2017 Spring/Summer Severe Wx Thread

[Niko]

After yesterdays minor storms (mainly heavy rains and lightning) t'stms for the time being seem to be on a hiatus this week and probably early next week. Maybe, September will bring some good rounds  of rumble. We will see!

[Thunder98]

Impressive Thunderstorm squall line hitting the Appleton area right now.

 

http://www.city-data.com/forum/attachments/weather/189671d1504128012-summer-thread-2017-northern-hemisphere-appletonwiwx.png

 

http://www.city-data.com/forum/attachments/weather/189670d1504127976-summer-thread-2017-northern-hemisphere-radar54.png

[Niko]

Impressive Thunderstorm squall line hitting the Appleton area right now.

 

http://www.city-data.com/forum/attachments/weather/189671d1504128012-summer-thread-2017-northern-hemisphere-appletonwiwx.png

 

http://www.city-data.com/forum/attachments/weather/189670d1504127976-summer-thread-2017-northern-hemisphere-radar54.png

Sweet. Enjoy!

[Niko]

Any chance for storms here will be next Monday. Its a 50% at best.

[Tom]

Gust front rolling through the northern burbs of MKE/MSN...gosh, I hope these storms can hold together.  Would like to see another drink of water tonight.

 

http://climate.cod.edu/data/nexrad/MKX/N0Q/MKX.N0Q.20170830.2309.gif

[Thunder98]

Sweet. Enjoy!

 

I wish I live in the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes region, I have never been there before. I live in the beautiful Central Coast of California, but the weather is extremely boring in the late Spring and Summer.

[VMB443]

I'm west of Milwaukee and they looked impressive rolling in, some nice dark clouds and wind picking up, but they have been pretty much duds.

[Niko]

I wish I live in the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes region, I have never been there before. I live in the beautiful Central Coast of California, but the weather is extremely boring in the late Spring and Summer.

Neva been in Cali, but I am sure the beaches are fantastic. It has the same climate with Greece (dry and hot) although, it can get a little humid there at times, very rarely though. The Gl's region is fun to be during Winter months and depending where you are, when the snowmachine kicks in, look out. I hear up north, Mi can be fun. Neva been North from where I am, so not sure. Will salvage a trip near Mackinac Island this Autumn.

[jaster220]

Neva been in Cali, but I am sure the beaches are fantastic. It has the same climate with Greece (dry and hot) although, it can get a little humid there at times, very rarely though. The Gl's region is fun to be during Winter months and depending where you are, when the snowmachine kicks in, look out. I hear up north, Mi can be fun. Neva been North from where I am, so not sure. Will salvage a trip near Mackinac Island this Autumn.

Dude! The rest of Mitt is the best of The Mitt! Gotta go see it man!

[Niko]

Dude! The rest of Mitt is the best of The Mitt! Gotta go see it man!

Will do!

[Jaycee]

Neva been in Cali, but I am sure the beaches are fantastic. It has the same climate with Greece (dry and hot) although, it can get a little humid there at times, very rarely though. The Gl's region is fun to be during Winter months and depending where you are, when the snowmachine kicks in, look out. I hear up north, Mi can be fun. Neva been North from where I am, so not sure. Will salvage a trip near Mackinac Island this Autumn.

Dude WHAAAT?!?! You're telling me you've never been to Traverse City, and you live in Michigan?! Jaster isn't kidding, you need to go explore! Michigan is easily the most underrated gem in the US, especially in the fall!

[Niko]

Dude WHAAAT?!?! You're telling me you've never been to Traverse City, and you live in Michigan?! Jaster isn't kidding, you need to go explore! Michigan is easily the most underrated gem in the US, especially in the fall!

I heard Traverse City has great cherries. I do want to take a trip north to Mackinac Island this Autumn. Should be interesting! Only thing is that Traverse City might be outta my way to Mackinac Island, but, not by much I am assuming.

[jaster220]

Dude WHAAAT?!?! You're telling me you've never been to Traverse City, and you live in Michigan?! Jaster isn't kidding, you need to go explore! Michigan is easily the most underrated gem in the US, especially in the fall!

For autumn beauty it's hands down Little Traverse Bay (Petoskey & Harbor Springs region) over Grand Traverse Bay. The Petoskey tourism billboards are stunning! Grand Travese region offers more warm wx boat n beach options though and fantastic wineries which we visited in June. I overheard a gentleman saying he'd only been in MI a couple hrs and went straight to the gold coast! Smart man.

[jaster220]

I heard Traverse City has great cherries. I do want to take a trip north to Mackinac Island this Autumn. Should be interesting! Only thing is that Traverse City might be outta my way to Mackinac Island, but, not by much I am assuming.

About 3 hr side track if you're going to Mackinaw. I'd consider them separate destinations unless you just wanna see and not do anything. There's so much to do at either location but take plenty of $$ especially for Mackinaw Island. You'll have the extra expense of the boat ride to get there and a c-note there is like a 20 back home, lol. The Island is actually a state park and with no mtr vehicles is like a step back in time. It's unique and worth the expense.

[Niko]

About 3 hr side track if you're going to Mackinaw. I'd consider them separate destinations unless you just wanna see and not do anything. There's so much to do at either location but take plenty of $$ especially for Mackinaw Island. You'll have the extra expense of the boat ride to get there and a c-note there is like a 20 back home, lol. The Island is actually a state park and with no mtr vehicles is like a step back in time. It's unique and worth the expense.

Yes, I heard great things about that place. It will be fun riding a bike there.

[jaster220]

So, back to my (non) severe wx season! And once again for the umpteenth time this line forms literally one half county southeast of Marshall! It's beyond rediculous how this has repeatedly happened like a broken record. Things have gotten really brown again as the borderline drought continues. Doesn't bode well for winter either if u ask me. Have fun Niko. This sucks

[Niko]

So, back to my (non) severe wx season! And once again for the umpteenth time this line forms literally one half county southeast of Marshall! It's beyond rediculous how this has repeatedly happened like a broken record. Things have gotten really brown again as the borderline drought continues. Doesn't bode well for winter either if u ask me. Have fun Niko. This sucks

Sure did as a matter of fact. Was ova some friends house earlier (invited to a barbeque) and during strong storms, we were under a close tent eating and drinking wine.

[Niko]

Slight chance for some storms today but nothing severe.

[Niko]

Looking down the road, no storms at all.

[Niko]

Big time downpours hit my area in the late pm area. Minor flooding.

[Niko]

Next chance of t'stms in my area are forecasted to be next week, followed by cooler weather.

[Minny_Weather]

Next chance of t'stms in my area are forecasted to be next week, followed by cooler weather.

I need to check the record books here in Lincoln. If the Euro solution 100% pans out for us, we may end up looking at a near record low September precip amount here. I'm fine with the low-humidity weather now if we get a good snowpack to make up for it later

[Niko]

I need to check the record books here in Lincoln. If the Euro solution 100% pans out for us, we may end up looking at a near record low September precip amount here. I'm fine with the low-humidity weather now if we get a good snowpack to make up for it later

Its been bone-dry here as well. Hopefully, we get some beneficial rains in October. My rainfall thus far this month has been extremely low as well, haven't checked numbers, but I am sure precipitation is running below normal.

[Minny_Weather]

Okay, I did some research on precip amounts here. The lowest is 0.00" in 1894. We've gotten 0.01" this month. 00z Euro has us getting near nothing in the next 10 days.

[Niko]

Hopefully, next Monday as the front passes thru my area, mother nature delivers a good dose of water. Even if its 0.25", I'll accept it.

[Niko]

Well, looks like this front will pass on dry. Hope I am wrong. We shall see. So far, radar showing storms to my west, but nothing impressive.

[jaster220]

Okay, I did some research on precip amounts here. The lowest is 0.00" in 1894. We've gotten 0.01" this month. 00z Euro has us getting near nothing in the next 10 days.

 

Radar was lit up over your way this morning. Did the Euro "bust" ??

[Minny_Weather]

Radar was lit up over your way this morning. Did the Euro "bust" ??

Sure did! Very glad, too. The corn looks horrible here.

[NEJeremy]

Looking forward to chasing tomorrow in SoDak. Haven't been out since July. Hopefully storms don't line out too quickly, but still with the amount of low level shear being forecasted could get some spin ups within the line. Here's a forecast of helicity tracks and forecast reflectivity from one of the short term models. I like how at least this one keeps things somewhat separate for the cells.

[Niko]

Looking forward to chasing tomorrow in SoDak. Haven't been out since July. Hopefully storms don't line out too quickly, but still with the amount of low level shear being forecasted could get some spin ups within the line. Here's a forecast of helicity tracks and forecast reflectivity from one of the short term models. I like how at least this one keeps things somewhat separate for the cells.

Good luck out there.

[Tom]

Looking forward to chasing tomorrow in SoDak. Haven't been out since July. Hopefully storms don't line out too quickly, but still with the amount of low level shear being forecasted could get some spin ups within the line. Here's a forecast of helicity tracks and forecast reflectivity from one of the short term models. I like how at least this one keeps things somewhat separate for the cells.

 

Good luck out there.

Agree!  Stay safe as always...

[NEJeremy]

SPC has added a hatched area with mention of big hail and the threat of tornadoes. Overall, stronger wording for sure for tomorrow. I'm heading to the Huron area first and should be there by 130-2p. 

[NEJeremy]

What a disappointing chase day on Tuesday! SPC had added 10% tornado area with the overnight update so I was pretty stoked for Tuesday when I woke up. We left at 930 and headed north up I-29. Unfortunately, the low clouds and even a bit of fog was very slow to burn off and temps stayed only near 70 all the way into the early afternoon. I was kind of expecting the SPC to lower the risk given the cloud cover, but eventually there were some breaks and temps made it into the upper 70s to low 80s. The models and SPC said storms should form by 4 and mainly along the strong cold front. There was an elevated complex of storms that moved into NoDak earlier in the afternoon, but we didn't want to go after those. Finally a tornado watch was issued at 330 and we waited west of Aberdeen. And waited. And waited.

At about 630 there was finally initiation south of our position moving right towards us. The storms became severe warned for some hail and wind, but now it was already getting close to dark. We actually called off the chase at about 730 as we had almost a 6 hour drive ahead of us. A broken line of storms continued to form further south and eventually one of them did produce an EF-1 tornado about 45 miles south of us right at sunset. If this was June, than we would have still been chasing and might have had a chance to see something with dark not being until 930.

No pictures or video to even take home from the chase! Hopefully, there will be another chance or 2 before winter sets in. Tomorrow looks ok in eastern SoDak/ western Minnesota, but I am tied up so no go for me tomorrow.

[Niko]

What a disappointing chase day on Tuesday! SPC had added 10% tornado area with the overnight update so I was pretty stoked for Tuesday when I woke up. We left at 930 and headed north up I-29. Unfortunately, the low clouds and even a bit of fog was very slow to burn off and temps stayed only near 70 all the way into the early afternoon. I was kind of expecting the SPC to lower the risk given the cloud cover, but eventually there were some breaks and temps made it into the upper 70s to low 80s. The models and SPC said storms should form by 4 and mainly along the strong cold front. There was an elevated complex of storms that moved into NoDak earlier in the afternoon, but we didn't want to go after those. Finally a tornado watch was issued at 330 and we waited west of Aberdeen. And waited. And waited.

At about 630 there was finally initiation south of our position moving right towards us. The storms became severe warned for some hail and wind, but now it was already getting close to dark. We actually called off the chase at about 730 as we had almost a 6 hour drive ahead of us. A broken line of storms continued to form further south and eventually one of them did produce an EF-1 tornado about 45 miles south of us right at sunset. If this was June, than we would have still been chasing and might have had a chance to see something with dark not being until 930.

No pictures or video to even take home from the chase! Hopefully, there will be another chance or 2 before winter sets in. Tomorrow looks ok in eastern SoDak/ western Minnesota, but I am tied up so no go for me tomorrow.

Get em' next time!!