Tom Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 12z GFS has come in stronger and juicer. Question is, will this give the "Middle Finger" to OMA or not??? Very tight gradient with this system...snow extends out to those in S IA who have been starved by snow. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017020712/084/snku_acc.us_c.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 12z GFS has come in stronger and juicer. Question is, will this give the "Middle Finger" to OMA or not??? Very tight gradient with this system...snow extends out to those in S IA who have been starved by snow. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017020712/084/snku_acc.us_c.png Sharp cut off is an understatement......I'm one county away from 6+. Gonna need to get lucky with this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 im not even gonna bother getting my hopes up here in Lincoln for this. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 12z GGEM... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2017020712/gem_asnow_ncus_7.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Hope the NE/IA peeps get hit hard with this one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Might be better being on the north end of this right now 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 12z GEFS... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2017020712/gfs-ens_apcpn_us_6.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Too bad it wants to shaft the southern part of the state where most of the poster peeps are... Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Looks like the 12z Euro is a little more south with HP out of the Dakotas. Hard to say without precip maps handy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Euro with .14" for Iowa city. .11" for Cedar Rapids. .2" for Des Moines and .25" for Sioux City Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 winter weather advisory issued for 2-5" of accumulation. Omaha is included! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 .06" for Lincoln and .15" for Omaha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Sweet. Another trace. I'm so stoked right now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 .27" for Norfolk Nebraska which seems to be in the bullseye Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Euro with .14" for Iowa city. .11" for Cedar Rapids. .2" for Des Moines and .25" for Sioux CityDoes it fizzle out here?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Does it fizzle out here??Nada for us...as usual. Keep the streak going my friend! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Nada for us...as usual. Keep the streak going my friend! Looks like plenty if you live in EPA through SNE - winter just getting started in JB Land Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Looks like plenty if you live in EPA through SNE - winter just getting started in JB Land Looking like they will be the winners in February Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 18z GFS... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017020718/024/snku_acc.us_c.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Looks like the biggest snow of the season may be on tap for Grizz/Toasted??? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Yep. Biggest so far has been 2.3". Only two events over 1" in 24 hrs. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Doesn't look like I will break my biggest snowfall of the season.....which would be 2.5" three times!!! The cut off from this storm is so painful, goes from 5" in the northern part of my county to nothing in the southwest. I'm gonna ride the line big time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Looks like the biggest snow of the season may be on tap for Grizz/Toasted???Question for you Tom.......a fellow teacher of mine always brings up the fact that the Platte river tends to control the path of storms. The snow line is following the platte river. I'm a big believer in that the body of water just isn't big enough to play a part in weather like a lake would. What's your opinion on it??? I'm intrigued on anybody's opinion because I'll tell you what......I have seen some strange things happen with it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted February 7, 2017 Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Might be better being on the north end of this right now whys that?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2017 Question for you Tom.......a fellow teacher of mine always brings up the fact that the Platte river tends to control the path of storms. The snow line is following the platte river. I'm a big believer in that the body of water just isn't big enough to play a part in weather like a lake would. What's your opinion on it??? I'm intrigued on anybody's opinion because I'll tell you what......I have seen some strange things happen with it.You know, I've never thought about that before. IMO, I don't think the Platte River would influence storm tracks. I think it's a local folklore or something along those lines. Interesting question though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educatorjen Posted February 8, 2017 Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 I really wish this would come far enough south for Omaha to get some snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowO Posted February 8, 2017 Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 Jim flowers has a good video up. Hope it pans out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 Looks like the 00z NAM came in a little farther south from previous run and has 2 waves, the second wave tracks a bit farther south compared to the 1st one with a decent 1-2"/hr thump snow crossing over northern half of OMA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buzzman289 Posted February 8, 2017 Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 Radar returns show it coming due east, just sayin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 00z RGEM...N IN may get in the mix with some decent snows... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2017020800/rgem_asnow_ncus_11.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 8, 2017 Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 GFS coming in a touch south too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 8, 2017 Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 heaviest snow is definitely staying north of Omaha with the current band. I don't see how we get much tonight. There is supposed to be a second burst that comes through early in the morning tomorrow but I have a bad feeling about this amounting to anything more than an inch or two here in Omaha. 03Z HRRR keeps upping the totals here and now has 5-6" across Omaha. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted February 8, 2017 Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 heaviest snow is definitely staying north of Omaha with the current band. I don't see how we get much tonight. There is supposed to be a second burst that comes through early in the morning tomorrow but I have a bad feeling about this amounting to anything more than an inch or two here in Omaha.To much dry air in place at OMA - typical! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 8, 2017 Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 I have chosen to keep quiet on this one. Hoping that my quiet streak means our biggest snowstorm of the season. Of course, now that I have spoken, I just probably jinxed myself even being just two hours before the start! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted February 8, 2017 Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 the HRRR has been hot garbage all winter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 8, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 I have chosen to keep quiet on this one. Hoping that my quiet streak means our biggest snowstorm of the season. Of course, now that I have spoken, I just probably jinxed myself even being just two hours before the start!Looks like those heavier returns are making a beeline for DSM...should be rippin' pretty good tonight for a bit. Might actually cover the grass tips with this one! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted February 8, 2017 Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 the HRRR has been hot garbage all winterLol. Was just looking at it and has me getting clocked. Probably not! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowO Posted February 8, 2017 Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 Seems to be moving to fast Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 8, 2017 Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 First flakes fly at 1226 am. Let's double my biggest snow of the season and add to our whopping half foot total! Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted February 8, 2017 Report Share Posted February 8, 2017 Been coming down hard here just SW of Des Moines. Probably half an inch in 20 mins, with visibility around a quarter mile here. Best rates of the season! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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