January 2017 Observations and Discussion

[jaster220]

Currently cloudy and it seems a tad colder under dry conditions. A few rainshowers on and off.

Yep, was a distinct chilly wind this evening with temps in the 30's and moisture ending. Actually have 40% snow chance towards morning

[Niko]

Yep, was a distinct chilly wind this evening with temps in the 30's and moisture ending. Actually have 40% snow chance towards morning

Indeed, an indication of a change in the weather pattern coming, finally.

[Niko]

I just check my sky condition and I actually saw stars out there. What a refreshing change that was. Can even remember to think how long it has been since I had a clear to a mostly clear sky. Lets see how long that holds.

[Niko]

Welcome back to da Mitt!  Just in time for winter's return too.

 

Couple runs/maps showing the LES adding up for us through Sunday. Let's see how it goes. KBUF is pretty bullish like GRR and have analog events to back it up fwiw. I like their talk of good moisture and cold temps @ 700mb.

 

 

20170123 GFS 18z 126hr snowfall.png

20170124 GFS 6z 120hr snowfall.gif

Which that yellow and red color would make a straight b-line towards MI. That would be sweet.

[westMJim]

Good morning.  As of this morning Grand Rapids and Muskegon are running as the warmest January’s in history. With 7 more day to go Grand Rapids mean in now at 34.6° the record for any January at Grand Rapids is 34.2° in 1932 and in second place is a 34.0° in 1933. In Muskegon the mean as of today is 35.5° and over there the current record is 34.8° also in 1932 with 34.2° in 2006 in second place.  And the warmth is widespread as up in the Sault the mean so far this month is 30.0° that is +9.5° and the current record warmest January there is 27.0° set in 1932. At this time there don’t look to be enough cold coming to drop this January from being one of the warmest on record here in many areas of Michigan.

Here in west Michigan the snow fall totals as of today are Grand Rapids 45.6" Muskegon 41.7"

[Niko]

The sun is finally making its appearance as of now. Ahh, if feels so good to see sunshine.

[westMJim]

The sun is finally making its appearance as of now. Ahh, if feels so good to see sunshine.

No sun on the west side of the state. In fact it is very dark and some what wet with a temperature here at my house of 37°

[Niko]

No sun on the west side of the state. In fact it is very dark and some what wet with a temperature here at my house of 37°

I have a feeling those clouds are heading my way. Currently @ 39F.

 

You might end up getting some decent snowsquals with accumulations in the upcoming days as colder air filters in.

[Niko]

Back to cloudy skies once again and holding @40F.

[jaster220]

Courtesy of John Dee's site, a look at the UP where their nice snow pack will soon be getting a real boost

 

http://johndee.com/ncn/twinlakes_ncn.htm

[Niko]

@Jaster

Those pics look nice. Nothing like a nice snowcover to look at in winter.

[Niko]

Good to finally see the word "Snow" in my forecast.

[Tom]

Courtesy of John Dee's site, a look at the UP where their nice snow pack will soon be getting a real boost

 

http://johndee.com/ncn/twinlakes_ncn.htm

I'd love to look at a 2'+ snow depth all winter long...

[Tom]

January 2017 will go down as the snowiest month in Mammoth's recorded history!  246" of snow and counting...

 

 

 

[jaster220]

That awta help with water supply shortages starting in the spring. Boy did they need it too! Delayed, but not denied..

[Niko]

TWC weather specialist said today that come February, something has ta give for a big storm, whether its the I-95 corridor, or the midwest, we shall see.

[WBadgersW]

TWC weather specialist said today that come February, something has ta give for a big storm, whether its the I-95 corridor, or the midwest, we shall see.

Or the the Dakotas

[jaster220]

Or the the Dakotas

Split the difference....MI

[Hawkeye]

January 2017 will go down as the snowiest month in Mammoth's recorded history!  246" of snow and counting...

 

And Mammoth has received more snow this January than the last six Januarys combined.

[Tom]

And Mammoth has received more snow this January than the last six Januarys combined.

At this rate, they will have snow capped mountains all summer long!

[Tom]

I started a thread for the GL's clipper on the 30th/31st...

 

http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1498-january-30th-31st-clipper/

[Tom]

Fired up a February thread...this will be an active month of storm tracking...anticipating numerous pics/vids of wintry systems!

 

 

http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1499-february-2017-observations-and-discussions/

 

 

 

[Tom]

Snow cover has re-established itself...primarily from I-80 on north...a small snow hole on the north side of MSP....

 

 

 

http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/National/nsm_depth/201701/nsm_depth_2017012605_National.jpg

[Tom]

A look back at history made in Chicago...the year was...1967

 

[Niko]

A look back at history made in Chicago...the year was...1967

 

Sweet!

[Niko]

Snow cover has re-established itself...primarily from I-80 on north...a small snow hole on the north side of MSP....

 

 

 

http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/snow_model/images/full/National/nsm_depth/201701/nsm_depth_2017012605_National.jpg

Nearly half of the state of MI is snowfree in end of January. Wow!

[Niko]

Had some light rain earlier mixed with snow. Now, just cloudy and turning colder. Temp @ 40F.

[jaster220]

  Fact Check says "whoops WGN Team"! I wish I was that close to decent snowstorm..

 

 

 

 

 

[Tom]

Some embedded heavier bursts of snow showers heading into NE IL...just a little reminder that it CAN in fact snow in January in Chicago...

[Niko]

Some sunshine trying to peek through those clouds. Feels nice to see some sun. Definitely getting colder and a bit breezy. A few wet snowflakes from time ta time. Nothing major to slow down travel though.

[Tom]

I almost forgot what 30F and a brisk wind felt like. Like you said Niko, feels colder out there today. Glad the torch is behind us and we can say goodbye for a while. Not until mid/late March when Spring will be in the air.

[VMB443]

With the exception of about fifteen minutes last Saturday we have not seen the sun shine through the clouds since January 15th. They are suggesting the possibility of a little tomorrow afternoon, but we shall see.

[jaster220]

Saw lots of snow flying this evening. Visibilities were down to perhaps 0.3 miles at times and some spots had 1-2" already by 5:30. Measured 0.8 at home about 6:30 and may pick up a bit more overnight? Really nice to see some chutes too on the tail end of a band. Accumulated on streets as well which is surprising with the warmth lately.

[Niko]

I almost forgot what 30F and a brisk wind felt like. Like you said Niko, feels colder out there today. Glad the torch is behind us and we can say goodbye for a while. Not until mid/late March when Spring will be in the air.

It feels great to actually feel that cold, brisk, north westerly wind again. Back to reality.

[jaster220]

50th anniversary of the '67 Bliz, and GRR comes out with a map I'd never seen in all these yrs. (click on Bliz of '67 tab)

 

Kudos to them..

 

http://www.weather.gov/grr/news20170126

[Niko]

Currently light snow and temps @34F.

[gosaints]

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/tanal/mon2day.F.gif

 

Another epic torch of a month

[Hawkeye]

It's finally partly sunny over here after twelve days of thick clouds.  And, it's dry, too, which is a nice change.

[Tom]

CA Sierra mountains have nicknamed this month "Januburied"...after seeing these pics, no questions as to why...who wants to go???

 

These houses are completely covered to their roofs with snow...

 

 

 

Kirkwood Mountain Ski Resort...

 

[Tom]

You think the models may be having some trouble in the longer term???  10mb warming spiking like I've never seen before...

 

 

 

http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/clisys/STRAT/gif/pole10_nh.gif

 

 

FWIW, GEFS are hinting at another major burst around the 6th/7th of Feb...

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2017012806/gfs-ens_Tz10_nhem_19.png