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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember


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  • Longtimer
3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Pretty significant cold pattern throughout the country

And we’re mostly sitting under the ridge that’s driving the cold air down. Would be nice if it trended a little closer to affecting us more significantly. Kind of like the 12z Euro showed.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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  • Longtimer
19 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Our noridgenovember didn’t last long. 

Most people’s nonutnovember was even shorter.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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32 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

 

Does that map mean much of NW Canada and parts of Greenland haven't had snow yet either?

Off the coast of Oregon on the other hand . . . 

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

2021-22: 17.75"

-12/24: 0.5"

-12/26: 8.5"

-12/27: 1.5"

-12/29-30: 4"

-1/2: 2"

-1/5: 0.5"

-2/22: 0.25"

-2/24: 0.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

2020-21: 14.5”

 

 

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Windier runs ahead? Foggier runs ahead? We need something and fast or else I'll have to resort to more outlandish GIFs.

Ohhh, wait!

Don't forget about the Lunar Eclipse beginning around 12:02 AM, Partial Eclipse 1:09 AM, and totality around 2:17 AM. Root for Moon Breaks!
I assume it will be just like last time though....
1 baloney 2.jpg
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11/8/22 12:32 AM ...ENSO Update...
La Niña strengthens
 
Update prepared by:
Climate Prediction Center / NCEP
November, 7 2022
 
____ENSO Alert System Status: *La Niña Advisory La Niña is present.
 
*Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across most of the Pacific Ocean.
 
*The tropical atmospheric circulation is consistent with La Niña.
 
There is a ~75% chance of La Niña during the Northern Hemisphere winter (December-February) 2022-23, with a ~54% chance for ENSO-neutral in February-April 2023.*
 
*This weeks SST Departures:
Niño 4
: -1.0ºC
Niño 3.4: -1.1ºC
Niño 3: -1.1ºC
Niño 1+2: -1.8ºC
 
Oceanic Niño Index (ONI): ASO (August-September-October) -1.0ºC.
*Previous ONI:
JAS (July-August-September) -0.9ºC.
 
Full technical and detailed information can be found here: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/
No photo description available.
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Pressure Gradients UPDATE
Fraser Valley gradients continue to tick upward.
 
 
1 AM
[Fraser Valley Gradients]
BLI-YWL
: -18.5mb
BLI-YHE: -10.5mb
BLI-WLY: -17.2mb
YWL-WLY: -1.3mb
YWL-YHE
: -7.0mb
WLY-YHE: -5.7mb
*Legend: BLI = Bellingham, YWL = Williams Lake, WLY = Lytton, YHE = Hope
A -Negative value denotes easterly/northerly flow
A +Positive value denotes westerly/onshore flow
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Beautiful eclipse. The clouds cleared at the perfect time for me and my wife to watch the moon move into earth's shadow. Really nice to have something sentimental like that as both her and I have not been doing well health-wise lately.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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18 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Beautiful eclipse. The clouds cleared at the perfect time for me and my wife to watch the moon move into earth's shadow. Really nice to have something sentimental like that as both her and I have not been doing well health-wise lately.

I'm glad you both could enjoy it and found some meaning, peace. Have a good night bro.

12z GFS in 4 hours 50 minutes
12z ECMWF in 7 hours

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One last post. Good night all.

Pressure Gradients
UPDATE
Offshore gradients are now developing and will continue to strengthen today. I do have a light easterly breeze now and it is a very cold wind! Those who live east of I-205 and in/near the Gorge it won't feel very warm today!
2 AM
[Gorge/Gap Gradients]
PDX-DLS
: -1.6mb
TTD-DLS: -1.8mb
[Cross Cascade Gradients]
PDX-YKM
: -3.8mb
PDX-MWH: -4.5mb
PDX-GEG: -6.8mb
OTH-GEG: -8.3mb
*Legend: PDX = Portland, DLS = The Dalles, TTD = Troutdale, YKM = Yakima, MWH = Moses Lake, GEG = Spokane, OTH = North Bend
A -Negative value denotes easterly/northerly flow
A +Positive value denotes westerly/onshore flow
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The only thing I dislike about the time change is my cat waking me up at 4:30 AM thinking its time to eat. Ugh. Little furry turd. Anyhow. 6z GEFS brings back a wet weather pattern just after Day 7. Who knows maybe what we thought was going to be a prolonged ridgy/cold pool/inversion dry spell won't really come to fruition? The CMCE agrees, and EPS does, but delays the pattern change a bit longer.

ens_image.php?geoid=135728&var=201&run=6

floop-gefsens-2022110806.qpf_acc-mean-imp.us_nw(1).gif

floop-epsens-2022110800.qpf_acc-mean-imp.us_nw.gif

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  • Longtimer

06z GFS brings the rain back. Seems like a logical path forward. The pattern is a bit of a mess but starting to get its act together by the end. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Melted out the rain gauge. 1.69” yesterday. 8.39” for the month. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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34F and gusty from the north at my place. Pretty dry air too.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 48"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 2.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 1.5”; December 3rd, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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  • Longtimer

Looks like PDX has plunged to 37. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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5 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

NNW winds 15-20 

36* 🥶

Totally protected from the north wind and foggy out here.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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  • Longtimer

Looks like my daughter has her 2nd consecutive snow day!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

Still flurries here. Ended up with about 2.5”

Your location has a pretty ideal climate IMO. 

Extremely jealous of that August average high. Your winter time averages are a couple degrees warmer than here, but you also get arctic air much more frequently than us. 

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Currently 29.8 degrees. First freeze of the season! Power came on at 1am this morning…We had a lot of non generator circuit lights on at 10:30pm Friday night apparently! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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  • Longtimer

 

Just now, MossMan said:

Currently 29.8 degrees. First freeze of the season! Power came on at 1am this morning…We had a lot of non generator circuit lights on at 10:30pm Friday night apparently! 

Glad your power finally came back on! That's a long time to be on the generator. Been there done that... What kind of generator do you have again? 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Looks like we have dropped to 30 now under clearing skies. The deciduous trees got crushed… 

D148E4D2-50BF-40D9-82E4-59E16B1F242B.jpeg

51E9F095-702A-4F95-B2C6-01BA9DC78652.jpeg

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  • Snow 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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12 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Currently 29.8 degrees. First freeze of the season! Power came on at 1am this morning…We had a lot of non generator circuit lights on at 10:30pm Friday night apparently! 

Our power went out Friday night, and luckily came back on around 2am....unluckily, we had about every light on in the house and I didn't turn them off.....kinda reminded me when  'ole Clark Grizwald finally got the Christmas lights to work and there was this sudden blinding light

 

 

Christmas-Vacation-Clark-Griswold-Lights.jpg

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Been hovering around 29 pretty much all night.  We got just enough snow to turn everything white, but it stopped by about 9:30 or so.  Most of it has evaporated in the very dry air coming out with the Frasier outflow.

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