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2022 Election Results


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2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

It's already begun...

https://www.mediaite.com/politics/conservatives-call-for-gop-to-move-on-from-politically-toxic-trump-after-red-wave-fails-to-materialize/

The more I think about this, the more I'm ok with it. This will really give Republican leaders the wall they can hide behind as they push Trump out. A legitimate thing that they can point to and McConnell can say, "See? I told ya so" as they blame Trump for the underperformance. 

This with the strong showing by De Santis could work out well. 

AS LONG AS WE TAKE THE HOUSE!

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Locally my state representative was re-elected by a 67-33% margin. He is a Republican, former Silverton police chief. Silverton is purple politically, but surrounding areas and other parts of our district are heavily Republican. 

Looks like Drazan is going to win Marion County by about 14-15%, really strong showing by a Republican Candidate. 

Right now I think OR-4 leans towards Hoyle (D), sorry SnowWiz, redistricting made that one tough. 

Chavez-Deremer is up about 5% right now in District 5, that one is a tossup. But could be a Republican pickup. 

The Salinas/Erickson race is really close. Still some outstanding vote in Yamhill and Marion that will skew Republican, but I think Salinas will hold on. 

Governor's race is very close, but I think Kotek wins by about 60-70K votes. 

Democrats may lose their super majority in the Oregon House, right now Republicans are leading in 24 of 60 races, they are within 1-3% in about 5-6 other races, so they could potentially end up flipping 4-5 seats in the state house. Things do not seem to be going quite as well on the Senate side. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Interesting to note there's a Libertarian in the GA Senate race who has over 2%.  In a runoff most of those votes would probably go to Walker.

Going to be a different electorate, a base electorate if you will. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The Republicans have to win AK, NV, WI, and GA to get 51 in the Senate.  That could happen.  Ending up at 50 again is probably where we will end up though.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Man I hate the ranked choice voting.  Makes everything way more complicated.  The AK races are so confusing I have no idea if anyone will actually win or not.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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This state(Oregon) is so fking retarded. Kotex did nothing for 9 years. Did nothing along with Commie Kate when rioters tried to destroy downtown PDX for over 130 consecutive nights. Not only did they do nothing, when Trump offered to end it they told him to take a hike. Then on the ballot tonight is some bullshit about pronouns, how fkin retarded can you be, and of course Measure 114 which would only impact law abiding citizens. The dumbest people in the state voting away their constitutional rights, and to make their families and communities less safe. I mean how can people be this stupid. Multnomah County can fk off.

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Well a Republican will win the Alaska Senate race, but which one. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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192 / 164 on the House count.  It would be pretty tough for the Republicans to come up short now.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

This state(Oregon) is so fking retarded. Kotex did nothing for 9 years. Did nothing along with Commie Kate when rioters tried to destroy downtown PDX for over 130 consecutive nights. Not only did they do nothing, when Trump offered to end it they told him to take a hike. Then on the ballot tonight is some bullshit about pronouns, how fkin retarded can you be, and of course Measure 114 which would only impact law abiding citizens. The dumbest people in the state voting away their constitutional rights, and to make their families and communities less safe. I mean how can people be this stupid. Multnomah County can fk off.

Sounds like King County up here.  I am really dumbfounded why so many people vote Democrat.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Just now, snow_wizard said:

Sounds like King County up here.  I am really dumbfounded why so many people vote Democrat.

Because they watch CNN and can no longer think for themselves. They truly think if they vote for anything but blue that racists are going to take over the country, or their rights and civil rights are in jeopardy. No one votes for Democrats based on their policies because they don't have any.

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1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Sounds like King County up here.  I am really dumbfounded why so many people vote Democrat.

It’s a lesser of 2 evils thing…the Republican Party is not great either. Peoples decision making mostly comes off of their education, their political leaning in their families growing up and what news channel they’re watching ultimately. 

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4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I think Betsy Johnson is full of too always a Democrat, runs with no chance and maybe her votes took away from Drazan? Maybe that was the idea all along. I don't know.

No, she clearly took votes away from Kotek. But in the end it didn't really matter. Kotek successfully made it into a two person race. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Well, Democrats were the only ones to defund and cower to a mob of lunatics. I don't give a about January 6th. I don't. I have no idea where you get your information from honestly. If you want to talk about political discourse what about 2016-2020 Democrats(in office) refused to accept Trump won. Clinton was the worst talking about how they won't be civil, etc. What's the difference? There isn't. They also held sham and phony impeachments and other probes refusing to accept he actually won because she is an awful person and candidate for the DNC. As far as 2020, who could believe Americans would vote for a senile, decrepit old man who also has a fantastic history of racism well documented.

Oh, that's right, 4 years of CNN every day saying Trump and all of his supporters were racists LMAO the only way Biden wins is with that kind of lying, manipulation. Trump hurt a lot of people's feelings, but I never needed him to be nice, just get the job done and he did. He was kicking a**. On January 6th a bunch of idiots walked inside took pictures with DC Cops, they were unarmed, and walked around like morons. Big deal. As for those outside who were combative, any lawless or criminal act must be handled and prosecuted regardless of politics, or anything else. The other hundreds of thousands well away from the capital on that day did nothing, no violence. You act like those people speak on behalf of every Republican and that's just pure ignorance.

If you don't give a [bleep] about January 6th, then you don't give a [bleep] about law and order. Full stop.

And Democrats *did* accept Trump won. Hillary didn't call up election officials in states where she had lost by close margins and beg them to "find" votes. Hillary didn't have one of her top campaign officials call for "trial by combat" at the US Capitol.

Are Democrats perfect? No. But it is not even remotely equivalent.

https://www.thebulwark.com/yes-democrats-have-called-some-elections-illegitimate-gop-election-denialism-is-far-worse/

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Right now Republicans in the Oregon house look to pick up 2 seats with 5 other seats within 2% at this time. Looks like no more super majority. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

If you don't give a [bleep] about January 6th, then you don't give a [bleep] about law and order. Full stop.

And Democrats *did* accept Trump won. Hillary didn't call up election officials in states where she had lost by close margins and beg them to "find" votes. Hillary didn't have one of her top campaign officials call for "trial by combat" at the US Capitol.

Are Democrats perfect? No. But it is not even remotely equivalent.

https://www.thebulwark.com/yes-democrats-have-called-some-elections-illegitimate-gop-election-denialism-is-far-worse/

Oh come on. I was outraged at the time, but it was nothing compared to what BLM rioters did the entire preceding summer while being cheered on by Democrats. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Oh come on. I was outraged at the time, but it was nothing compared to what BLM rioters did the entire preceding summer while being cheered on by Democrats. 

Completely backwards. The USA has survived many episodes of urban rioting.

What happened on the 6th was a attempted coup by people who wanted to make Trump President-for-Life of a fascist USA. Far worse.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Oh come on. I was outraged at the time, but it was nothing compared to what BLM rioters did the entire preceding summer while being cheered on by Democrats. 

Exactly. It's not even comparable. One city to the next rioting, destroying, pure lawlessness like you'd see in Kenya or somewhere. There can never be any double standards when it comes to lawlessness and criminal acts, but yet there is one.

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1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Completely backwards. The USA has survived many episodes of urban rioting.

What happened on the 6th was a attempted coup by people who wanted to make Trump President-for-Life of a fascist USA. Far worse.

A coup of unarmed people running around taking selfies? That is a heck of an attempt to overthrow anything.

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Just now, SnarkyGoblin said:

There is so much wrong with this statement.  I just can't.

But, there isn't. Democrats(in office) did cheer it on, they even joined the mobs calling for more civil unrest. You are aware of that, right? It comes down to this. Very simple. There can never be any double standards to any lawlessness and criminal acts. You can't allow rioting across the country, and then care so much about unarmed idiots running around inside the capital taking selfies. You can't open a probe on one thing, or investigations, and not for the other. Any democrat who stood by while mobs took over cities should be investigated and removed from office. Any republican who cheered on January 6th, or make statements to go take over the capital, should also equally be investigated and so on. Very simple.

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Honestly how many times before 2020 were the democrats saying Russia interfered and helped steal the 2016 election…saying trump didn’t win and all that. They were all constantly on trumps a** all the “collusion” Russia sh*t too. Not a trump supporter but the democrats whined for years about the 2016 election and then after 2020 that’s all forgotten with trump. 

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4 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

Agree 1000%.

With DeSantis we get all of Trump's really solid policies but without the baggage and vitriol that Trump brings. It's really become a best case scenario and I think tonight's resounding win will give him a huge boost. I hope. Especially if Trump's candidates don't do as well as some thought they might.

Appears so: https://mishtalk.com/politics/biggest-loser-of-the-night-donald-trump-biggest-winner-ron-desantis

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A forum for the end of the world.

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2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Honestly how many times before 2020 were the democrats saying Russia interfered and helped steal the 2016 election…saying trump didn’t win and all that. They were all constantly on trumps a** all the “collusion” Russia sh*t too. Not a trump supporter but the democrats whined for years about the 2016 election and then after 2020 that’s all forgotten with trump. 

Constantly for 4 years. To be honest, as soon as Trump headed down the escalator in 2015 to announce his bid running for president they went after him that night relentlessly. Before that point he was never called a racist, just known as a tv show host, businessman, tycoon. Truth.

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Democrats were delighted by January 6th, a bunch of idiots running around that they could make political hay about for years to come. Hilarious.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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BTW do they even count votes in Arizona? What the heck.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, SnarkyGoblin said:

God this place went to fast.

Night.

So you laugh at this? A level headed, common sense approach to the entire issue. But you laugh. Are you interested in civil discussions, or?

 

But, there isn't. Democrats(in office) did cheer it on, they even joined the mobs calling for more civil unrest. You are aware of that, right? It comes down to this. Very simple. There can never be any double standards to any lawlessness and criminal acts. You can't allow rioting across the country, and then care so much about unarmed idiots running around inside the capital taking selfies. You can't open a probe on one thing, or investigations, and not for the other. Any democrat who stood by while mobs took over cities should be investigated and removed from office. Any republican who cheered on January 6th, or make statements to go take over the capital, should also equally be investigated and so on. Very simple.

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1 minute ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

God this place went to  sh*t fast.

Night.

Don't be a sore winner. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I will say this rob…think your making January 6th out to be less significant than it really was. That all should’ve never happened it was more than just some people running in there to take selfies. I’m sure bad things could’ve happened to any democrats or anti trump republicans they found in the building if they’d been seen. 

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Just now, TacomaWx said:

I will say this rob…think your making January 6th out to be less significant than it really was. That all should’ve never happened it was more than just some people running in there to take selfies. I’m sure bad things could’ve happened to any democrats or anti trump republicans they found in the building if they’d been seen. 

The people inside the capital were unarmed, walked inside and took pictures with DC cops for christ sakes. The idiots outside being combative is another story entirely.

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Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

Looking at a few dozen comments tonight, the way some folks react to others, this is exactly why in my PDX WX Analysis FB group we never allow political comments or discussions because honestly before social media we kept politics and beliefs to ourselves, and we were all far better off.

This is the only social media I have honestly…and it’s not really technically social media. I think it’s good to have a place to discuss this stuff with others on the forum as long as it doesn’t go too far. 

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4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I will say this rob…think your making January 6th out to be less significant than it really was. That all should’ve never happened it was more than just some people running in there to take selfies. I’m sure bad things could’ve happened to any democrats or anti trump republicans they found in the building if they’d been seen. 

January 6th was rather alarming, but it doesn't hold a candle to the unbelievable rioting and lawlessness we saw for an entire year in one city after another, well all Democrat cities ironically. It just doesn't. In terms of scope and magnitude. To me it is unthinkable it was allowed and as I said earlier, that's something I'd expect to see in Kenya or one of those other lawless countries.

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What's next? A probe into why Trump isn't the same shade of orange that he used to be? The fact he's gone from Tangerine to a mix of Squash/Apricot?

Choose below the shade(s) of orange you feel best represents Mr. Trump now!
Dark Orange, Orange-Red, Vivid Orange, Tomato, Metallic Orange, Pumpkin, Smashed Pumpkin, Yellow-Orange, Carrot Orange, International Orange, Spanish Orange, Tangerine, Princeton Orange, Deep Saffron, Alloy Orange, Halloween Orange, Tangelo, Gamboge, Vermilion, Fulvous, Pastel Orange, Flame, Beer Orange, Royal Orange, Coral, Papaya Whip, Rajah, Burnt Umber, Bittersweet, Persimmon, Bumblebee Orange.

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