Tom Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 Alright, Alright, Alright...I think its time to start a thread for this major system that has already begun to target the west and will slowly track into C Cali/Rockies later on Election Day. Yet again, we have ourselves a powerhouse "Inside Slider" that will take a few days and track along the PNW coast. This system will dump anywhere from 4-6 FEET of Snow in the Sierra's! Eventually, this energy will eject out into the Plains and form into a potential Upper MW Blizzard. What a storm, ay? As I mentioned before, I'd LOVE to be in Truckee or Lake Tahoe for this Beast! Let's discuss... @hawkstwelve such a close call for your area...however, our lone member way up in the Arrowhead of MN is looking good! 0z EPS... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 7, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 0z GEFS... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 Yeah some of these modeled snowfall maps would be pretty brutal with my area barely scrounging an inch together while just a couple counties to my NNW will be buried in deep snow. I'm maintaining hope that it will still work out though. Even just a few inches would be great. The last couple GFS runs have shown 3-4 inches falling quickly on the tail end of the storm before it moves off to the east. That's probably our best case scenario at this point, besides the possibility of the track being slightly corrected to the SSE at the last minute which I don't find all too promising. Otherwise, most ensembles members keep us between a half inch and 1.5 inch. So close yet so far! Regardless of how the snow ultimately plays out, I think a more remarkable aspect will be the long-lasting cold this storm ushers in. 06z GEFS doesn't show us breaking out of the 20s until a couple days before Thanksgiving. Even the latest EPS is showing highs barely able to crack 30 during that time period. Ultimately a very prolonged bout of much below normal temps will probably be what this event will be most remembered for, at least in the Sioux Falls area. 4 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 Some severe weather possible with this one also. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 Dang, 12z GFS moved the storm just a notch to the NW. With that move we have said sayonara to the last model showing more than a couple inches for Sioux Falls. Barring a last minute surprise, looks like we will get a little bit of rain and maybe a half inch of snow but mostly be dry-slotted the entire storm. Tantalizingly close to a major winter storm but not going to cut it. 95% of the state gets solid snow while we barely get an inch. Just my luck. 3 1 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 14 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Dang, 12z GFS moved the storm just a notch to the NW. With that move we have said sayonara to the last model showing more than a couple inches for Sioux Falls. Barring a last minute surprise, looks like we will get a little bit of rain and maybe a half inch of snow but mostly be dry-slotted the entire storm. Tantalizingly close to a major winter storm but not going to cut it. 95% of the state gets solid snow while we barely get an inch. Just my luck. I've gotten numb to the dry slot. It happens so frequently around here, you forget that we used to get these storms in November. Another Dakotas special. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said: Dang, 12z GFS moved the storm just a notch to the NW. With that move we have said sayonara to the last model showing more than a couple inches for Sioux Falls. Barring a last minute surprise, looks like we will get a little bit of rain and maybe a half inch of snow but mostly be dry-slotted the entire storm. Tantalizingly close to a major winter storm but not going to cut it. 95% of the state gets solid snow while we barely get an inch. Just my luck. Had to dbl check your locale. Didn't realize SF was so far SESD. A zoom-up shows how the city limits practically touch NW Iowa border. Quote Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5" Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25) Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0 Annual avg for mby = 45.0" (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 Kind of surprised to see this many GEFS members showing a more favorable, slightly SE track. Appears the operational is now near the northern third of these solutions. I guess it ain't over until you can see the whites of the eyes of the storm... 2 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 1 hour ago, CentralNebWeather said: I've gotten numb to the dry slot. It happens so frequently around here, you forget that we used to get these storms in November. Another Dakotas special. I sympathize but it is the first real snowstorm east of the Rockies N or S. You're no less side-lined than the rest of us not in the Dakotas. Quote Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5" Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25) Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0 Annual avg for mby = 45.0" (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 Just now, hawkstwelve said: Kind of surprised to see this many GEFS members showing a more favorable, slightly SE track. Appears the operational is now near the northern third of these solutions. I guess it ain't over until you can see the whites of the eyes of the storm... Still time. Would be nice if some SE adjustments were part of this season's bias. 2 Quote Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5" Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25) Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0 Annual avg for mby = 45.0" (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 1 minute ago, jaster220 said: Had to dbl check your locale. Didn't realize SF was so far SESD. A zoom-up shows how the city limits practically touch NW Iowa border. Yup. We lived on the extreme SE side of Sioux Falls when we first moved here and it took only about 10-15 minutes through back country roads to get to Iowa. Super close. 1 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted November 7, 2022 Report Share Posted November 7, 2022 18z NAM made a slight correction to the SE vs. it's 12z run. Not quite enough to get us back in the picture but just a couple more of these slight adjustments and we could get somewhere! 4 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 8, 2022 Report Share Posted November 8, 2022 More or less a Bliz Watch for ND hardest hit areas: 234 PM CST Mon Nov 7 2022 /134 PM MST Mon Nov 7 2022/ ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Total snow accumulations between 6 and 12 inches possible, with the potential for locally higher amounts. Winds could gust as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Southwest and south central North Dakota and the James River Valley. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through Friday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Strong winds may cause widespread blowing snow, significantly reducing visibility. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Uncertainty remains for the areas that could receive the heaviest snow. The track of the storm could still shift slightly. Fun Fact: DTX's CWA is the least storm prone of any place with such a northern latitude. The current "number of days since issuance of Bliz Warning" is like 3X as long as any other office, lol. Dates back to GHD-1 (11 yrs ago). Fun Fact 2: While Chicago is known for its much greater frequency of CAT-5 Big Dog storms, Detroit's #1 is bigger than Chicago's #1 and cleared the 2 footer benchmark. It also featured huge winds resulting in 12 foot drifts in the city! That's almost unimaginable to anyone who's familiar with Motown's lame #winter climo. 2 2 Quote Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5" Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25) Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0 Annual avg for mby = 45.0" (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 8, 2022 Report Share Posted November 8, 2022 That’s a screaming jet right over central Nebraska. Might as well get LP supercells and hope for something interesting. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 8, 2022 Report Share Posted November 8, 2022 The GFS still has 40 inches of snow for parts of the Dakotas. Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 8, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 8, 2022 8 hours ago, gabel23 said: That’s a screaming jet right over central Nebraska. Might as well get LP supercells and hope for something interesting. This line looks very similar to the set up that happened back home in Chicago a few days ago. You may experience some very strong winds and hopefully some beneficial rain. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 8, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 8, 2022 The picture quality isn’t the best but the Blood Moon looks pretty cool this morning…just a sliver of the Moon was visible. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 8, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 8, 2022 Hold onto your Hats! 100mph wind gusts??? Wowza...Love to be there right now in Truckee or Tahoe! Quote Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Reno NV 1245 PM PST Mon Nov 7 2022 CAZ072-NVZ002-082300- /O.CON.KREV.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-221109T1200Z/ Greater Lake Tahoe Area- Including the cities of South Lake Tahoe, Truckee, Stateline, and Incline Village 1245 PM PST Mon Nov 7 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Additional snow accumulations of 10 to 20 inches, except 1 to 3 feet above 7000 feet. Winds gusting in the lower elevations as high as 55 mph and gusts above 100 mph along Sierra ridge lines through Tuesday evening. * WHERE...Greater Lake Tahoe Area. * WHEN...Until 4 AM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions will impact commute times over mountain passes. Strong winds may damage trees and power lines. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for whiteout conditions and subzero wind chills along the foothills and ridgelines of the Sierra. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 8, 2022 Report Share Posted November 8, 2022 SPC has shifted the risk area further east, it now includes KC and Des Moines. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkstwelve Posted November 8, 2022 Report Share Posted November 8, 2022 Well every model has gotten worse for the snow department here, many of them showing us not receiving anything now. Guess we will have to wait until the next round. Speaking of which the 00z Euro helped fill in the snow gaps a little bit with two systems moving through, one on Monday and one mid next week. At least with the cold hanging around for a while we should hopefully sneak in a way to score a couple inches over the next two weeks or so. 3 1 Quote Weather station: https://sodakweather.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 8, 2022 Report Share Posted November 8, 2022 6 hours ago, Tom said: Hold onto your Hats! 100mph wind gusts??? Wowza...Love to be there right now in Truckee or Tahoe! Roger Smith saying in his winter outlook per his formula strong storm likelihood is in the upper 10 percentile. And the GL's region will be targeted. Considering Lake Michigan had two full Storm Warning events inside a 3 wk period I would say the trends are a friend to his outlook. 2 Quote Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5" Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25) Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0 Annual avg for mby = 45.0" (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 9, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 "Here Blizzard, Blizzard, Blizzard"...the 1st Blitz of the Season where you typically see them this time of year. The Dakota's Special is in the works...#BismarkBlizzard. #BuildTheGlacier Blizzard Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Bismarck ND 403 AM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 NDZ034>036-042-045-046-091815- /O.UPG.KBIS.WS.A.0006.221110T0300Z-221111T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KBIS.BZ.W.0007.221110T0600Z-221111T0600Z/ Morton-Burleigh-Kidder-Grant-Sioux-Emmons- Including the cities of Carson, Tappen, Elgin, Linton, Mandan, Fort Yates, Strasburg, Solen, Selfridge, New Leipzig, Steele, and Bismarck 403 AM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 /303 AM MST Wed Nov 9 2022/ ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations between 10 and 16 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Much of south central North Dakota. * WHEN...From Midnight CST /11 PM MST/ tonight to Midnight CST /11 PM MST/ Thursday Night. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. Notify a friend or family member of your travel plans. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 9, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 Pretty healthy looking winter storm for the Upper MW... @Madtownshould see some backside LES... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 The SPC has adjusted the slight risk area further east. Most models showing around a 1/2 to 3/4 inch of rain for mby. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beltrami Island Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 I am not sure where these NWS percentages come from, they feel like throwing darts to some degree. I am at 91% for 6 inches and 58% for 12". I am guessing what ever falls, in a week it will compact down to 4" or less with no frost in the ground. If this snow holds through to the heart of the cold season that would be a great base. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 12z GFS. Super impressive totals in ND. Quote Season Snowfall: ~ 20.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beltrami Island Posted November 9, 2022 Report Share Posted November 9, 2022 RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1210 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 MNZ006-009-120000- /O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0010.221110T1200Z-221112T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KFGF.WS.W.0008.221110T1000Z-221111T1600Z/ Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami- Including the cities of Baudette, Red Lake, Redby, and Ponemah 1210 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 10 AM CST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 16 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Lake Of The Woods and North Beltrami Counties. * WHEN...From 4 AM Thursday to 10 AM CST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of over an inch an hour are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 10, 2022 Report Share Posted November 10, 2022 Not good for Aberdeen and the other parts of South Dakota. Such a horrible waste of winterly precip. Ice Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Aberdeen SD 203 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 SDZ006-007-011-100415- /O.UPG.KABR.WS.W.0004.221110T0000Z-221111T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KABR.IS.W.0001.221110T0000Z-221110T1500Z/ /O.EXB.KABR.WW.Y.0019.221110T1500Z-221111T0000Z/ /O.CON.KABR.WW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-221110T0000Z/ Brown-Marshall-Day- Including the cities of Aberdeen, Britton, and Webster 203 PM CST Wed Nov 9 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST THURSDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY... * WHAT...For the Ice Storm Warning, significant icing expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of one quarter to one half of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. For the first Winter Weather Advisory, freezing rain. Additional ice accumulations of a light glaze. For the second Winter Weather Advisory, mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Brown, Marshall and Day Counties. * WHEN...For the Ice Storm Warning, from 6 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Thursday. For the first Winter Weather Advisory, until 6 PM CST this evening. For the second Winter Weather Advisory, from 9 AM to 6 PM CST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for possible power outages. Slow down and use caution while traveling. Prepare for possible power outages. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted November 10, 2022 Report Share Posted November 10, 2022 1 1 Quote 22-23 Total Snowfall: 6.1" as of 03/18/23. 37% of normal to date. King of the 1" snowfalls (0.6", 1.5", 1.0", 1.0, 1.1", 0.4", 0.2", 0.3") Last snowfall >6": Feb 4, 2014: 13" (nine years and counting) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 10, 2022 Report Share Posted November 10, 2022 0z HRRR gives me a nice rain tomorrow evening. Not much of a chance of severe weather for my area as the thunderstorms look to be behind the cold front. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 10, 2022 Report Share Posted November 10, 2022 Not sure this video does justice but man the low level jet is ripping from the southwest. All that low level moisture is just racing overhead. 65 degrees and 86% humidity in November…. IMG_2127.MOV 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 10, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 10, 2022 The models did a great job in terms of snowfall amounts for the mountains out west. The Sierra's got pummeled with many places reporting 20-40" of Snow and a few locals in the central Sierra's topping out near 50"! Oh, and Park City, UT got hit with another Big Snow. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 10, 2022 Report Share Posted November 10, 2022 Got 0.11" overnight as the line barreled through. Over a 40 degree temperature drop from last evening when it was 74, to now at 7:15 am, it is 29 degrees with a wind chill of 18. Nice. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted November 10, 2022 Report Share Posted November 10, 2022 68 degrees at 630 and 38 degrees at 10am IMBY. Dropped 24 degrees in the first 30 minutes. Had a whopping .01” of rain as the world’s skinniest line of precipitation moved through and that’s it from this one. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 10, 2022 Report Share Posted November 10, 2022 .03" for me on this one. Wohoo. Storm system leaves behind a cold dry air mass and looks like it will be that way for a while. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted November 10, 2022 Report Share Posted November 10, 2022 1 hour ago, OmahaSnowFan said: 68 degrees at 630 and 38 degrees at 10am IMBY. Dropped 24 degrees in the first 30 minutes. Had a whopping .01” of rain as the world’s skinniest line of precipitation moved through and that’s it from this one. Mother Nature is just teasing us Nebraskans at this point. Now we have made the sudden move from unseasonably warm and dry, to unseasonably cold and dry... just a lovely weather pattern we are stuck in. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 10, 2022 Report Share Posted November 10, 2022 43 and scattered thunderstorms so far, today was supposed to be in the 60's 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IMoveALot_Weather Posted November 10, 2022 Report Share Posted November 10, 2022 I wouldn't be super happy in Fargo right now. Whole bunch of ice followed by a whole bunch of dry air. 2 Quote >1" snowfalls at KFAR in 2021-22: 11/11-12 (1.0"), 11/13 (1.8"), 12/2 (1.0"), 12/4-5 (4.8"), 12/21 (3.1"), 12/25 (3.2"), 12/26-27 (8.6"), 12/28 (2.9"), 1/4-5 (3.2"), 1/14 (2.7"), 1/22 (2.8"), Total 2021-22 snowfall at KFAR: 51.7" Coldest Minimum: -28*F (1/1, 1/7) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 10, 2022 Report Share Posted November 10, 2022 Fiancée's parents live in Bismarck. 13 inches of snow and 15° as of a couple hours ago. 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 11, 2022 Report Share Posted November 11, 2022 Nice band of rain and thunderstorms moving through KC right now. Models have increased my rainfall totals to 1-1.5 inches tonight. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 11, 2022 Report Share Posted November 11, 2022 Cold Front is now through my house, expect a possibility of winter precip for my location tomorrow afternoon! 2 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 11, 2022 Report Share Posted November 11, 2022 Nice. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 618 PM CST THU NOV 10 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0330 PM HEAVY SNOW HEBRON 46.90N 102.05W 11/10/2022 E18.0 INCH MORTON ND PUBLIC DELAYED REPORT. SOCIAL MEDIA REPORTED 4 Quote Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5" Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25) Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0 Annual avg for mby = 45.0" (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 11, 2022 Report Share Posted November 11, 2022 @Clinton I briefly thought that you were in Clinton, MO! XD 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 11, 2022 Report Share Posted November 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: @Clinton I briefly thought that you were in Clinton, MO! XD Close it's 20 miles south of me lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 11, 2022 Report Share Posted November 11, 2022 Still at 42, showers and storms around 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 11, 2022 Report Share Posted November 11, 2022 2 hours ago, Clinton said: Close it's 20 miles south of me lol. Fair enough Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted November 11, 2022 Report Share Posted November 11, 2022 Is this complete model failure? Just unbelievable terrible forecast.. im at 1.10 rain. Temp has fallen from 75 to 33 in 6 hrs! More precip to come. We have no plows on. No spreaders ready, etc. We trusted the models and that has possibly put my business in terrible predicament? 1192688387_KDMX-Super-ResReflectivityTilt111_03PM.mp4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 11, 2022 Report Share Posted November 11, 2022 21 minutes ago, OttumwaSnomow said: Is this complete model failure? Just unbelievable terrible forecast.. im at 1.10 rain. Temp has fallen from 75 to 33 in 6 hrs! More precip to come. We have no plows on. No spreaders ready, etc. We trusted the models and that has possibly put my business in terrible predicament? 1192688387_KDMX-Super-ResReflectivityTilt111_03PM.mp4 Are you saying it’s snowing where you are? What is the model failure you are referring to? The radar appears to be very similar to what the HRRR was showing today and the Euro. Quote Season Snowfall: ~ 20.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 11, 2022 Report Share Posted November 11, 2022 Precip here held on longer than models were showing 24 hours ago. I ended up with another good 0.84" soaking. The last 0.09" came from sleet. A couple flakes mixed in, but it was 99% sleet. The deck is icy. 4 Quote season snowfall: 29.3" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 11, 2022 Report Share Posted November 11, 2022 I have just over 1.3” of now frozen rain in my gauge. There may have been a brief transition to freezing rain or sleet here as I saw one car with a little ice on their hood. But that’s it. Driveway is clean. 4 Quote Season Snowfall: ~ 20.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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