April 2017 Observations and Discussion

[Tom]

Yeah, there has been a lot of rain and small hail this evening.  The first flash flood warning of the season was issued for my local area.  It has been thundering for hours.

Glad you finally scored on some storms!  I love those stormy nights after a warm and delightful day.

[Hawkeye]

I picked up 2.23" of rain last evening.  We could use a break from the rain, but we won't be getting one.

[Tom]

I picked up 2.23" of rain last evening.  We could use a break from the rain, but we won't be getting one.

The deluge of above normal precip looks to continue in the extended...

 

 

 

 

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2017041600/gfs-ens_apcpn_us_64.png

[Tom]

Happy Easter everyone!  Hope ya'll enjoy your day with family and friends!

[OKwx2k4]

Man, if I had all the rain or even half of what models have shown here since October, I wouldn't be in a drought.

[Tom]

Man, if I had all the rain or even half of what models have shown here since October, I wouldn't be in a drought.

Worried about your area and points east if nothing of substance falls through May. By June, the heat dome will start building from TX on north/east and if the ground is dry...no bueno!

[jaster220]

Happy Easter everyone!  Hope ya'll enjoy your day with family and friends!

 

Hope your holiday was a good one as well. Enjoying some splendid 65-70º spring days. Lawns are getting cut, flowers are in bloom in gardens (and even along the freeways), summer birds are singing up a storm, and the flowering trees and bushes of every color are so full, it's simply stunning! Mid-April to Mid-May is by far my fave (4) weeks of the calendar year in Marshall and SWMI in general.

[Tom]

00z EPS 6-10 day...

 

[Tom]

12z EPS is wet, wet, wet....

 

[gabel23]

This would be interesting......

[Tom]

This would be interesting......

I believe the Euro is colder also and may be snowing for some parts of your region next week!

[Tom]

Farmers may have to take advantage of the "window of opportunity" during these coming few days to plant their crops in the Midwest/Plains.  Not much has been planted thus far.  

 

[Niko]

Just came back from a 10day trip to New York City. Celebrated Easter there. Weather was kinda coolish with 50s for highs and 30s and 40s for lows. Only 2 full sunny days occurred the whole time I was there. The rest were mostly cloudy with peeks of sunshine. Overall, not bad weather. Had a great time. Hope everyone had a good Easter.

[Thunder98]

There is a potential brief opportunity of snow in the forecast in Stevens Point, WI on Thursday!

 

[St Paul Storm]

This would be so epic. I say let's do it.

[Tom]

00z EPS Week 2...

 

 

 

Too much of a good thing for our farmers...

 

 

 

 

 

 

The storm system for later this weekend is looking massive.  April looks to finish off with a Bang!

[St Paul Storm]

Over the weekend the GEM was showing some big-time snows around these parts. Now the GFS is jumping on board. Still a little ways out but the possibility of a decent snow in late April/early May is increasing. Nothing like a fresh few inches of snow on the recently planted garden.

[Tom]

00z Euro showing another strong cutter-like system in the Day 9-10 period.  What in the world has happened???

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017042500/ecmwf_mslp_uv850_us_10.png

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017042500/ecmwf_mslp_uv850_us_11.png

 

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017042500/ecmwf_mslpaNorm_us_11.png

[Tom]

Over the weekend the GEM was showing some big-time snows around these parts. Now the GFS is jumping on board. Still a little ways out but the possibility of a decent snow in late April/early May is increasing. Nothing like a fresh few inches of snow on the recently planted garden.

00z Euro on board!

 

[St Paul Storm]

00z Euro on board!

 

Dang! I'm game for this, but it would cause me to go into scramble mode to save a lot of vegetation in the yard. Interesting times.

[Tom]

Dang! I'm game for this, but it would cause me to go into scramble mode to save a lot of vegetation in the yard. Interesting times.

BTW, what is MSP sitting at in terms of snowfall for the season?

[Tom]

Started a May Thread...can't believe we are already at the end of April...time is flying on by...

 

http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1557-may-2017-observations-and-discussion/

[St Paul Storm]

BTW, what is MSP sitting at in terms of snowfall for the season?

MSP is officially at 32" for the season.....22.1" below normal and about 5" less than last year. The trend over the last 3 years is not good.

[Tom]

MSP is officially at 32" for the season.....22.1" below normal and about 5" less than last year. The trend over the last 3 years is not good.

Wow, that is brutal!  The last 2 years are probably a "hickup" in the pattern as far as the cold season goes.  I think it's a matter of time before we start seeing some good winters stack up.

[jaster220]

00z EPS 6-10 day...

 

 

This meets with my stamp of approval...red > purple when it's the end of April and everything's in bloom. Keep the white stuff out west and have fun boys-n-girls

[Tom]

This meets with my stamp of approval...red > purple when it's the end of April and everything's in bloom. Keep the white stuff out west and have fun boys-n-girls

Although, this map has trended the other way Jaster!  Looking chilly over the next 2 weeks with possible Frost/Freeze in the region.

[jaster220]

Although, this map has trended the other way Jaster!  Looking chilly over the next 2 weeks with possible Frost/Freeze in the region.

 

Tom, what'd I miss on this? Map says 4/26 - 4/30. Later maps may be different, but my local for Marshall still looks like April during that stretch. Certainly not snow, and not really what I'd call "cold" per se..shrugs shoulders..   (fyp - later maps may NOT meet with my app'l )

 

 

[Tom]

Tom, what'd I miss on this? Map says 4/26 - 4/30. Later maps may be different, but my local for Marshall still looks like April during that stretch. Certainly not snow, and not really what I'd call "cold" per se..shrugs shoulders..

 

20170425 Marshall 5-day.PNG

Today and tomorrow look great!  Your lucky to squeeze out some warmer days to close out the month.  Folks from Chitown on westward not so much.  Storm track is favorable for you to be in the warm sector.  Not sure if that holds heading into May.

[Tom]

Get your snow shovels back out!

 

[gabel23]

Get your snow shovels back out!

 

Can you expand that down to the southwest so I can see if it's showing anything for us?? Thanks. 

[james1976]

Low 50s and wind and rain expected all weekend

[St Paul Storm]

35 with a wind chill of 27 this morning. Pouring rain as well. About as ugly as you can get for April.

[james1976]

35 with a wind chill of 27 this morning. Pouring rain as well. About as ugly as you can get for April.

And LATE April at that!

[St Paul Storm]

And LATE April at that!

Exactly! And if the models are right, I guess it could get even uglier.... in early May.

[Tom]

Saw this tweet...location: Mt. Gassan, Japan...

 

[Tom]

Can't believe its in the mid/upper 20's with snow falling in the Arrowhead of MN...folks up there couldn't buy a snowflake all winter long...

 

Current conditions at Bigfork, Bigfork Municipal Airport (KFOZ) Lat: 47.78°NLon: 93.65°WElev: 1348ft.

http://forecast.weather.gov/newimages/large/sn.png

Light Snow

25°F

-4°C

Humidity 86% Wind Speed N 14 G 21 mph Barometer 29.70 in Dewpoint 21°F (-6°C) Visibility 1.00 mi Wind Chill 13°F (-11°C) Last update 26 Apr 9:52 am CDT

More Information:

Local Forecast OfficeMore Local Wx3 Day HistoryMobile WeatherHourly Weather Forecast

Extended Forecast for

[jaster220]

 

Can't believe its in the mid/upper 20's with snow falling in the Arrowhead of MN...folks up there couldn't buy a snowflake all winter long...

 

Current conditions at Bigfork, Bigfork Municipal Airport (KFOZ) Lat: 47.78°NLon: 93.65°WElev: 1348ft.

http://forecast.weather.gov/newimages/large/sn.png

Light Snow

25°F

-4°C

Humidity 86% Wind Speed N 14 G 21 mph Barometer 29.70 in Dewpoint 21°F (-6°C) Visibility 1.00 mi Wind Chill 13°F (-11°C) Last update 26 Apr 9:52 am CDT

More Information:

Local Forecast OfficeMore Local Wx3 Day HistoryMobile WeatherHourly Weather Forecast

Extended Forecast for

 

 

Which would truly suck! Glad that's not mby - ugly, ugly, ugly

[james1976]

Crazy stuff. Frost Advisories W IA and NE. Des Moines in low 40s currently.

[Tom]

12z Euro is wet to close out the month...

 

[james1976]

12z Euro is wet to close out the month...

 

Gonna be a wet weekend! Hope we get some wind with it too.