January 30th-31st Clipper

[Tom]

Radar trends look north...

[Tony]

^Agree, won't see much out of this our way.

[jaster220]

^Agree, won't see much out of this our way.

 

You weren't expected to but I get the hoping for a last minute bump south. January 1900 Chicago had

 

 

 

The Triangle of Dearth:

 

 

[Niko]

^Agree, won't see much out of this our way.

You might see some flurries at best, if any, but thats all.

[gosaints]

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2017013018/hrrr_asnow_ncus_18.png

[Niko]

WWA was just included for SEMI

 

From TWC:

 

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST TUESDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW DEVELOPING LATE THIS EVENING, BECOMING MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT, THEN DIMINISHING TOMORROW MORNING. * SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES EXPECTED BY SUNRISE TUESDAY, WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 1 INCH DURING THE DAY. * TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S TONIGHT

[Tony]

You might see some flurries at best, if any, but thats all.

I was not expecting much anyway. Radar looking terrible right now as system running into alot of dry air.

[jaster220]

Pls, don't "dry air" on our parade

[Niko]

Pls, don't "dry air" on our parade

[jaster220]

A Clipper is forecast to originate out of the Yukon Territories of far NW Canada and dive south through Manitoba, CA to close out the month of January.  Models are varying on the strength/track of this system.  Let's discuss the potential to add on more snow to this paltry month in the snow dept.

 

Here was the 06z GFS...

 

South trend wins out for once!

 

Since it's a clipper I would be watching the trends of the Canadian as it should have a better feel for these type of systems.

 

 

Per Amwx poster in OH:

"dont say this very often but the CMC had this nailed from the get go....all other models were way too far north. Even last night models continued to come south....congrats CMC! lol"

[Money]

Lol at niko and jaster

[jaster220]

-SN started 'bout 30 mins ago Money. You getting in on this too, right?

[jaster220]

Oops, my bad. Rip City out there now! 2" per hour weenie band stuff, OMG Niko! It's wild!!

 

Edit - massive dendrites too! Sick out there right now!

[gosaints]

Oops, my bad. Rip City out there now! 2" per hour weenie band stuff, OMG Niko! It's wild!!

 

Edit - massive dendrites too! Sick out there right now!

Nice congrats!

[jaster220]

Nice congrats!

Thx! Ripping good in Marshall with nice fatties! Estimate 1" in first 40 mins. Heavier than Dec 11th rates even.

[gosaints]

Nice radar looks decent for u guys

[Tom]

Oops, my bad. Rip City out there now! 2" per hour weenie band stuff, OMG Niko! It's wild!!

 

Edit - massive dendrites too! Sick out there right now!

I'm sure with the wind and fluff it looks great! I miss those days...enjoy it my man!

[Tony]

Good luck to you guys...enjoy the snow. Hoping it hits you hard!

[Niko]

Oops, my bad. Rip City out there now! 2" per hour weenie band stuff, OMG Niko! It's wild!!

 

Edit - massive dendrites too! Sick out there right now!

Its about to hit my area with a bang also. It looks like a sheet of snow about to explode in SEMI. I'd say, its about 45min from start time. Cant wait to see how the scene outside will look tomorrow morning. Looks great.

 

You must be getting hammered out there.

[jaster220]

Got a lull so measured 1.6 in first hour(ish). Hourly showing 3.9 more.

 

But Whoa to this!

 

NWUS53 KGRR 310116

LSRGRR

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI

816 PM EST MON JAN 30 2017

 

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...

..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....

..REMARKS..

 

0739 PM SNOW 3 W HOWARD CITY 43.40N 85.53W

01/30/2017 M2.0 INCH MONTCALM MI PUBLIC

 

REPORTED IN 45 MINUTES.

 

 

&&

 

$$

 

HOVING

[Niko]

Snow started here!

[Niko]

Latest from NOAA:

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON TUESDAY...WEATHER... * Widespread accumulating snow to impact the region overnight. * Increasing snowfall intensity early tonight, with snowfall rates   between one half and one inch per hour possible at times.

They upped accumulations to 3-5inches now.

[Snowshoe]

Solid clipper 3" imby. Just enough to get the snowmobile and x-country trails rolling again.

[Tom]

Solid clipper 3" imby. Just enough to get the snowmobile and x-country trails rolling again.

What is your snow depth??

[Snowshoe]

Maybe 6" or so in open areas and approaching 10-12" in the woods. Hard and crusty base.

[jaster220]

Busy morning with travel snowy fun - ha!  GRR's been slow to show many reports but I was up to a bit under 4.5" at 6 am and there was more to come down. I see IWX has a storm report out and with 4.9" reported near Litchfield about 25 miles southeast of Marshall. Looks like their (GRR's) map yesterday with some 4-6" jack-zones over here verified nicely. First and only plow-worthy snowfall for January for my place. Nice to hear city plows come by about 4 am   Niko how'd you do over that way?

[Niko]

Busy morning with travel snowy fun - ha!  GRR's been slow to show many reports but I was up to a bit under 4.5" at 6 am and there was more to come down. I see IWX has a storm report out and with 4.9" reported near Litchfield about 25 miles southeast of Marshall. Looks like their (GRR's) map yesterday with some 4-6" jack-zones over here verified nicely. First and only plow-worthy snowfall for January for my place. Nice to hear city plows come by about 4 am   Niko how'd you do over that way?

I measured 3.7" IMBY. Its awesome out there. Second snowfall for January in my area. This makes my grand total of 8.5inches for the month. I am 5 tenths shy of being on average snowfall for the month of January. Not too shabby considering it was a mild month overall.

 

Btw: More snow by afternoon. They are calling for another inch, so I might break the average and be above average for the month.

[jaster220]

I measured 3.7" IMBY. Its awesome out there. Second snowfall for January in my area. This makes my grand total of 8.5inches for the month. I am 5 tenths shy of being on average snowfall for the month of January. Not too shabby considering it was a mild month overall.

 

Btw: More snow by afternoon. They are calling for another inch, so I might break the average and be above average for the month.

 

Niko buddy, did you move or something? Peeps over at NWS say you're about 2 counties away from anything above 3"

 

 

[Niko]

Niko buddy, did you move or something? Peeps over at NWS say you're about 2 counties away from anything above 3"

 

20170131 DPX Storm summary.JPG

Wow, I am shocked. My measurement reported 3.7" and I am still receiving snow. Snow redeveloped later this afternoon. I am easily over 4.0" now altogether from last night until now.

[gosaints]

Niko lives at elevation;-)

[St Paul Storm]

Reports of thundersnow around Eau Claire a bit ago with whiteout conditions.

[jaster220]

Niko lives at elevation;-)

Negative elevation?

LOL, you've not been in Macomb Cnty have you? It's like 2ft above lake level and the true elevation just west in Oakland Cnty often causes down-sloping. We had posters in our MI forum that constantly complained what a snow hole it was. :-/

 

5.3" total - 2nd biggest storm of the season for mby. Snow blowers in da 'hood this evening was great to see!

[Niko]

Negative elevation?

LOL, you've not been in Macomb Cnty have you? It's like 2ft above lake level and the true elevation just west in Oakland Cnty often causes down-sloping. We had posters in our MI forum that constantly complained what a snow hole it was. :-/

 

5.3" total - 2nd biggest storm of the season for mby. Snow blowers in da 'hood this evening was great to see!

I do have an elevation as a matter of fact.

 

From Wikipedia:

Macomb Township is a general law township and northern suburb of Detroit located in Macomb ... Water, 0.04 sq mi (0.1 km²) 0.06%. Elevation, 604 ft (184 m).

 

 

Btw: Nice total.  My total is 4.2". Still a few leftover snowshowers out there, but, the accumulating snow is done with.

[Snowshoe]

Reports of thundersnow around Eau Claire a bit ago with whiteout conditions.

Didn't hear any thunder but I did get about 2" in about an hour when that same snow band moved through. Out snowmobiling and it was hard to see through the silver dollar size wet snow. Awesome surprise!

[Money]

yeah coming home from work and it was pretty much a whiteout.

 

North of Milwaukee and most of WI are probably above average snowfall so far this year. 

[gosaints]

yeah coming home from work and it was pretty much a whiteout.

 

North of Milwaukee and most of WI are probably above average snowfall so far this year.

La crosse +3 inches on the season

[Money]

La crosse +3 inches on the season

 

ya been a weird season. It seems like it comes in batches but a lot of dry periods overall. 

[gosaints]

ya been a weird season. It seems like it comes in batches but a lot of dry periods overall.

Ya I think the big thing is every storm other than the blizzards have delivered. Hasnt been a real swing and a miss south

[jaster220]

I do have an elevation as a matter of fact.

 

From Wikipedia:

Macomb Township is a general law township and northern suburb of Detroit located in Macomb ... Water, 0.04 sq mi (0.1 km²) 0.06%. Elevation, 604 ft (184 m).

 

 

Btw: Nice total.  My total is 4.2". Still a few leftover snowshowers out there, but, the accumulating snow is done with.

 

Thanks! Getting bulls-eyed by this clipper helps ease my pain of getting shafted on almost every other clipper the past 2 yrs.   Now this is how a clipper is done!

 

I stand corrected, you're a whopping 30 ft above lake level. My "2 ft" was kinda tongue-in-cheek cuz I knew it wasn't hundreds of feet.

 

 

[Niko]

Thanks! Getting bulls-eyed by this clipper helps ease my pain of getting shafted on almost every other clipper the past 2 yrs.   Now this is how a clipper is done!

 

I stand corrected, you're a whopping 30 ft above lake level. My "2 ft" was kinda tongue-in-cheek cuz I knew it wasn't hundreds of feet.

 

20170201 Lk St Clair.JPG

This clipper provided another 0.5" last night, so, grand total for January snowfall is 9.5".