January 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[luvssnow_spokane]

Man, I'm over this, we just can't win!  What are the chances we a block like this again later this winter?  Don't answer that...  

What does it matter? We had a great block this time... almost epic and it did for us. SO who cares! What a total waste!!

[Deweydog]

Man, I'm over this, we just can't win! What are the chances we a block like this again later this winter? Don't answer that...

Pretty good.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Rain and record warmth! I hope it's 60 degrees.

Me too!! maybe we can some action packed flooding with it! Be better than this cluster fukk we have been in.

[MossMan]

Seriously I would love to hear some of the underlying technical reasons behind it... I find it interesting.

Models see that setup all the time...lots of analogs to go off of!

[Deweydog]

My location still looks like it could be back in action by Monday...

[MossMan]

not much .... rapid warm up but I could give a flying Fukk for a snow to rain transition. Just prefer rain. Sooo let it rain!!

I don't know...the Dec 1996 transition event was quite fun!! Unless you had a boat at the Edmonds marina or had a flat roof.

[luvssnow_spokane]

I don't know...the Dec 1996 transition event was quite fun!! Unless you had a boat at the Edmonds marina or had a flat roof.

I thought it was depressing. All the snow gone in a few hours. It is like someone giving you a brief case full of money ... then lighting it on fire and saying, "I hope you enjoyed"... "It's was better than nothing."

[liquidsnow]

I thought it was depressing. All the snow gone in a few hours. It is like someone giving you a brief case full of money ... then lighting it on fire and saying. I hope you enjoyed... It was better than nothing. 

 

 

Nah,it's like planting a nice flower, watching it grow ... only to see a foe step on it before it blooms.

[MossMan]

My location still looks like it could be back in action by Monday...

Only 7 days away...less than 10!!

[luvssnow_spokane]

My location still looks like it could be back in action by Monday...

[luvssnow_spokane]

Nah,it's like planting a nice flower, watching it grow ... only to see a foe step on it before it blooms.

Exactly!  

[MossMan]

I thought it was depressing. All the snow gone in a few hours. It is like someone giving you a brief case full of money ... then lighting it on fire and saying, "I hope you enjoyed"... "It's was better than nothing."

lots of fun aspects though...I remember the temp rose all the way to 35 degrees the afternoon before the overrunning but then suddenly by late afternoon the temp plummeted big time all the way down to 14 degrees when the snow started around 9 or so that evening and was heavy snow by 10pm all the way until about 9am the next morning, then I believe my area went into a rain shadow so we didn't get much rain even though it warmed to 40 degrees by the afternoon so it was still fun to play in 25" of snow!

[BLI snowman]

Andrew joke.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Onto the Euro.. GFS is a suck fest!... Bummer. Enjoy this week -- down to 23 now.

[luvssnow_spokane]

lots of fun aspects though...I remember the temp rose all the way to 35 degrees the afternoon before the overrunning but then suddenly by late afternoon the temp plummeted big time all the way down to 14 degrees when the snow started around 9 or so that evening and was heavy snow by 10pm all the way until about 9am the next morning, then I believe my area went into a rain shadow so we didn't get much rain even though it warmed to 40 degrees by the afternoon so it was still fun to play in 25" of snow!

Enjoy it...  I hope it happens for you... Maybe we can get some substantial snow that sticks around more than a few hours at some point this winter. 

[MossMan]

My wife has always been really condescending to me about it but is generally tolerant.

Does she ever tell you to just look at your phone app if you want to know what the weather is going to be, like what normal people do...

[TT-SEA]

I think its going to turn very wet and relatively warm.   Seems like a logical progression.    Glad we are heading to Vegas next week... and we did not miss this snowy and sunny week.   

[Heavy Snow]

It looks like a ton of rain for the Southern Oregon Coast and Northern California through at least the next 2 weeks.

[Deweydog]

Does she ever tell you to just look at your phone app if you want to know what the weather is going to be, like what normal people do...

Nah, she knows not to go there.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Could be some wet snow at "my location."

[liquidsnow]

I think its going to turn very wet and relatively warm. Seems like a logical progression. Glad we are heading to Vegas next week... and we did not miss this snowy and sunny week.

What makes you think this?

[MossMan]

Nah, she knows not to go there.

That's good, my wife hasn't either...but a few of my friends have.

[BLI snowman]

Canadian and GFS continue to look a lot different next week.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Lots of energy on the ooz north of us. Kinda a strange looking progression and its not far off from being colder.

[Jesse]

Canadian and GFS continue to look a lot different next week.

Canadian chillier?

[MossMan]

At least for now the PNA forecast is staying in the - category for the foreseeable future...a good thing!!

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.shtml

[liquidsnow]

It's super duper clown range but....nationwide meh.

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017010300/384/850th.conus.png

[Deweydog]

Canadian chillier?

Both are progressive. Canadian is more Cascades-friendly.

[BLI snowman]

Canadian chillier?

Keeps it relatively interesting, yes.

[MossMan]

[Deweydog]

Already down to 31. Ouch.

The suspense is terrible... I hope it'll last.

[stuffradio]

CA is about to get wet.

[BLI snowman]

It's super duper clown range but....nationwide meh.

 

http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017010300/384/850th.conus.png

Looks amazing.

[Heavy Snow]

CA is about to get wet.

Jan 7 precipitable water.png

 

At least it's not aimed right at us this time.

[luminen]

down to 22F here under clear skies and light winds.

[luvssnow_spokane]

At least it's not aimed right at us this time.

Not yet...

[Jesse]

The suspense is terrible... I hope it'll last.

I know you do. And nice Gene Wilder quote.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Lots of energy on the ooz north of us. Kinda a strange looking progression and its not far off from being colder.

We wish...

[Jesse]

We wish...

Keep up the great analysis.

[Heavy Snow]

Not yet...

 

Yeah, it sure looks that way seeing the medium to long range GFS.