Money Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Looks like a general 2-3/3-4 for eastern IA/Chicago. 6-7 for gosaints and 5-7 for southern/central WI. 8-9 up towards Eau Claire. Temps were warmer and a bit faster hence the lower totals but the storm was def. stronger/north compared to 12z. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snoorani Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 How does LE looks? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 How does LE looks? not much in N. IL but really hammers eastern WI (Sheboygan-Milwaukee ish) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Good luck riding the euro buddy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 6z GFS: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017031006/102/snku_acc.us_mw.png 6z NAM (still snowing at the time in the area) http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2017031006/084/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Is Euro the furthest north? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 DMX had a decent read. Saying headlines will be likely. Going with a model blend atm with highest snowfall across N IA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 06z GFS...another look... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 You can really see the LES feature around MKE and south Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 You can really see the LES feature around MKE and southYup, good signal this far out. Where ever that lake band sets up it will snow heavily given how cold 850's are and the warmth of the lake. Current lake shore water temps are running in the upper 30's and low/mid 40's in the middle of the lake. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Cold temps leading up to this event will keep the ground frozen. No problem accumulating. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Cold temps leading up to this event will keep the ground frozen. No problem accumulating.After tonight, I would imagine the ground would be frozen again. Higher snow ratios and cold ground will certainly help with accumulations. Hope this can continue to trend wetter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 no turds allowed 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 12z NAM coming in a touch north and a bit juicier.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 12z NAM showing 6-10" S/C MN through Sunday... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 This is an EC storm, not a midwest storm. Midwest gets peanuts compared to what they will get. Btw, all the snow they end up getting will disappear in notime, thats why I hate March snows. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 This is an EC storm, not a midwest storm. Midwest gets peanuts compared to what they will get. Btw, all the snow they end up getting will disappear in notime, thats why I hate March snows. big cities on the coast could easily still see a rainer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 12z NAM...seems to try to get its act together towards the end of the run.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 I really haven't been paying attention lately, just assuming it was going to be the usual dry and cold. Looks like I might be able to fire up the snowblower to use up the rest of the gas? Not sure I believe the NAM at this range. But the frigid temps before this hits will help with accumulations early next week for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 12z NAM...total qpf thru Hr 84 with snow still falling over E IA/WI/IL/N IN/MI...MKE/Racine seeing the easterly flow off the lake... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2017031012/namconus_apcpn_ncus_28.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 I really haven't been paying attention lately, just assuming it was going to be the usual dry and cold. Looks like I might be able to fire up the snowblower to use up the rest of the gas? Not sure I believe the NAM at this range. But the frigid temps before this hits will help with accumulations early next week for sure.Euro gives you snow so I wouldn't siphon the gas just yet! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 12z NAM-high rez thru Sun 6pm... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2017031012/nam3km_ref_frzn_us_60.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam3km/2017031012/nam3km_apcpn_us_20.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Would be nice to see this storm start phasing earlier on and plug into more moisture. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Really hope thid doesnt keep going N Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Nam is solid Good trends the last day or so Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Nam is solid Good trends the last day or soIf the winds are strong enough, I could see Lehs reaching out towards your area when the storm pivots and winds come out of the ENE. How far inland are you from LM??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthandturf Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 I could use a plowable event, last one was on Dec. 17! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Haven't seems a decent Lehs set up in awhile... Things are looking interesting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 If the winds are strong enough, I could see Lehs reaching out towards your area when the storm pivots and winds come out of the ENE. How far inland are you from LM???25 miles Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 12z GFS 3mb stronger compared to 00z... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 12z GFS 3mb stronger compared to 00z...Don't get your hopes up, this is how the first wave looked this far out. Prepare for a secondary turd to follow the first one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Don't get your hopes up, this is how the first wave looked this far out. Prepare for a secondary turd to follow the first one.I agree, but this is a different setup compared to your snow tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Phasing earlier on each run... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snoorani Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Tom how is LE looking for Chicago? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Tom how is LE looking for Chicago?Looking better each run. I'm pretty optimistic there will be a lake plume on the back end of the storm and it doesn't pivot through quickly which could add up totals in SE WI/NE IL. 850's crash as cold core trough swings through over head on Tuesday morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Niko is looking better for decent snowfall...the key will be how quick it phases and pulls west. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Is all of this cold and snow happening because we finally got a blocking pattern? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Is all of this cold and snow happening because we finally got a blocking pattern?I wouldn't say its a true high latitude blocking but instead of sudden shortening of wave lengths. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Hows 12z lookin with snowfall? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 10, 2017 Report Share Posted March 10, 2017 Is all of this cold and snow happening because we finally got a blocking pattern?There isnt a block in place. in the sense of the AO or NAO. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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