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11/28 - 11/30 Plains/GL's System


Tom

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8 minutes ago, gabel23 said:

Very slick around here too. We started with a late start but we have since called off school. A lot of the area schools around ended up closing. We haven't received a ton of precip but man it looks like winter out there at least! We have a decent band of snow that will be moving through the area that might drop an inch of snow if we are lucky. 

We should have called off.  Most schools around us also decided to close.  My absence list this morning is massive.  

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1 hour ago, Niko said:

That sure looks veryyyyy nice to me amigo!!!!! Make it happen, will ya!! 😎

It sure does(did). Too bad it was another GFS model fake-out. N Stream dominance ended up being the outcome, as is the case about 95% of the time. Oh well, its early and our region is known for late starting snow seasons. Those to our west getting hit now is actually perfect climo and I'm fine with it. I'd be more fine with it if we had a guarantee that our turn was coming later this month instead of February like it has been for years now. Ofc, you and others in SEMI got to enjoy that perfectly timed mini storm on Christmas two years ago while I got the shaft in between that and the LES to my west. Keep positive vibes for our turn amigo! 😉

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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14 minutes ago, james1976 said:

Getting a bit breezy so hard to measure but at least 6" down now. Awesome daytime storm.

Getting 6" of snow during daylight is about a once-per-year thing here in Cedar Rapids, if we're lucky.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Sounds like stratus and light snow tomorrow after this storm moves out. Gonna be another very winter like day!

Today`s winter storm will wind down quickly this evening. Visible
satellite imagery has shown convective rolls feeding into our
snowband, indicating the instability present for this strongly
forced fgen band. This fgen band is already starting to push east
and we`ve seen places go from heavy snow to nothing within the
course of about 2 hours. Upstream of us temperatures are in the
teens and this is what is coming in for us tonight. That and another
batch of stratus. The one thing we may need to add to the forecast
for this stratus coming in tonight and lingering through much of the
day on Wednesday is some flurries/light snow. This stratus deck will
be located completely within the dendritic growth zone, with steep
low level lapse rates in the boundary layer from the differential
CAA. We`re not expecting any accumulations, but this looks like one
of the setups where there`s almost a continuous light snow falling
given how easy it is for the atmosphere to develop snow flakes.
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1 hour ago, bud2380 said:

Solid totals.  The models that were further north (NAM if I recall) definitely won out.  The Euro tried to make a decent shift south yesterday, but that ended up not panning out.  Great hit for the Twin Cities area.  It was a direct hit for them.  

 

 

image.thumb.png.08f171c249cbee7dbfed1a473776820d.png

I was guessing 6-7 here. Oakdale got 6.2 and I'm a few miles NW of there so thats about right.

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Congrats to @james1976 and anyone else who got in on today's snow action. Great to see the last-minute trends go from WWA to Warnings for quite a few counties in the jack-zone. This is also noteworthy that one of the blown-up GFS runs is actually going to happen!

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_4.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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From APX. LOL. Imagine the wording in an AFD if they knew ahead of time an EF3 TOR would rip through their quaint community later that day.. 

Gusts of this magnitude, which will be relatively frequent, can
easily lead to downed limbs and powerlines, along with unsecured
objects flowing freely across the landscape.
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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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2 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Zzzzzzz. We were raked with .1" of snow, a light coat of ice, and my grill cover blew away in the 51 mph wind gust I had this morning about 6am.

Looking forward to the 60 on Friday, before it gets cold and dry and windy again.

Well at least we got a dusting of snow to cover up some of the brown and dry ground. It won’t last long but at least it looks a bit more like Winter out there… just hoping that we can somehow score a bigger snowfall/ storm at some point in the next few weeks, however I am remaining pessimistic at best. This pattern still sucks here!

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10pm St Paul News had a lot of 7-9 inch reports across the metro today. Just an awesome daytime snowstorm. I'm going with 6-7" here. Cleared the driveway and patio this evening. The sounds and sights of snowblowers and shovels in the neighborhood was awesome. And it's only the end of November. Let's keep it going.

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Some day here..

image.png.c5238148c0d36b1b65db94e80a1cae3a.png

 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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