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December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

stuffradio

By stuffradio
in West of the Rockies

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MR.SNOWMIZER
MR.SNOWMIZER

Been a emotional day.. First time in 27 years i went and picked a Christmas tree without my woman but me and my son made the best of it and had a good time. Its been a real test as a father dealing wi

jaya
jaya

Well, I don't have access to everything that I'd like to look at. With that said, tonight will be tricky with the strong offshore flow. I've seen it go both ways. In one case in 2014 I believe, models

Gradient Keeper
Gradient Keeper

I wish you all a Merry Christmas. I hope you can find joy and happiness. Appreciate the ones you have with you during this Holiday season.   http://i.imgur.com/fhWgu21.jpg

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

A lot of rinse repeat on the 00z.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

Two Arctic outbreaks in the next 9 days.  Quite impressive.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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liquidsnow Newbie

liquidsnow

Posted
Posted

Total snow through early Friday morning per the WRF... the swamp people are happy to see the screw zone expand immensely!  

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/ww_snow24.36.0000.gif

 

 

That map is getting worse with each passing run. This is going to be the biggest bust in the Washington since Aaron Curry was selected.

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luvssnow_spokane Community Regular

luvssnow_spokane

Posted
Posted

Total snow through early Friday morning per the WRF... the swamp people are happy to see the screw zone expand immensely!  

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/ww_snow24.36.0000.gif

Like I said... Swamp People Unite... And you see what kinda power that brings.

My Weather Station

https://tempestwx.com/station/61434

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

I really like the mid-range and longer range of tonight 00z than some previous runs.

 

LALA Land Fun...

 

attachicon.gifgfs_T850_nwus_37.png

 

The same time the 18z showed a blast.  This might be something.  Very exciting how that Alaska block just keeps spinning around up there.  I have the unexpainable feeling that being excited and disappointed at the same time brings.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

Move everything a little west and get back to me.

 

It's actually very good at hour 216.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Phil Grand Master

Phil

Posted
Posted

Shut that f*cker down and don't rerun it until January.

I'd pay very good $$$ to have this run verify. Would be truly record shattering in so many ways.

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

Shut that f*cker down and don't rerun it until January.

 

That block just keeps reshaping.  Almost impossible for the models to predict exactly where the cold blasts will go.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

I'd pay very good $$$ to have this run verify. Would be absolutely record shattering in so many ways.

 

Me too.  I'd take my chances of eventually getting some snow.

 

I knew something big was coming after the insane November torch.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted

Incredible GFS run tonight.  Epic snowstorm next week sandwiched between two Arctic blasts.  The numbers for day 10 work out to a foot of snow on the ground for Seattle with afternoon temps in the teens.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Timmy Mentor

Timmy

Posted
Posted

Incredible GFS run tonight. Epic snowstorm next week sandwiched between two Arctic blasts. The numbers for day 10 work out to a foot of snow on the ground for Seattle with afternoon temps in the teens.

unfortnately it looks worse for tomorrow...
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Weather101 Newbie

Weather101

Posted
Posted

Ugly.

 

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/slp.66.0000.gif

Ohhhhhh on to January

2013/2014 Winter season

Coldest Low: 14 F December 7th

Coldest High: 27.3 F December 7th

Coldest Wind chill: 5 F December 7th

Lowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6th

Days below freezing: 5

Total Snowfall: 11 inches

Most snowfall in a Day: 8 inches

Days With Snow: 3

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Weather101 Newbie

Weather101

Posted
Posted

What's your call for east wind areas? I am on the fence whether it will be a blessing or a curse.

I really think it will be more of a curse.

2013/2014 Winter season

Coldest Low: 14 F December 7th

Coldest High: 27.3 F December 7th

Coldest Wind chill: 5 F December 7th

Lowest Dew Point: -2.2 F December 6th

Days below freezing: 5

Total Snowfall: 11 inches

Most snowfall in a Day: 8 inches

Days With Snow: 3

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