November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[Rubus Leucodermis]

13 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Looking at temperature maps, roughly half of that in Metro Vancouver is phantom snow. Or, to spin it more optimistically, roughly half of it is not.

[snow_wizard]

 

40 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

This “event” is feeling pretty similar to early November 2017 at this point.  Not the ‘55 and ‘85 blend we were dreaming of a few days ago  

The mins will be a lot colder here than that event.  Not sure about that aspect up your way.

[luterra]

1 hour ago, Eujunga said:

Ended up with 0.73" yesterday and 0.13" this morning for a storm total of 0.86".

Still much less than what was modeled, but I'm just glad to be in an active pattern rather than endless ridging.

You didn't make it to my 1" bet, though it appears that most stations in the Eugene area did, e.g. 1.06" at the airport.

We only made it to 0.89" at my place in Corvallis.  The almost-straight-westerly, low-altitude AR created some powerful rain-shadow effects from coast range terrain - a smaller version of the Seattle donut hole.

Corvallis airport, in the rain shadow of Marys Peak (4100'), recorded only 0.60" in the last 24 hours.  Just five miles north of me the 24-hr totals increase to 1.5", and Monroe to the south of the rain shadow is at 1.22".

The local-scale variation and shadowing effects of this event were definitely on the extreme side, e.g. less than an inch across most of the Portland metro with areas of 6"+ in the adjacent coast range and Cascades.  Impressive lowland totals straight east of the Columbia River gap in the coast range: 4"+ around Longview.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

45 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

This “event” is feeling pretty similar to early November 2017 at this point.  Not the ‘55 and ‘85 blend we were dreaming of a few days ago  

I got snow in Nov 2017. Not a lot, but I did get some. I will not complain if the same happens in this event.

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

 

The mins will be a lot colder here than that event.  Not sure about that aspect up your way.

We had a couple of mid 20s in 2017.  Could end up pretty similar this time. Maybe a touch colder if we actually get a clear calm night or two. 

[Terreboner]

1 minute ago, luterra said:

You didn't make it to my 1" bet, though it appears that most stations in the Eugene area did, e.g. 1.06" at the airport.

We only made it to 0.89" at my place in Corvallis.  The almost-straight-westerly, low-altitude AR created some powerful rain-shadow effects from coast range terrain - a smaller version of the Seattle donut hole.

Corvallis airport, in the rain shadow of Marys Peak (4100'), recorded only 0.60" in the last 24 hours.  Just five miles north of me the 24-hr totals increase to 1.5", and Monroe to the south of the rain shadow is at 1.22".

The local-scale variation and shadowing effects of this event were definitely on the extreme side, e.g. less than an inch across most of the Portland metro with areas of 6"+ in the adjacent coast range and Cascades.  Impressive lowland totals straight east of the Columbia River gap in the coast range: 4"+ around Longview.

Pretty impressive.  I won't be home until late tonight from a 4 day trip but I'm sure my totals are pathetic.

[SnowWillarrive]

36 minutes ago, GoldenEars said:

Slushy snow was coming down for a couple minutes. Was only able to snap a picture of some very wet flakes melting on a wheel fender.

Winter blowing its load too early. #science 

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Tis the season! Good size trees down on my road, a group of us showed up at the same time to cut the smaller one up to get access out from our road. On my to do list…Sharpen chainsaw chain! Didn’t get to that one yet but I still got through the tree.  

Any trees "cut down" by the wind last night?

[snow_wizard]

Just now, ShawniganLake said:

We had a couple of mid 20s in 2017.  Could end up pretty similar this time. Maybe a touch colder if we actually get a clear calm night or two. 

We never even dropped to freezing with that one, while this one is forecast to have at least a few nights well below freezing.

[snow_wizard]

I was pretty surprised it actually dropped below 40 here last night.  The warmth from that AR was barely a blip compared to most of those.

[NWbyNW]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Tis the season! Good size trees down on my road, a group of us showed up at the same time to cut the smaller one up to get access out from our road. On my to do list…Sharpen chainsaw chain! Didn’t get to that one yet but I still got through the tree.  

I'm glad you got that generator.  I recently had power restored and have been inspecting the damage.  Tons of tree limbs, leaves, and junk everywhere.  Nothing some cleaning couldn't solve.  I noticed earlier this morning the PUD website went down when I was trying to find outage info.  Opposite of you, I've only ever lost power at this house once before.  I don't have a generator but probably should invest in one just in case.  

 

Chilly in the house, down to about 64F with no heat on since the power went out.  I honestly didn't think I'd have power most of the day.

 

Again thanks everyone for all the info and updates last night.  I'm gonna go back and read it all. 

[NWbyNW]

Does anyone know a good place to find a wind map/chart of the events from last night?  

[T-Town]

Some fall colors in the neighborhood today. 

[ShawniganLake]

73mph gust at Point Atkinson. Not bad

Weather summary
for British Columbia
issued by Environment Canada
at 5:34 a.m. PDT Saturday 5 November 2022.

Discussion.

An atmospheric river affected southern BC from Thursday to Friday, 
bringing heavy rain to the south coast and snow over the interior 
and mountain passes. In the wake of the system, widespread strong 
westerly winds developed over the south coast Friday evening. 

Rainfall amounts in millimetres from 8 am PDT Thursday to 11 pm PDT 
Friday: 

Vancouver Harbour: 54.6 
Vancouver Airport: 55.8 
Burns Bog: 65.2 
Pitt Meadows 53.3 
White Rock: 56.2 
West Vancouver: 69.1 
Abbotsford Airport: 59.1 
Squamish: 45.9 
Port Mellon: 79.9 

Snoiwfall amounts in centimetres from 8 am PDT Thursday to 5 am PDT 
Saturday: 

Kelowna: 12 
Williams Lake: 11 
Blue River: 20 
Yoho Park: 10 
Prince George: 8-12 
Quesnel: 9 
Whistler: 14 

Pennask Summit: 70 
Helmer Lake: 30 
Paulson Summit: 20 
Kootenay Pass: 17 
Coquihalla Summit: 12 
Allison Pass: 15 
Brandywine: 12 
Pine Pass: 18 

Highest recorded wind gusts in km/h: 

Point Atkinson: 118 
Trial Island: 118 (approximate) 
Tsawwassen Ferry Terminal: 105 
Entrance Island: 105 
Sheringham Point: 107 
Victoria Gonzales: 100 
Hope: 100 
Cape Beale Lighthouse: 96 
Vancouver Airport: 94 
Alex Fraser Bridge: 93 
Jericho Beach: 88 
Victoria Harbour: 87 
Esquimalt Harbour: 87 
Pam Rocks - Howe Sound: 72 
Grief Point: 70 
Abbotsford Airport: 68 
Agassiz: 68 
Campbell River: 68 
Nanaimo Airport: 67 
Pitt Meadows: 67 
Saturna Island: 63 
Qualicum Beach Airport: 61

[Doinko]

Seems like we got around 2.4" of rain from the AR. Not as shadowed as I expected. 6.16" of rain since the pattern change going by Cocorahs

[ShawniganLake]

56 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

We never even dropped to freezing with that one, while this one is forecast to have at least a few nights well below freezing.

Hopefully things clear out on Tuesday down there for you. 

[Deweydog]

21 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Seems like we got around 2.4" of rain from the AR. Not as shadowed as I expected. 6.16" of rain since the pattern change going by Cocorahs

I had a bowl of Coco Rahs for breakfast this morning.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Normally I'd be heading up to my cabin for the storm but I can't get motivated to do it. I honestly think I'm having depression issues.   

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Life has been a clusterfuck lately. 

Edited November 5, 2022 by MR.SNOWMIZER

[Deweydog]

5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Normally I'd be heading up to my cabin for the storm but I can't get motivated to do it. I honestly think I'm having depression issues.   

Could be SAD?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

8 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Normally I'd be heading up to my cabin for the storm but I can't get motivated to do it. I honestly think I'm having depression issues.   

Hope you're ok man. Y'all have done so much for me so I'm thinking the best for you. Bummed to hear you're struggling right now.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

6 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Could be SAD?

Possible but I've never been affected that much about it that I know of.  

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

Road to Paradise stays closed today at Mt. Rainier. Webcams up there are off-line. Snow at Longmire. 

Webcams at Snoqualmie pass and ski resort also offline except for one. 

Surprisingly, Olympic National Park doesn't have a closure notice for Hurricane Ridge and their webcam is working. 

Stevens Pass webcams also down. 

 

 

[ShawniganLake]

Love it!

 

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Love it!

 

I'd be happy with flakes in the air this early in the season.

[Deweydog]

5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Possible but I've never been affected that much about it that I know of.  

Also could be 2020-2022…

[joelgombiner]

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

7 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Love it!

 

Can you post the Eastern Washington map please 

[Deweydog]

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Going to get hot in Alaska. By Alaska standards. 

[Blizzard777]

2 hours ago, MossMan said:

I don’t like that one, let’s go back to seeing the pretty ones with the awesome colors like blue and purple and whatnot. 

Formal protest of map acknowledged and map being tossed out.  I stand in favor 

[Blizzard777]

1 hour ago, T-Town said:

Some fall colors in the neighborhood today. 

My fall colors are now scattered down the street !

[TacomaWx]

Euro continues to show snow here but it’s falling at 37-38 degrees. Looking good for snow in places like BC…whatcom county…port angeles and possibly the kitsap peninsula though. It’s consistently showing precip in my area but just doesn’t seem likely it’ll be cold enough Sunday/Monday. 

[bainbridgekid]

KPAE’s weather station was knocked offline at 11:15 last night so we may never know how strong by the wind actually was in Everett. Tree damage was impressive though here. A friend on Whidbey said she saw a 74 mph gust on the South end of the island last night which is definitely big time.

[TacomaWx]

Beautiful day here NW flow should keep us dry with sunbreaks. 47 after a low of 44. 

[TT-SEA]

Drove up to Bellingham... fall colors are spectacular in the Seattle area up to south Everett.   Then from Marysville up through Randy's area the trees are basically stripped of leaves.   

This was in Bothell at a bathroom break for my daughter...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 hour ago, Terreboner said:

Pretty impressive.  I won't be home until late tonight from a 4 day trip but I'm sure my totals are pathetic.

Hope you had a good time in VEGAS. 

[Doinko]

Nice sky in Portland right now

[bainbridgekid]

12z spits out a comical 8" of almost certainly phantom snow tonight in Everett. 

 

[bainbridgekid]

The snow maps didn't used to be like this. They must have changed something. They've always been far from perfect and always had biases, but this is ridiculous. The number of times they've shown literally 10+ inches of snow here within 48 hours while predicting temperatures well above freezing the last couple years has been extremely frustrating. 

The 12z GFS does think that heavy band will drop Everett to 33 degrees tonight around 4 AM though. Very little chance that comes close to happening though. 38 degree rain is much more reasonable.