Anti Marine Layer Posted January 9, 2017 Report Share Posted January 9, 2017 Beautiful, warm day today and I got out to enjoy the sunshine and spring-like weather, but tomorrow is back to work and I hope to see some decent rain. The storm will need to fight off the ridge that gave us the nice weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 9, 2017 Report Share Posted January 9, 2017 Reports of snowfall at 7000' in southern Sierra now; freeze line is lowering. Quite warm today w/ several locations above 80°. 79/ 54 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 9, 2017 Report Share Posted January 9, 2017 Heavy rainfall/ lightning occurred overnight; now just drizzle. January is looking even more promising than December especially in NorCal. Lots of snow melt/ flooding in the Sierra but snow levels are much lower today. Great pattern for more rain this week. 0.70 Jan: 1.47 Year [jul-jun]: 8.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 9, 2017 Report Share Posted January 9, 2017 Anybody see this about the big Sequoia tree that fell down? http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2017/01/tunnel-tree-pioneer-cabin-fallen-california/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 This has been a remarkable winter. I'll look through data to see when was the last time California experienced on-going periods of rainfall or post question on Weather West. Just drizzle so far, shy of 0.10 but w/ more substantial rain likely tonight. Monday: 64/ 54 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Anybody see this about the big Sequoia tree that fell down? http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2017/01/tunnel-tree-pioneer-cabin-fallen-california/ I saw a post on Weather West the other day that the Tunnel Tree had fallen and the Orange County Register (Orange County newspaper) had an article about it today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 Heavy rainfall/ lightning occurred overnight; now just drizzle. January is looking even more promising than December especially in NorCal. Lots of snow melt/ flooding in the Sierra but snow levels are much lower today. Great pattern for more rain this week. 0.70 Jan: 1.47 Year [jul-jun]: 8.03 I saw some of that lightning the other night to my NW, just before it began raining here in Orange. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted January 10, 2017 Report Share Posted January 10, 2017 It has been raining lightly here in Orange off and on for much of the late morning and early afternoon so far. The main front is still in the Bay area, but Socal is under a moist westerly flow at this time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 GFS says a lot more precip headed your way. It would be great to keep this pattern going; even in regular rain seasons there are storms generally every 2-3 weeks. The drought deficit is lowering significantly esp in northern 2/3rd of California. 60/ 50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Good shower now; looks like an evening of rainfall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard mann Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 (.. cross-reference.) http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1445-mid-late-fall-early-winter-2016-colder-air-mass-movement-and-distribution-projections/?p=205355 Quote --- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 I'm a bit confused by the NWS_LA discussion that overnight/ current rainfall was insignificant! I have 0.80 since last night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 ‘This is a big deal’: Storms could spell end to historic drought" http://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/This-is-a-big-deal-Storms-could-spell-end-10848802.php Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 12, 2017 Report Share Posted January 12, 2017 Rain data suggests orographic lift greatly help boost totals around Pasadena [ie. San Rafael Hills: 1.85]. Next storm tomorrow! 65/ 56 0.80Jan: 2.35 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 12, 2017 Report Share Posted January 12, 2017 We have been getting the tail end of all these storms, which is better than nothing, but I'm hoping for another one to bring at least an inch of rain. The sun did come out this afternoon before more clouds started to move in around sunset. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted January 12, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2017 I'm no longer in Exceptional drought!! http://www.city-data.com/forum/attachments/weather/179632d1484228745-winter-thread-2016-17-northern-hemisphere-droughtmoniter.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted January 12, 2017 Report Share Posted January 12, 2017 ‘This is a big deal’: Storms could spell end to historic drought" http://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/This-is-a-big-deal-Storms-could-spell-end-10848802.phpGreat news for you guys. Hope this fills those reservoirs. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 12, 2017 Report Share Posted January 12, 2017 It's been raining for the last few hours at Fullerton Airport, but not a single drop down here in Irvine so far. Looking like a "pick and choose" storm that will once again bypass most of San Diego County. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 12, 2017 Report Share Posted January 12, 2017 Great news for you guys. Hope this fills those reservoirs. Thanks Andie I recall the Texas drought in 2011; about the same time that California entered its current drought. Seems that lower middle latitude climates are prone to drought. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 12, 2017 Report Share Posted January 12, 2017 The trough is moving southwest to off Baja. Perhaps the elongated position helped Los Angeles. Past an inch now and it is still raining. 51° Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 12, 2017 Report Share Posted January 12, 2017 Rain has stopped for now, but it looks like more is coming. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 12, 2017 Report Share Posted January 12, 2017 It has been raining heavily for at least half an hour here, but Fullerton Airport is getting only light rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 13, 2017 Report Share Posted January 13, 2017 Looks like no one finds the rain too exciting. What do we need to get some activity here? 100 mph winds with hail and thunderstorms and tornadoes? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted January 13, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2017 More rain will continue after the break. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 13, 2017 Report Share Posted January 13, 2017 Convective shower this afternoon; nothing since but a great day for viewing/ getting out in the rain. Slight flooding in front of my house. 56/ 52 1.58 Rainyear: 10.49 Sorry for the size of photo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 13, 2017 Report Share Posted January 13, 2017 I knew you guys were going to score this winter. It had suppressed jet written all over it. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 13, 2017 Report Share Posted January 13, 2017 Still raining here. John Wayne Airport always has one of the lowest rainfall totals in any storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted January 13, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 13, 2017 It is a currently a chilly 33F Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 13, 2017 Report Share Posted January 13, 2017 It is a currently a chilly 33F Near consistent onshore flow has made it difficult to attain cold minimums this month. Statistically average mean temps actually rise in January [60.6°] making December [59.5°] the coldest month. How did Santa Maria fare during recent storms? Above normal rainfall? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 14, 2017 Report Share Posted January 14, 2017 The desert got some rain today from our slow moving cutoff low and it looks like San Diego could still get something too. We should have a massive wildflower bloom in the spring. Five straight days of rain for Southern California. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 14, 2017 Report Share Posted January 14, 2017 Just got another brief shower here. It probably did not amount to much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder98 Posted January 14, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2017 (edited) Near consistent onshore flow has made it difficult to attain cold minimums this month. Statistically average mean temps actually rise in January [60.6°] making December [59.5°] the coldest month. How did Santa Maria fare during recent storms? Above normal rainfall? I'm at 9.47" of rain this water year so far (Sept 1st-Aug 31st) Which is between 150%-200% of average so far. I'm only around 4 inches away from my annual average. Edited January 14, 2017 by Thunder98 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 14, 2017 Report Share Posted January 14, 2017 Only some desert communities are currently below normal. But it is Important that a progressive pattern of more storms continue for at least the next 2-3 months. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 15, 2017 Report Share Posted January 15, 2017 First warm and sunny day in quite a while today. Got to see sunshine after 5 PM for the first time since November 5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted January 15, 2017 Report Share Posted January 15, 2017 I knew you guys were going to score this winter. It had suppressed jet written all over it. This season has been worlds better than the last few across the entire state so far. Plentiful snowfall in the mountains and a good deal of rain even in Socal. I have recorded nearly 10 inches of rain here in Orange since July 1 and more is likely later next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 15, 2017 Report Share Posted January 15, 2017 Encouraging model agreement on a series of storms this week. Saturday: 70/ 49 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 15, 2017 Report Share Posted January 15, 2017 Eddy is generating a strong wind today. Still, it is a very nice day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 16, 2017 Report Share Posted January 16, 2017 Tule fog thick in the Central Valley 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest happ Posted January 16, 2017 Report Share Posted January 16, 2017 HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOKNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA1125 AM PST Mon Jan 16 2017...SERIES OF PACIFIC STORMS TO IMPACT CALIFORNIA THURSDAY THROUGHNEXT TUESDAY...CONFIDENCE IS BUILDING FOR A SIGNIFICANT WET PERIOD ACROSS FARSOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA BEGINNING THURSDAY JANUARY 19TH...ANDCONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY JANUARY 24TH. UNLIKE THE LAST SeriesOF STORMS...THE STORM TRACK LATER THIS WEEK WILL BE SUPPRESSEDFAR ENOUGH SOUTH ACROSS THE PACIFIC TO INCLUDE FAR SOUTHWESTERNCALIFORNIA IN PERIODS OF MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY PRECIPITATION.LITTLE RECOVERY TIME IS EXPECTED BETWEEN SYSTEMS.THIS WILL BE THE FIRST TIME SINCE 2010 THE DEVELOPING WEATHERPATTERN WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CREATE AN EXTENDED PERIOD OFENHANCED RUNOFF INTO AREA STREAMS AND MAIN-STEM RIVERS. INADDITION...AFTER THE FIRST AND SECOND STORMS...THE SOILS WILLLIKELY HAVE LITTLE CAPACITY TO ABSORB MUCH MORE RAIN...WITH MOSTOF IT BECOMING RUNOFF.THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WITHTHE STRONGER SYSTEMS THIS WEEKENDAND EARLY NEXT WEEK...DUE TO THEPOTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER RAINFALL RATES. THE GREATEST THREAT WILLEXIST IN AND BELOW RECENT BURN SCARS AND IN POORLY DRAINED URBANAREAS.Some very preliminary 6-DAY forecast rainfall totals for Thursdaythrough Tuesday of next week...Coast...........2 to 4 inches.Valleys.........3 to 5 inches.Mountains.......5 to 10 inches.Upper deserts...1 to 3 inches.Lower deserts...1 to 2 inchES.SOME FAVORED COASTAL SLOPES COULD RECEIVE A FOOT OR MORE OF RAIN.SNOW LEVELS WILL FLUCTUATE MOSTLY BETWEEN 4500 AND 5500 FEET...WHICH WILL HELP TO MITIGATE RUNOFF FROM THE UPPER MOUNTAIN SLOPESINITIALLY. HOWEVER...THERE ARE INDICATIONS THE FREEZING LEVELS MAYRISE FOR A TIME DURING THE FINAL STORM IN THIS SERIES. THIS COULDAUGMENT RUNOFF. SEVERAL FEET OF SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHERMOUNTAIN COMMUNITIES BY NEXT TUESDAY.SEVERAL OF OUR RIVER SYSTEMS HAVE NOT RECORDED SIGNIFICANT FLOWSINCE 2010 INCLUDING THE SAN LUIS REY...SANTA MARGARITA...AND THEMOJAVE. THE SAN DIEGO RIVER RESPONDS MORE QUICKLY TO RAINFALL ANDRUNOFF AND WILL LIKELY EXCEED MONITOR LEVEL...FLOWING OVER SOME OFTHE LOWER WATER CROSSINGS IN MISSION VALLEY AT TIMES.PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT SOMETIME THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXTWEEK...THE SANTA MARGARITA...SAN DIEGO...WHITEWATER...MOJAVE...ANDTIJUANA RIVERS MAY RECORD SIGNIFICANT FLOWS.* THE SAN DIEGO AND SANTA MARGARITA RIVERS MAY REACH FLOOD LEVELS. THIS WILL IMPACT TRAVEL THROUGH MISSION VALLEY... AND ON VANDERGRIFT AND STUART MESA ROADS ON CAMP PENDLETON. ROAD CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE.* FOR THE MOJAVE RIVER...PRESENT RAINFALL EXPECTATIONS WOULD NOT RESULT IN THE RIVER REACHING FLOOD LEVEL. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT FLOWS IN THE HIGH DESERT ARE RARE AND MAY IMPACT LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS IN AND NEAR THE RIVER CHANNEL.* THE WHITEWATER RIVER DRAINS INTO THE COACHELLA CANAL WHICH FLOWS THROUGH HEAVILY POPULATED AREAS IN THE COACHELLA VALLEY. LOW- WATER CROSSINGS MAY BE INUNDATED AND BARRICADED AT TIMES IF THE FLOW BECOMES MODERATE TO HEAVY.* THE TIJUANA RIVER TENDS TO RESPOND QUICKLY TO HEAVY RAINFALL RATES...ESPECIALLY WHEN THE SOIL HAS BECOME SATURATED. RESIDENTS AND INTERESTS IN THE TIJUANA RIVER VALLEY SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR FLOODING AT TIMES THIS COMING WEEKEND AND MAKE PREPARATIONS TO MOVE EQUIPMENT AND ANIMALS TO HIGHER GROUND IF NECESSARY.* FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SAN LUIS REY RIVER EARLY NEXT WEEK. AFTER YEARS OF VERY LITTLE FLOW...DENSE OVERGROWTH HAS DEVELOPED IN THE CHANNEL. ANY SIGNIFICANT FLOW CAN RESULT IN FLOODING DUE TO TEMPORARY CHANNEL BLOCKAGES THAT MAY DEVELOP. LOCAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN UPSTREAM AREAS FROM BONSALL TO PAUMA VALLEY. SOME ROAD IMPACTS OR CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE... INCLUDING SHEARER CROSSING...COUSER CANYON AND LILAC ROAD.A PRELIMINARY FORECAST FROM THE CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RIVER FORECASTCENTER HAS THE SAN DIEGO RIVER REACHING 7.5 FT BY 6 PM PST FRIDAY.THIS MAY CAUSE SOME CLOSURES OF LOW-WATER CROSSINGS IN MISSIONVALLEY THEN. WATCH FOR LAXRVSSGX ISSUANCES FOR RIVER FORECASTLEVELS IN THE COMING DAYS...OR CHECK THE WEB AT:WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGXSOME FLOODING IS LIKELY LATER THIS WEEK. EXPECT ROAD CLOSURES ORDELAYS AT LOW-WATER CROSSINGS AND URBAN FLOODING AT TIMES OFHEAVY RAINFALL RATES. WATCH FOR UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WATCHES ANDWARNINGS AT WEATHER.GOV/SANDIEGO AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE EVENT. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 16, 2017 Report Share Posted January 16, 2017 Looks like it could get pretty wet. However, they said the same thing last January before the few El Nino storms and they were much weaker than forecast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.