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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember


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3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Nice to see such sustained -EPO in the models.

Unless you want lots of rain in the PNW.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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  • Longtimer
2 minutes ago, selkirks said:

Or just precip generally. Cold zonal flow is best for mountain snow! 🙂

Good thing the mountains are in excellent shape for early November going into this coolish and dry spell. I think the pattern will turn more active again the last 1/3 of the month.

Over 8” of rain here since the pattern flip on 10/21 as well, so not too bad 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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  • Longtimer

Been dumping buckets here in Salem. Holy crap. 0.92" since midnight at SLE. Wild stuff. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Reverse of normal...last couple weeks have been pretty wet everywhere in the western lowlands except by you!

14dPNormWRCC-NW.png

Salem is already at 4.86" of rain on the month. Their long term average for November is a little over 6", seem to be on track. 

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
  • Rain 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

39 at CVO, 43 at SLE, 52 and sunny in EUGENE.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

39 at CVO, 43 at SLE, 52 and sunny in EUGENE.

What is up with this pattern actually?  It looks like an offshore low rotating showers onshore.  But it's behaving as a stationary front of sorts with a band of heavy precip that has remained in place for two days with a break overnight.

0.92" on the day and pouring here (though some of that is still melted snow in the gauge from yesterday), 2.20" since yesterday morning, 37.6 degrees at my house.

I could see the sunshine to the SE this morning.

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4 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Still dumping rain in Corvallis. By the way the radar is empty.

Very low level moisture?  Radar has not reflected precip intensity here at all over the last two days.

Is the "cold bubble" that developed during yesterday's wet bulb/cold air damming event driving local precip rates somehow?

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  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Hot off the presses!

222667903_Euroweeklies11-7-222MTanomolies.gif

Not bad. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
Just now, luterra said:

Very low level moisture?  Radar has not reflected precip intensity here at all over the last two days.

Is the "cold bubble" that developed during yesterday's wet bulb/cold air damming event driving local precip rates somehow?

It was dumping snow at my place last night with nothing showing up on radar for hours. Our radar coverage is just embarrassing. 

  • Snow 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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48 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Good thing the mountains are in excellent shape for early November going into this coolish and dry spell. I think the pattern will turn more active again the last 1/3 of the month.

Over 8” of rain here since the pattern flip on 10/21 as well, so not too bad 

Wet enough for ya?

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1 minute ago, luterra said:

Very low level moisture?  Radar has not reflected precip intensity here at all over the last two days.

Is the "cold bubble" that developed during yesterday's wet bulb/cold air damming event driving local precip rates somehow?

It's definitely low level stuff. But yeah Benton, Linn, Lane, and Douglas counties don't have good radar coverage in general as well as Central OR with low level moisture. It does look brighter S/E towards Eugene.

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24 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

The weather coming up looks gorgeous. The foothills should look about as wintry as they’ve looked this early in a very long time.

Already started here...

20221107_130512.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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29 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Good perspective Jesse. I think sometimes we fall into the disease of more and fail to appreciate the good.

Many of us have seen flakes fly in their own backyard, and it’s just the first week of November. For this climate, that’s pretty good.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Many of us have seen flakes fly in their own backyard, and it’s just the first week of November. For this climate, that’s pretty good.

It is, even at my higher elevation, this is already our snowiest November of the 12 I have lived here. All falling a week before my earliest snow during that time period. Trying to enjoy the moment... That missive was aimed more at myself than anyone else. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It is, even at my higher elevation, this is already our snowiest November of the 12 I have lived here. All falling a week before my earliest snow during that time period. Trying to enjoy the moment... That missive was aimed more at myself than anyone else. 

Not the coldest though 

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  • Longtimer

3 hour precip of 0.72" at SLE. 

  • Rain 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
3 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Not the coldest though 

I suppose not. Though it's probably been some time since my location had 3 sub-40 highs in the first week of November. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

KRTX was down all morning. Back up now!

krtx_20221107_2120_BR_0.5.png

Looks like it stays wet for the next 1-2 hours across the mid-valley. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

My current snow pile situation! 
41 degrees outside and 66 degrees inside. 

3601C9B8-3BC5-402B-8FB2-25E3DE861433.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

The Pacific will be open up for business long before Thanksgiving.

Some of these massive blocks look primed to be undercut. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Some of these massive blocks look primed to be undercut. 

Yeah, I don’t think we’re done with significant baroclinic action this month.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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  • Longtimer
35 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like it stays wet for the next 1-2 hours across the mid-valley. 

Extreme model bust on precip amounts for today.  Making up for Friday's underperforming AR.

1.10", still dumping at 37.2F

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Live view from Issaquah... just doesn't look like the second week of November.     Looks more like early October.  

SE_56thELSP_SE (2).jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Live view from Issaquah... just doesn't look like the second week of November.     Looks more like early October.  

SE_56thELSP_SE (2).jpg

Fred might have something to say about this one...

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