December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[MossMan]

0Z not nearly as cold as the 18Z after this weekend. This is starting to look typical again. I hate typical!!

Perhaps the ensembles will still be good.

[BLI snowman]

It was the same way at WWU in Bellingham.

 

Close enough to almost always benefit from Fraser outflow, but blocked from the strong winds by the hills to the North.

 

Snow is so much more enjoyable when it stays caked on everything than when it's blown all over the place.

Yeah, the Lakeway area in Bellingham was similar in that regard. It took some pretty strong outflow to top 20 mph.

[MossMan]

[Deweydog]

Look at the whole US going into the icebox next week....

 

gfs_T850_us_35.png

[Jbolin]

who is Chebacca....??

You, your inability to get snow in the swamp and your cries of getting screwed is reminiscent of that chewy throat "roll" 

[Heavy Snow]

Look at the whole US going into the icebox next week....

 

gfs_T850_us_35.png

Don't worry we will get at least a small piece of that. It doesn't take much Arctic air to bring Snow as we will find out on Thursday/Friday.

[luvssnow_spokane]

See edit. No one understands what he's saying, expect a few.

Then it would be Richard... but he is no longer here... Sad times

[Jesse]

Central Clark County is nice because we largely can reap the benefits of the outflow without having to deal with the constant and stronger winds. Makes the snow far more enjoyable and in some cases heavier as well.

I'm a little east of 164th. I'm guessing it will be ripping here.

[The Swamp]

Then it would be Richard... but he is no longer here... Sad times

 

You and I are in the "screw zone" again.

[crf450ish]

who is Chebacca....??

Dewey

[Front Ranger]

Then it would be Richard... but he is no longer here... Sad times

I think of Richard more as C3PO...

[chopper 918]

I'm a little east of 164th. I'm guessing it will be ripping here.

 

Should be.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Except for us of course!

of course... The one thing I have found is every run today and yesterday has put puyallup and my area in the snow screw zone. I am not really very pleased about that and then seeing it get warmer in the mid-range I am about to lose my fricken marble... Yes I only had one left.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Winter storm watch

[Deweydog]

You're the Obi-Wan of this forum. Jesse is Luke Skywalker. Tim is Darth Vader. Jim is R2D2. Phil is Chewbacca.

 

I'm Hans Solo, obviously.

I wanna be the black guy.

[luvssnow_spokane]

You and I are in the "screw zone" again.

Yes... MY fellow swamper... We shall go down together ... AGAIN!... *bro hugs* Lets grab a beer and talk about the good old days.

[Goducks09]

Look at the whole US going into the icebox next week....

 

gfs_T850_us_35.png

 

Unbelievably depressing, and yet oh so predictable.

[FroYoBro]

I wanna be the black guy.

Mace Windu?

[luvssnow_spokane]

I wanna be the black guy.

I wanna be the random droid that gets blown up... I am not feeling very stable after seeing tonight 00z... 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

You and I are in the "screw zone" again.

Yes yes of course. Things are right on tract.

[crf450ish]

Seen a squirrel today with a real furry coat. Must have known something is coming. 

[Deweydog]

I wanna be the random droid that gets blown up...

You'll miss this January if you get blown up!

[Jesse]

Mace Windu?

Lando Carlissien (I have no idea how to spell the last name).

[Front Ranger]

I wanna be the random droid that gets blown up...

You're Jar-jar Binks.

 

And thus concludes our Star Wars character matches for the evening.

[Jbolin]

Lando Carlissien (I have no idea how to spell the last name).

I believe it's Calrisian 

[The Swamp]

You'll miss this January if you get blown up!

 

He won't get blown up.  It'll just be a warning shot.

[BLI snowman]

GEM looks like it keeps the northern part of the Portland metro as snow through Thursday evening.

[crf450ish]

Yes... MY fellow swamper... We shall go down together ... AGAIN!... *bro hugs* Lets grab a beer and talk about the good old days.

Ya know once upon a time I used to feel the same way. Then I got serious about changing my life and surroundings as well as weather. I was completely and utterly sick and tired of making a 2 hour drive several times a winter just to play in the snow. I finally made the move last summer and I dont regret it one bit. A move like the one I made (Graham, wa to Fruitland, wa) isn't for everybody, but for those who's emotional and psychological status depend on the weather, its a reasonable consideration. I love hot and dry summers and cold and wet winters, as does my wife. We've got that here. I am also fortunate to not be forced to stay anywhere for work...I can live wherever I want. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GEM looks like it keeps the northern part of the Portland metro as snow through Thursday evening.

 

OMG I forgot to check the GEM

[Front Ranger]

I wanna be the black guy.

Token?

[Jesse]

You're Jar-jar Binks.

 

And thus concludes our Star Wars character matches for the evening.

 

One of the most annoying characters. Makes sense.

[BLI snowman]

Mace Windu?

Those movies never happened.

[Jesse]

I believe it's Calrisian 

 

I looked it up. You're close. There are two s's.

[BLI snowman]

OMG I forgot to check the GEM

You should immediately write an apology to Bryan Adams to atone for this travesty.

[Jesse]

You'll miss this January if you get blown up!

 

If this is indeed just a lone warning shot with the mid-long range goodies fading, then January is back in business!

[Heavy Snow]

GEM looks like it keeps the northern part of the Portland metro as snow through Thursday evening.

Yup, the GEM trended towards KING EURO. I don't see PDX Metro changing over to Ice until sometime Thursday overnight. The exact timing is difficult to pinpoint but I'm getting more bullish on staying snow longer and longer.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Those movies never happened.

Kinda like our winters.

[MossMan]

I love this forum! I got the nightly odd/disgusted look from my wife as I'm on the couch chuckling at my phone!

25F currently!

[Goducks09]

Yup, the GEM trended towards KING EURO. I don't see PDX Metro changing over to Ice until sometime Thursday overnight. The exact timing is difficult to pinpoint but I'm getting more bullish on staying snow longer and longer.

 

Gotta love your perpetual optimism. It gives me hope!  Onto the Euro!

[bainbridgekid]

WRF finally initialized.

 

https://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/timeindep/extendedgfsinit.d2.6hr.html