jaster220 Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 7 hours ago, Hoosier said: Seems like things have gone back a little bit in the other direction... less favorable interaction with the northern stream and thus less snow around the Lakes. Still time to flip back again I suppose. S, and a little less dynamic yes. It is now actually taking a path favorable for Chicago & SMI to get winter wx if it were a month deeper into winter. May even end with a few flakes in parts of SEMI per DTX's AFD. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 For us, models have been going back and forth for days. Today they are all going back southeast. It's looking like maybe some very light showers, at most, for Cedar Rapids. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 I did a Black Friday drive. By old school rules, I'd say highway M-46 and north away from any lake shadow has the best shot at seeing some flakes whitening the ground. Not going to be anything big anywhere in The Mitt, but it will be another reminder that winter's knocking on the door as we march into December. I think the 18z NAM has a pretty realistic portrayal of the potential. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: For us, models have been going back and forth for days. Today they are all going back southeast. It's looking like maybe some very light showers, at most, for Cedar Rapids. At least it won't be another snow bust for ya. Y'all have had a good autumn soaker. How 'bout let us get something? 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 To show just how sparse and lack-luster the moisture has been here in 2022, this has the potential to be the largest qpf since last Feb's half RN/half SN winter storm on the 17th. DTW forecast (8 miles south of here): Sunday Rain, mainly after 8am. High near 46. Light and variable wind becoming east northeast 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Sunday Night Rain, mainly before 8pm. Low around 35. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 Big difference for KC between the global models and the short range models. If this were a snow storm I wouldn't want to be a met in KC. 18z Euro: 0z HRRR: 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 Wide swath of 1-1.75 inches of rain expected for most of Texas through tomorrow. @Andie 1 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 26, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 What a beautiful looking system that will eventually develop a trowal feature on radar pulling deep moisture out of the GOM... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 9 hours ago, Iceresistance said: Wide swath of 1-1.75 inches of rain expected for most of Texas through tomorrow. @Andie Geez, we’re soaked in North Tx. The ground is so super saturated you sink in it. We try to stay on hard surfaces. If all of this had been snow we’d be house bound for a week. On the Tx/Okla border it’s just saturated. 52*. Rain. Coming to an end this morning. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 2 hours ago, Tom said: What a beautiful looking system that will eventually develop a trowal feature on radar pulling deep moisture out of the GOM... Look at that northern cutoff along the trowel, sure has a Winter storm look. Nice rain totals for those in it's path. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 Most of the day here looks very nice before the rain moves in. My family is headed out today to cut down a Christmas Tree a tradition we started 15 years ago. The active weather sure has me in full Winter mode this weekend. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 22 minutes ago, Clinton said: Look at that northern cutoff along the trowel, sure has a Winter storm look. Nice rain totals for those in it's path. Was thinking the same thing with the northern edge defined so distinctly. If winter, it would be a really strange scenario that hit KC and DET, while mostly bypassing Chicago. Lake enhancement off of Lk. Michigan would no doubt fill in that gap, but still would be an oddball storm. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 DTX confirming that this GOMEX Low is quite the wet system: Unseasonably high moisture will accompany this system as PWAT values of around 0.25" this evening will quickly climb between 0.75" to just over 1.00" by Sunday morning. These values fall easily in the 90th percentile for this time of year. The main surface low track will move over the Toledo area and into western Lake Erie during the afternoon and place the best deformation zone and subsequent higher rainfall totals of 0.50-1.00" along and south of the I-69 corridor. Lower rainfall totals of 0.25- 0.50" are expected north of I-69. 1 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 26, 2022 Report Share Posted November 26, 2022 Nice looking wall of water pushing north towards my place. 1-1.5 inches expected here. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 3 hours ago, Clinton said: Nice looking wall of water pushing north towards my place. 1-1.5 inches expected here. I've forgotten what it's like to tally up qpf during a long rainstorm. Looking good down there. Surprised how temps have dropped into the 30's pre-storm. Thought we'd be warm all night like usual here. Time to look for Hi-res model last-minute changes. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 25 minutes ago, jaster220 said: I've forgotten what it's like to tally up qpf during a long rainstorm. Looking good down there. Surprised how temps have dropped into the 30's pre-storm. Thought we'd be warm all night like usual here. Time to look for Hi-res model last-minute changes. You might get some flakes to move in tomorrow with the low to your SE. If only it were 5 to 10 degrees colder we would be diggin. Looks like .5 to 1 inch up your way. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 I lost track of how much rain DFW received but I’m pretty certain Ft Worth got over 2.50”. It just would stop and it was seriously cold. Sliced through you. 2 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Big rain here last night as I received an even 2 inches. This is the second time this month a storm has produced 2 inches or more of rainfall which is crazy because November here only averages 2.02 inches. Since October 23rd I have received 6.4 inches of rain! 4.2 so far for November. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 27, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 17 minutes ago, Clinton said: Big rain here last night as I received an even 2 inches. This is the second time this month a storm has produced 2 inches or more of rainfall which is crazy because November here only averages 2.02 inches. Since October 23rd I have received 6.4 inches of rain! 4.2 so far for November. Wow, thats rather impressive for late in the season. The pattern that keeps on giving...this system has 2 asterisks on my note pad! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 27, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 These are some Impressive snowfall totals so far south near the Mexico and U.S. border... 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 9 minutes ago, Tom said: These are some Impressive snowfall totals so far south near the Mexico and U.S. border... All of the posts this morning from down south have to be in rare air 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 10 hours ago, Clinton said: You might get some flakes to move in tomorrow with the low to your SE. If only it were 5 to 10 degrees colder we would be diggin. Looks like .5 to 1 inch up your way. Hoping this can be a repeat in C-3 with those colder temps. Was your 2" RN total an over performance against modeling and/or forecast? 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Hoping this can be a repeat in C-3 with those colder temps. Was your 2" RN total an over performance against modeling and/or forecast? Only the Euro and ICON on yesterday mornings runs showed those kinda totals for mby. HRRR never showed more than 1.4 here. So overperformance and above my expectations. NWS office showed 1-1.5 for me. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 I got 0.09" overnight. Most of the short-term models had been showing nothing. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 0.0” here. There have been several fires in the area lately. Droughts are horrible. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 12 hours ago, Clinton said: You might get some flakes to move in tomorrow with the low to your SE. If only it were 5 to 10 degrees colder we would be diggin. Looks like .5 to 1 inch up your way. Close call with wintry stuff for the N CWA FXUS63 KDTX 271506 AFDDTX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 1006 AM EST Sun Nov 27 2022 .UPDATE... Widespread moderate showers are spreading through the Thumb and Tri- Cities this morning with a deformation band strengthening overhead and leading to locally higher rates stretching from Alma to Bad Axe. Correlation coefficient data places freezing level around 4 to 5 kft, which confirms the 0.5 degree reflectivity across the north is being enhanced by a strong bright banding signature. Some of this mixed/frozen precip will have the potential to reach the surface over the next hour or so as the banding continues pivoting over the northern CWA, but accumulations are not expected as dew points and wet bulb temps continue to rise above freezing. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 27, 2022 Report Share Posted November 27, 2022 Just got back home. Great umbrella wx out there. Been so long since we've seen these conditions: Would be legit pound-town if cold 'nuff for snow. 1 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 28, 2022 Report Share Posted November 28, 2022 DTW finished with 1.04" for this storm. Biggest single event qpf since mid-Feb! 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 28, 2022 Report Share Posted November 28, 2022 1 hour ago, jaster220 said: DTW finished with 1.04" for this storm. Biggest single event qpf since mid-Feb! That's crazy. 9+ months ago. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 28, 2022 Report Share Posted November 28, 2022 2 hours ago, jaster220 said: DTW finished with 1.04" for this storm. Biggest single event qpf since mid-Feb! So I did some quick investigating. In terms of calendar day precip, the 1.04" at DTW today ended a 282 day streak without 1" of precip. The 282 day streak was the 16th longest on record. There was actually a 289 day streak that began in 2020 and went into 2021. The record longest streak without a calendar day precip of 1"+ is 571 days, which went from 9/7/1943 through 3/30/1945. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 28, 2022 Report Share Posted November 28, 2022 18 hours ago, Hoosier said: So I did some quick investigating. In terms of calendar day precip, the 1.04" at DTW today ended a 282 day streak without 1" of precip. The 282 day streak was the 16th longest on record. There was actually a 289 day streak that began in 2020 and went into 2021. The record longest streak without a calendar day precip of 1"+ is 571 days, which went from 9/7/1943 through 3/30/1945. This place is known as "the place active storms go to die" for a reason! Even more telling - when I looked at the "current storm reports" there was ONLY 1 SINGLE PAGE! Any other CWA around The MItt would have pages and pages of recent report history for wind, temps, precip, etc. NOT DTX. I kid you not, since moving here I've averaged like (2) days of interesting wx events PER YEAR. May be slight hyperbole, but not by much. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 28, 2022 Report Share Posted November 28, 2022 1 hour ago, jaster220 said: This place is known as "the place active storms go to die" for a reason! Even more telling - when I looked at the "current storm reports" there was ONLY 1 SINGLE PAGE! Any other CWA around The MItt would have pages and pages of recent report history for wind, temps, precip, etc. NOT DTX. I kid you not, since moving here I've averaged like (2) days of interesting wx events PER YEAR. May be slight hyperbole, but not by much. Well, hopefully we both get hammered this winter. May be tough to do that in the same storm though. Anything that nails me really good is probably going to result in mixing/dry slot concerns for you, unless the track is pretty flat (virtually west-east). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 30 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Well, hopefully we both get hammered this winter. May be tough to do that in the same storm though. Anything that nails me really good is probably going to result in mixing/dry slot concerns for you, unless the track is pretty flat (virtually west-east). Have to root for that DEC '00 or GHD-2 kind of system (could add NOV '15). I am riding a personal mega-losing streak over the last 2 winters so yeah, I need me a major pick-me-up in the Winter Wx Dept. While GHD-1 got this CWA it's last Bliz Warning, the JAN '99 Bliz was much better and worthy of the headline around here. That one was a very rare share the wealth ORD to DTW beast. I could gladly do that again. Drifts to 7 feet in the farmlands SW of here iir reporting correctly back then. And the whole Northwest Airlines stuck on the tarmac at DTW fiasco - that would suck! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 hour ago, jaster220 said: Have to root for that DEC '00 or GHD-2 kind of system (could add NOV '15). I am riding a personal mega-losing streak over the last 2 winters so yeah, I need me a major pick-me-up in the Winter Wx Dept. While GHD-1 got this CWA it's last Bliz Warning, the JAN '99 Bliz was much better and worthy of the headline around here. That one was a very rare share the wealth ORD to DTW beast. I could gladly do that again. Drifts to 7 feet in the farmlands SW of here iir reporting correctly back then. And the whole Northwest Airlines stuck on the tarmac at DTW fiasco - that would suck! '99 is a rare exception of not needing a flattish type of track. That one actually cut very hard, but the antecedent airmass was so cold that it still pretty much resulted in all-snow for Detroit. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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