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December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest


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We lost power at some point last night!!!

 

Wind has slacked off, but man oh man, it was rocking here like we've never seen/heard.

 

 

Wow.     That is impressive.

 

Still no wind at all here... snow still on trees.      I bet its rocking down in the valley though.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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We lost power at some point last night!!!

 

Wind has slacked off, but man oh man, it was rocking here like we've never seen/heard.

The wind actually woke me up (after 2 whole hours of sleep).

 

I've only hit 30 mph on the gauge, but seems stronger.

 

I must be the only area that didn't lose power last night.  Sister 0.8 miles away did, Most of Main Street was out for 2+ hours.

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Radar looks horrible right now. Still a long ways off from anything.

 

I was expecting to be way south... but did not expect it to look so pathetic.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Still 19F here, same as when I went to bed last night. Would be nice to get some cloud cover right at daybreak to cap the temps off a little more.

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Radar returns?

 

3-4 inches doesn't need no stinkin' radar returns?

 

I was looking at Medford's radar, which is uninspiring, but there does seem to be reasonable precip falling down there (0.08" per hour at BOK), so it's obviously not getting picked up too well. The precip looks like it's more or less on target with an 11am arrival here.

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Currently cloudy and 27. Overnight low was 22 before the clouds thickened.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Surprised no one has lost their minds yet over the 06z GFS... The esemble improvement starting as soon as sunday is insane. Mean at PDX down to -8C by Tuesday! 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Surprised no one has lost their minds yet over the 06z GFS... The esemble improvement starting as soon as sunday is insane. Mean at PDX down to -8C by Tuesday!

I have already lost my mind. If all the models snow an Arctic Blast and lots of Snow I'm going to post uncontrollably and wildly!

f3e7e3bf2f29b1e9cdb92d7e39e709f1.jpg

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Insane improvement on the 6z ensemble.  Not one member that isn't below normal early next week.  Mean drops to -12 for SEA.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I have already lost my mind. If all the models snow an Arctic Blast and lots of Snow I'm going to post uncontrollably and wildly!

 

I feel like running in circles and flailing my arms!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Is the GFS currently wearing the Crown?

 

You could make a case that all 3 are, tremendous model agreement. Even the 00z EURO which didn't look as good from a 850mb temperature perspective showed 3 freezing or below highs starting next Wed and huge snow/ice storm for PDX Metro/SW Washington on Thursday.

f3e7e3bf2f29b1e9cdb92d7e39e709f1.jpg

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I would be really interested what if anything is falling at Corvallis right now.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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