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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember


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51/42 today…still no rainfall but showers are moving inland just SW of Olympia. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

well already then

image.thumb.png.861553675f412fcd5b2df360fd6f14a3.png

12Z ECMWF did show some snow in far eastern WA on Thursday night into Friday morning...

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-7628000.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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You all, it's snowing here in Pomeroy but not sticking. I made my wife check for me because I'm still on call until 5:15.

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  • Snow 1

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2022-2023 snowfall totals: 2 inches

Highest snow total (per event): 1 inch: Nov 1

Most recent accumulating (non Trace) snowfall: .20 on 12/4/22

Days with any snow: 11/1/22, 11/28/22, 12/01/22 (trace), 12/02/22 (Trace)

First freeze: 11/3/22 (yes, after the first snowfall)

Coldest low: 13F (11/29/2022)

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14 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Winterization complete. 

A9FA7600-8BD4-4661-85E9-657BF6601C1A.jpeg

I stacked patio chairs yesterday, regardless of whether it’s coming or not. Created quite a 45 second endorphin high.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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15 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

well already then

image.thumb.png.861553675f412fcd5b2df360fd6f14a3.png

Really crappy video but almost done.

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  • Snow 1

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2022-2023 snowfall totals: 2 inches

Highest snow total (per event): 1 inch: Nov 1

Most recent accumulating (non Trace) snowfall: .20 on 12/4/22

Days with any snow: 11/1/22, 11/28/22, 12/01/22 (trace), 12/02/22 (Trace)

First freeze: 11/3/22 (yes, after the first snowfall)

Coldest low: 13F (11/29/2022)

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4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I stacked patio chairs yesterday, regardless of whether it’s coming or not. Created quite a 45 second endorphin high.

That’s man work right there. 

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27 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Winterization complete. 

A9FA7600-8BD4-4661-85E9-657BF6601C1A.jpeg

That is my next task!   I did get the boat winterized today.   Even though the boat sits in a separate garage all winter... its not heated and not worth the risk.   The mobile marine guy who came out today told me that he had 5 of his regular customers skip winterizing last fall and all 5 ruined their engines.   Presumably during that arctic outbreak around Christmas.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Down to 43F with some moderate rain.

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  • Rain 2

Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

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My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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NWS Spokane afternoon discussion snippet

 

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=afdotx

 

First lowland snowfall of the season Thursday night and Friday
morning followed by strong winds Friday night and Saturday
morning...

Thursday night and Friday...A wave will move over the ridge and
provide a period of widespread snow for the region. The snow will
start Thursday late evening and continue through the night. A
little more uncertainty about the precip type come the Friday
morning commute as some locations like Spokane and Coeur d'Alene
will be hovering right around freezing. NBM has come in a bit
colder than the previous forecast. This has bumped up our 
snowfall potential. Also, precipitation rates could be moderate to
locally heavy, which would promote better snow accumulation on 
the roads and through the commute hours. Most valleys will see 1 
to 3 inches of snow. There could be locally higher amounts along 
the WA/ID border. The mountains will see more, generally 3 to 6 
inches at mountain passes with higher accumulations at higher 
elevations.

*Impacts: We have only had about 2 weeks of fall like temperatures
 across the region. This heavy wet snow could pose problems for
 many of the trees that have yet to drop their leaves. While we
 are not currently forecasting snow amounts like we saw in October
 2019, it does bear watching as totals have gone up since this
 morning. 

Winds will increase Thursday night and further throughout the day 
Friday. Temperatures Friday will warm into the 40s as a warm front
moves in. This will transition the snow to rain, even across many
of the mountains. 

Friday night and Saturday...Rain and high mountain snow will 
continue. Focus turns to the winds. Winds will increase through
the evening, peaking late evening through the very early morning
hours Saturday. Sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph across the
Columbia Basin, Palouse into the Spokane region is expected. Gusts
35 to 50 mph is in the forecast. Some of the higher elevations of
the central Cascades and central ID Panhandle mountains will see
strong gusty winds. 

*Impacts: Isolated to scattered tree damage and power outages from
 these winds is possible. Unsecured items will be blown around.
 Difficult travel conditions due to cross winds, especially across
 the Columbia Basin. 

The winds will continue through Saturday as colder air from a 
trough approaching the west coast moves towards the Inland 
Northwest. Sustained speeds of 15 to 25 mph and gusts to 35 mph
will continue through the afternoon.

Saturday night through Tuesday...Rounds of precipitation will 
continue across the region as the trough moves inland. The 
important thing to note is that temperatures will become quite 
cold by Monday...about 10 to 15 degrees below average for early 
November. We have forecasted highs Monday and Tuesday in the upper
20s and 30s. Low temps starting Sat night and through the 
remainder of the period will be in the teens to 20s. The colder 
valley pockets of northern WA and ID could see single digit lows.
Under this unstable progressive flow that will mean more snowfall. 
Fall sure didn't last long... /Nisbet

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11 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Thanks for typing it all out. I don’t have time to be clicking on no damm links. 

It's nice to have the full text of the discussion in the forum instead of just a link because the link will break when the next discussion comes out. Obviously we don't need all the extra junk that usually comes at the end of the discussion, but I think what was posted was the right amount and it's nice it will be available if we come back and read this tomorrow/next month/next year.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 7.3"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75"

2022-23: Tr (11/7: Tr, 11/29: Flakes, 11/30: Flakes, 12/1: Flakes, 12/2: Tr)

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5 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

It's nice to have the full text of the discussion in the forum instead of just a link because the link will break when the next discussion comes out. Obviously we don't need all the extra junk that usually comes at the end of the discussion, but I think what was posted was the right amount and it's nice it will be available if we come back and read this tomorrow/next month/next year.

I agree. There was a similar critique made yesterday and I was just having some fun with it. 

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15 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

It's nice to have the full text of the discussion in the forum instead of just a link because the link will break when the next discussion comes out. Obviously we don't need all the extra junk that usually comes at the end of the discussion, but I think what was posted was the right amount and it's nice it will be available if we come back and read this tomorrow/next month/next year.

I use the Iowa (I think?) site to read them which I think archives them, could be wrong though. 

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1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

I use the Iowa (I think?) site to read them which I think archives them, could be wrong though. 

Iowa State Cyclones!!

http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/#

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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10 minutes ago, T-Town said:

I agree. There was a similar critique made yesterday and I was just having some fun with it. 

Yeah, I couldn't remember who had made the critique, but was posting this for general commentary sake 🙂

  • Like 2

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 7.3"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75"

2022-23: Tr (11/7: Tr, 11/29: Flakes, 11/30: Flakes, 12/1: Flakes, 12/2: Tr)

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The rain is coming back!!!  But my eyes are currently perches on Eastern Washington and around Spokane!  Rain or snow depending on location. Large band of snow in the SE corner of the state and into Oregon.

 

Screen Shot 2022-11-01 at 6.30.15 PM.png

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18 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

It's nice to have the full text of the discussion in the forum instead of just a link because the link will break when the next discussion comes out. Obviously we don't need all the extra junk that usually comes at the end of the discussion, but I think what was posted was the right amount and it's nice it will be available if we come back and read this tomorrow/next month/next year.

Exactly!  I can't tell you how many times I've looked for answers only to find a link to something that no longer works.  I praise websites that have people type or post images of things that don't disappear.  Forums like this are really time capsules if they are kept running.  So much valuable info on them.

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  • Longtimer
9 minutes ago, Doinko said:

814analog.off.gif
Pretty great analogs for the most part

 

EFE01490-4BBD-4304-941E-4683A291DF8F.jpeg

512576C5-4EBB-4389-BC19-E566D92388D5.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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44 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

NWS Spokane afternoon discussion snippet

 

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=afdotx

 

First lowland snowfall of the season Thursday night and Friday
morning followed by strong winds Friday night and Saturday
morning...

Thursday night and Friday...A wave will move over the ridge and
provide a period of widespread snow for the region. The snow will
start Thursday late evening and continue through the night. A
little more uncertainty about the precip type come the Friday
morning commute as some locations like Spokane and Coeur d'Alene
will be hovering right around freezing. NBM has come in a bit
colder than the previous forecast. This has bumped up our 
snowfall potential. Also, precipitation rates could be moderate to
locally heavy, which would promote better snow accumulation on 
the roads and through the commute hours. Most valleys will see 1 
to 3 inches of snow. There could be locally higher amounts along 
the WA/ID border. The mountains will see more, generally 3 to 6 
inches at mountain passes with higher accumulations at higher 
elevations.

*Impacts: We have only had about 2 weeks of fall like temperatures
 across the region. This heavy wet snow could pose problems for
 many of the trees that have yet to drop their leaves. While we
 are not currently forecasting snow amounts like we saw in October
 2019, it does bear watching as totals have gone up since this
 morning. 

Winds will increase Thursday night and further throughout the day 
Friday. Temperatures Friday will warm into the 40s as a warm front
moves in. This will transition the snow to rain, even across many
of the mountains. 

Friday night and Saturday...Rain and high mountain snow will 
continue. Focus turns to the winds. Winds will increase through
the evening, peaking late evening through the very early morning
hours Saturday. Sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph across the
Columbia Basin, Palouse into the Spokane region is expected. Gusts
35 to 50 mph is in the forecast. Some of the higher elevations of
the central Cascades and central ID Panhandle mountains will see
strong gusty winds. 

*Impacts: Isolated to scattered tree damage and power outages from
 these winds is possible. Unsecured items will be blown around.
 Difficult travel conditions due to cross winds, especially across
 the Columbia Basin. 

The winds will continue through Saturday as colder air from a 
trough approaching the west coast moves towards the Inland 
Northwest. Sustained speeds of 15 to 25 mph and gusts to 35 mph
will continue through the afternoon.

Saturday night through Tuesday...Rounds of precipitation will 
continue across the region as the trough moves inland. The 
important thing to note is that temperatures will become quite 
cold by Monday...about 10 to 15 degrees below average for early 
November. We have forecasted highs Monday and Tuesday in the upper
20s and 30s. Low temps starting Sat night and through the 
remainder of the period will be in the teens to 20s. The colder 
valley pockets of northern WA and ID could see single digit lows.
Under this unstable progressive flow that will mean more snowfall. 
Fall sure didn't last long... /Nisbet

(Anger intensifies), I thought we discussed this the other day? 

Lol

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Some very consistent snow in Eastern Washington and Oregon, as well as a decent dumping on the Olympics.  Fantastically heavy band of rain coming in through Aberdeen and towards Shelton.  Great night for radar watching.

image.gif.66b82676f15473369e199008e4893ac3.gif

 

 

 

portangeles_radarAnim-640x480.gif

olympia_radarAnim-640x480.gif

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5 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

The rain is coming back!!!  But my eyes are currently perches on Eastern Washington and around Spokane!  Rain or snow depending on location. Large band of snow in the SE corner of the state and into Oregon.

 

Screen Shot 2022-11-01 at 6.30.15 PM.png

Yep, that's where I am. Some friends of my spouse and son live in the foothills outside of our town. Their yard looks like AiTahoe's. Hearing that it is snowing in Pullman too. 

  • Like 4

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2022-2023 snowfall totals: 2 inches

Highest snow total (per event): 1 inch: Nov 1

Most recent accumulating (non Trace) snowfall: .20 on 12/4/22

Days with any snow: 11/1/22, 11/28/22, 12/01/22 (trace), 12/02/22 (Trace)

First freeze: 11/3/22 (yes, after the first snowfall)

Coldest low: 13F (11/29/2022)

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Already down to 42 tonight.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 5.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 24

Lows 32 or below = 24

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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1 hour ago, LowerGarfield said:

Really crappy video but almost done.

Nice! 

Your fall color looks WAY behind there.  That is going to change real quick now.

  • Like 3

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 5.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 24

Lows 32 or below = 24

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

1978 shows up again!

One of those rare seasons where Nov - Jan were all cold.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 5.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 24

Lows 32 or below = 24

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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3 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

1978 shows up again!

I was not quite 2yrs old then so my memories of that event are not very sharp. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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