Cascadia_Wx Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, selkirks said: Just dropping in to say "ugh" to the lack of precip in the midrange. That makes two of us! 5 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: GFS is still steadfast on a snow event in the Puget Sound region Monday night. Subfreezing temps, weak Arctic front. Now within 2 and a half days. Personally, I believe it's being too aggressive with that surface Arctic front, and we'll be left dry by the time it really gets here. But there's always a chance! If it does indeed snow Monday night, temperatures will have a difficult time reaching freezing on Tuesday due to the snowcover. And the overnight mins could be extreme, even with small accumulations. Guess we'll have to see with the surface details. Snow shows up Monday early evening and would be cold enough to support snowfall. I still think it's being a bit aggressive as well so we'll see how it plays out. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: I'm within 50 m of the forecast snow level tonight. Any negative departures in the temperature and I score. Nice! I'm just nestled in the foothills at a low elevation. Temps wind up overperforming both ways here so fingers crossed. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Cloud said: Guess we'll have to see with the surface details. Snow shows up Monday early evening and would be cold enough to support snowfall. I still think it's being a bit aggressive as well so we'll see how it plays out. I can tell you it will not be snowing in Hoquiam or here at 1 PM on Monday. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luterra Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Perturbed Member said: At least as of 5 AM today HIO reported 1.88in and PDX 1.84in over the past 24 hours. Much less than what the GFS was modeling but the GFS was always on the high end compared to other models. HIO did escape the massive shadow that the WRF predicted for it. Yes, I was looking at 24-hour totals which missed the early part of the AR from Portland northward. Most PDX stations over an inch but in the downtown area at river level mostly less than 1.5" 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 Seems inevitable that this will flip at some point... 2 1 1 1 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 This could be a long one. Fired up the fire as the house was starting to get a bit chilly. Currently 44 outside and up to 64 inside. 1 1 5 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MossMan Posted November 5, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 1 minute ago, joelgombiner said: Seems inevitable that this will flip at some point... Nope…They are going to fry all winter and we are going to have epic event after epic event! 12 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 Graupel shower. 42 degrees 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 12Z Euro has come on board with snow chances IMBY Monday morning. Surface temps are +1˚C with 925's of -1˚C during this time frame. 2 1 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: 12Z Euro has come on board with snow chances IMBY Monday morning. Surface temps are +1˚C with 925's of -1˚C during this time frame. But I’m in the white. 1 4 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 (edited) Once again my place did quite well with the big windstorm last night (knock on wood) this was the only thing I will need to take care of as it’s in my driveway turnaround by the main road. Otherwise we lost a few good sized alders but well into the woods where they will stay. Big tree is still across the main road to my north. We have had big winds each winter since moving here in spring of 2018. January 2021 we were without power for 4 days. Edited November 5, 2022 by MossMan 1 3 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 8 minutes ago, MossMan said: But I’m in the white. Your best chance is a bit earlier. 1 1 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 New format or did I hit some setting? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 It snowed 2” 5yrs ago today. 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Pretty amazing how heinous the mid range is trending. Not feeling too bad about my call for a near to slightly above average month temp wise. Probably a little drier than average too. Glad we’re getting some really epic payback for the absolutely unprecedented run of heat mid July through October! You would not like it here 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Pretty amazing how heinous the mid range is trending. Not feeling too bad about my call for a near to slightly above average month temp wise. Probably a little drier than average too. Glad we’re getting some really epic payback for the absolutely unprecedented run of heat mid July through October! Going to be pretty hard to end up with a mild November after the first third is colder than the normal monthly average. A lot of Gorge outflow being shown for week two. 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: You would not like it here Few on here would. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 49 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: 12Z Euro has come on board with snow chances IMBY Monday morning. Surface temps are +1˚C with 925's of -1˚C during this time frame. Good chance you will score something up there. There is going to be some pretty cold Fraser outflow during this. 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 Michael Snyder is pretty bullish on Sunday night / Monday morning snow for metro Vancouver, too. 4 2 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 8 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: You would not like it here Have relatives in SoCal and have visited many times and you are correct. Nothing against those who live there, but it is not for me. 2 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 Hmm… 0.2”. sounds accurate 1 2 1 1 My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 51/44 today with no rainfall…although it’s likely we get a midnight low considering it’s 47 here currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 23 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Few on here would. Pretty hard to find a more boring climate in the US than coastal lowland SoCal 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 Here it comes! Here comes that unseasonably early November cold shot that was once looking very cold only to then look fairly cold only to be watered down to very chilly air mass! We've all said it at some point in our lives, but imagine if the trough was centered 200-300 miles further east. 5 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 1 hour ago, joelgombiner said: Seems inevitable that this will flip at some point... It already did? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Mr Marine Layer said: New format or did I hit some setting? Figured it out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 So why was Spokane NWS forecast discussion talking about Hugh winds back on Monday (and possibly earlier) while Seattle NWS didn't really take ot very seriously? At least until it was happening for areas outside of the Strait? Portland issued watches ahead of time. What's going on with Seattle? I really like them; it just seems weird to me. Gun shy? Ultra conservative? Something else? (Also bringing this up to let my inner-weenie out and point out that I was having some thoughts about wind before hand...and remind everyone of my windstorm and snow predictions for December. You're welcome. ) 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 59 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: You would not like it here Looks pretty good to me. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Vancouver and Whatcom county pick up a few inches on the latest 18z ecmwf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said: Vancouver and Whatcom county pick up a few inches on the latest 18z ecmwf Still showing phantom snow in the south sound? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Miami be like yall come on down' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 12 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Still showing phantom snow in the south sound? Yes around .5 inch of phantom snow near Tacoma 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 37 minutes ago, T-Town said: Looks pretty good to me. Me too. You can like pleasant weather destinations also like storms and snow. 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 Just now, lowlandsnow said: Yes around .5 inch of phantom snow near Tacoma Post wxbell map if you got it please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 3 hours ago, joelgombiner said: Seems inevitable that this will flip at some point... It just flipped in favor of a cold west. We were in the warmth a few weeks ago. Pretty crazy how amplified things are remaining. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said: I still think we will see some flakes at some point…but overall besides colder overnight lows than early November 2017…this looks like it’ll be less impressive than 2017 here in Tacoma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 6, 2022 Report Share Posted November 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said: I have no expectations for snow from this and being so early I'm not that disappointed about it. This one is going to be more about the cold mins. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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