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Jan 2nd-3rd Upper Midwest Storm System


Tom

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These pressure map are almost a carbon copy of what the pattern was like for the mid Dec storm (except we had a dome of arctic air in place out ahead of it).

 

12z NAM...

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2016123112/namconus_mslpaNorm_us_36.png

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2016123112/namconus_mslpaNorm_us_47.png

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2016123112/namconus_mslpaNorm_us_53.png

 

 

 

In this pattern, it has been so tough to build HP in the Dakotas to seed more cold air south and allow this storm to dig and deepen.  Gary Lezak mentions that the LRC has a long term- long wave ridge right in the middle of the nation and this doesn't allow storms to deepen in the central/southern plains.

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12z NAM isn't a wrapped up storm but it's definitely a N MN event. MPX without actually saying it said they have no flippin' idea what's going to happen almost 48 hours out.

Riding the edge on the GFS...nail biter for you...I think you need to root for a weaker system if your going to cash in on any snow...

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At least the cold set in by this storm will make getting snow from any storm much easier in near future. Only problem is, that no models show anything. Guess we're gonna have to bank on little systems that pop 4 days out to supply our snowpack, because the blocking on the GFS and euro will send anything to the south and east. CMC is more optimistic for a kt of us, and someone said it's supposed to be "good" at determining the strength of the block. It displays weaker blocking this run, so I guess we shall see.

2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 10.2"

(12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") 

(1/1: 6.4")

 

 

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Looks like this thread is not happening?? Something tells me that this storm is not in the making for those areas depicted to get snowfall accumulations. Correct me if I am mistaken. :unsure: :blink:

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Looks like this thread is not happening?? Something tells me that this storm is not in the making for those areas depicted to get snowfall accumulations. Correct me if I am mistaken. :unsure: :blink:

Oh no, it's in the making, just not hitting anyone in particular in our sub forum to the excitement we would like to see. 8-12"+ in the Arrowhead of MN and also the Dakotas cashing in.

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Oh no, it's in the making, just not hitting anyone in particular in our sub forum to the excitement we would like to see. 8-12"+ in the Arrowhead of MN and also the Dakotas cashing in.

Giant dendrites here... Wont last long but impressive. ND getting slammed now

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Oh no, it's in the making, just not hitting anyone in particular in our sub forum to the excitement we would like to see. 8-12"+ in the Arrowhead of MN and also the Dakotas cashing in.

Okay.....thanks for the update Tom. Wow....those numbers sound so good. Hopefully, we get them soon in our area and for a lot on this forum.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Giant dendrites here... Wont last long but impressive. ND getting slammed now

 

Nice - looking forward to my mood flakes via LES but enthusiasm is in full-on check mode knowing yet another big soaker dog looms over the horizon :lol:

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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