40 mph from Tri-cities to the Blue Mountains. The
period of strongest winds looks to be 8 pm through 4 am with the
peak wind gusts (period with the strongest gusts, 60-70 mph)
expected from 11 pm through 2 am. The longer time period will see
persistent elevated sustained winds, which typically produces
damages to trees and power outages. By 6 am Saturday morning, most
of the wind should be tapering down as the cold front pushes east
and we're left with a cold unstable airmass overhead.

Confidence: While this event has been on our focus for several
days, our confidence has continued to rise with the strength and
impact of this event. We have high confidence in this event. Where
our forecast could go wrong will be in the exact strongest wind
speeds and gusts due to an overnight high wind event. This is when
the inversion and mixing come into play and could prevent some of
that peak wind from mixing all to the surface. /Dewey

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