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Thanksgiving Holiday - TX Panhandle Cutter


Tom
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The models are all coming into agreement that a rather potent cut-off ULL will slide down the leeward side of the Rockies and into the TX Panhandle region on Thanksgiving.  This system slowly migrates through TX into OK picking up abundant moisture and wrapping it into the cold core of the storm system on the NW side producing a significant snowstorm for W TX/W OK.  Severe Wx potential for E TX is in the cards, albeit not as widespread and intense.  This may change in future runs so something to keep an eye on. 

 

Nevertheless, a heavy precip producing system is in the works and I'm sure there will be more twists and turns with this system.  Let's discuss.

image.gif

 

0z EPS...

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0z GEFS precip...

gfs-ens_apcpn_us_28.png

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We’ll, it’s certainly characteristic of Texas to pull a fast one on us on Thanksgiving.   

I’ve had more Thanksgivings ruined due to bad weather than I can recall.  Been stuck with a big dinner and had to cancel to keep family off dangerous roads.  
For many reasons I seriously do not like this holiday. 

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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1 hour ago, Clinton said:

6z Euro Control brings nice totals into KC.

image.thumb.png.17dff7d8318fdd50476752f055a81c3f.png

RN totals? Looks like it's just S of KC

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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4 hours ago, someweatherdude said:

The KC Metro area is roughly within the red circle.  Those are decent totals for this year.  

image.jpeg.e851536ec268f314602af1d717f4de42.jpeg

 

Thx was thinking it was the further N bendy region. Yeah, that's great. A dream to see any model/system showing more than 0.5" qpf for this part of SEMI.

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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1 hour ago, jaster220 said:

Thx was thinking it was the further N bendy region. Yeah, that's great. A dream to see any model/system showing more than 0.5" qpf for this part of SEMI.

The GFS has slid a little further SE today.  Hopefully the Euro will pan out.  I think we all could use a little moisture even if it's all rain.  It's been a crazy day around here for me but this weather pattern setting up has me excited.

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3 hours ago, jaster220 said:

Thx was thinking it was the further N bendy region. Yeah, that's great. A dream to see any model/system showing more than 0.5" qpf for this part of SEMI.

18z Euro gets ya a little bump in totals.  Hopefully we can start chipping away at your drought also.

1669593600-RDWir4dY7xI.png

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Good morning and Happy Thanksgiving everyone!  I'm waking up to some sprinkles and light rain this morning which wasn't forecasted or modeled.  Models have really spread the rain shield out overnight which means more people get more moisture.  There has also been a trend towards some low end snow accumulation totals in NE Iowa into Wisconsin and northern Michigan.

6z GFS

1669593600-04wsRI9ArX0.png

 

1669593600-enl8Iwr2E7Y.png

6z Euro

1669593600-CIjXoPh2Q5k.png

1669593600-SHddsGAYnM0.png

 

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Models still cannot decide if a swath of rain will move across eastern Iowa.  They've been flopping back and forth for days.  The latest GFS and Euro show widespread rain here.  The UK is way southeast.  Other models are in between and wobbling back and forth.  The rain looks light, regardless.

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season snowfall: 0.0"

 

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Euro much wetter here - we'll see is all I can say. 

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

Notice the 546 dm contour more "connected" on the most recent 12z GFS run.

Overall, I'd say trends are looking a bit more favorable for a swath of snow in/around the Lakes.

NEXLABdpdt-12Z-20221127_GFSUS_500_avort-200-100.gif.a64091998a48c370510bec3a6614982f.gif

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_13.png

NMI would likely be looking at sig SN if this were hitting them overnight vs midday. 

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Euro even deeper than GFS. I am glad to see the models trend towards a more robust SLP even tho climo obviously does not favor SMI being on the north side of stronger systems.

prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.png 

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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18 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_13.png

NMI would likely be looking at sig SN if this were hitting them overnight vs midday. 

imo the bigger issue is that we're trying to chase the cold in.  It's cutoff and then interacting/phasing with the northern stream and the exact details with that will affect how this turns out.  Maybe the daytime timing is an issue, but it's like a mid-January equivalent sun angle.

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NAM in not nearly as deep, but has a much snowier portrayal across NMI. Could be fooled a bit at this range, but inland away from the lake warmth could get a nice little surprise thumping. Time to go read APX's thoughts/messaging on this potential. 

namconus_ref_frzn_us_50.png

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Just now, Hoosier said:

imo the bigger issue is that we're trying to chase the cold in.  It's cutoff and then interacting/phasing with the northern stream and the exact details with that will affect how this turns out.  Maybe the daytime timing is an issue, but it's like a mid-January equivalent sun angle.

Oh, its thread the needle for sure and timing of day only makes it more so. Nonetheless, having lived up there for 7 years, I have firsthand experience with these things finding a way to snow when otherwise it shouldn't. Normally not too invested in storms outside my CWA, but having been a resident of NMI, I do like to follow their wx happenings, especially if/when the action is lacking for the S GL's. 

Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Quite the qpf maxima in NWIN. Bet they wished it was cold enough to snow. 

gfs_apcpn_ncus_17.png

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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The Octopus Low! 

Static map

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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2 hours ago, jaster220 said:

Euro even deeper than GFS. I am glad to see the models trend towards a more robust SLP even tho climo obviously does not favor SMI being on the north side of stronger systems.

prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.png 

What a storm this could be for us if we had some cold air blocked in here.  So rare to see a storm develop on the Texas and Mexico boarder and not miss me to the east.  Hopefully you will see a wetter pattern set up, I don't think your area will continue to be so dry going forward unlike the western areas like Nebraska. 

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3 hours ago, Clinton said:

What a storm this could be for us if we had some cold air blocked in here.  So rare to see a storm develop on the Texas and Mexico boarder and not miss me to the east.  Hopefully you will see a wetter pattern set up, I don't think your area will continue to be so dry going forward unlike the western areas like Nebraska. 

Yeah, this would be one helluva GOMEX Low. They are notorious for some monster storms in Michigan. 

So far, APX still saying a mixy mess on tap. We'll see if tonight's frontal passage tips the scales towards better chances of accumulation.

Tab3FileL.png?8a670d46207629a7b2770b1630d18a82

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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18z GFS joins Euro's sub-990mb system with a 989mb "Low party" over my place. Also hints that an inland thumping could be in the works across the higher terrain of NMI.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_12.png

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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18z NAM gave my old place about 7-9"

namconus_asnow_ncus_29.png

Kuchera likes SEWisco as well.

snku_acc.us_mw.png

And SEWI

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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I can't imagine that Texas has seen this much widespread rainfall very often especially in late November.  This pattern will soon have their drought wiped out.

1669593600-FOIW1cN6Y2E.png

Impressive totals for late November for KC and the Mid West.

 1669597200-gys5Dix45q8.png

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1 minute ago, Clinton said:

I can't imagine that Texas has seen this much widespread rainfall very often especially in late November.  This pattern will soon have their drought wiped out.

1669593600-FOIW1cN6Y2E.png

Impressive totals for late November for KC and the Mid West.

 1669597200-gys5Dix45q8.png

Its really a thing of beauty to see how strong this closed off ULL is going turn out...man, its like very storm that tracks into this part of the U.S. always holds its strength or gets stronger!  Dig baby, Dig!  #STJ

image.gif

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8 minutes ago, Tom said:

Its really a thing of beauty to see how strong this closed off ULL is going turn out...man, its like very storm that tracks into this part of the U.S. always holds its strength or gets stronger!  Dig baby, Dig!  #STJ

image.gif

Lezak seemed very excited about this storm last night on TV, even commenting how everyone should remember this storm and that it could be a big snow maker later on this Winter.  This will be his last week on air and his Winter forecast is on Wednesday night.

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  • Tom changed the title to Thanksgiving Holiday - TX Panhandle Cutter
6 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Lezak seemed very excited about this storm last night on TV, even commenting how everyone should remember this storm and that it could be a big snow maker later on this Winter.  This will be his last week on air and his Winter forecast is on Wednesday night.

I'm sure he will be missed in KC...he is a legend!  Ya, I have to concur, there are multiple storms in this pattern that get me excited.

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That's gotta be a rare Obs there! They may have to run their defrosters

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Didn’t have to kill the turkey this year! 
He drowned!

Hope everyone had a great day yesterday!  🥂🦃

2” in Ft Worth I hear and up here on the Red River even more.  
We expect 2 more inches over the next 24 hours. Absolutely soaked.  

West Texas appears to be winding up for an assault. Some snow west. 
No complaints. Lakes and aquifers will be recharged for summer.  
 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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7 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Seems like things have gone back a little bit in the other direction... less favorable interaction with the northern stream and thus less snow around the Lakes.  Still time to flip back again I suppose.

S, and a little less dynamic yes. It is now actually taking a path favorable for Chicago & SMI to get winter wx if it were a month deeper into winter. May even end with a few flakes in parts of SEMI per DTX's AFD. 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_8.png

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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For us, models have been going back and forth for days.  Today they are all going back southeast.  It's looking like maybe some very light showers, at most, for Cedar Rapids.

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season snowfall: 0.0"

 

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I did a Black Friday drive. By old school rules, I'd say highway M-46 and north away from any lake shadow has the best shot at seeing some flakes whitening the ground. Not going to be anything big anywhere in The Mitt, but it will be another reminder that winter's knocking on the door as we march into December. I think the 18z NAM has a pretty realistic portrayal of the potential. 

namconus_asnow_ncus_26.png

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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3 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

For us, models have been going back and forth for days.  Today they are all going back southeast.  It's looking like maybe some very light showers, at most, for Cedar Rapids.

At least it won't be another snow bust for ya. Y'all have had a good autumn soaker. How 'bout let us get something?

 

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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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To show just how sparse and lack-luster the moisture has been here in 2022, this has the potential to be the largest qpf since last Feb's half RN/half SN winter storm on the 17th.

DTW forecast (8 miles south of here):

Sunday
Rain, mainly after 8am. High near 46. Light and variable wind becoming east northeast 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Rain, mainly before 8pm. Low around 35. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
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Winter 2021-22 Snow Total = 35.7"  Largest Storm: 5.6" (2/2-3)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 7.7 Dec: 2.5 Jan: 8.4 Feb: 12.3 Mar: 3.2 Apr: 1.6

 

Annual avg for mby = XX.X" ??

2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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9 hours ago, Iceresistance said:

Wide swath of 1-1.75 inches of rain expected for most of Texas through tomorrow. @Andie

 

Geez, we’re soaked in North Tx. The ground is so super saturated you sink in it. We try to stay on hard surfaces.  
If all of this had been snow we’d be house bound for a week.  
On the Tx/Okla border it’s just saturated.  
52*. Rain.  Coming to an end this morning.  

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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