Deweydog Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Ok May not, but I bet the forecast for 1/3/16 didn't show that either. Temps were absolutely not in question with that event. It was much more about precip type based on the approaching warm layer behind the shortwave. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 00z IBM GRAF is interesting. Good news is the GRAF agrees with GFS/GEM/NAM/RGEM on precip amounts. Shows 0.37 in for PDX on Sunday. It is a bit warmer than the Euro and GFS. 37F with a DP of 23F before the precip arrives. East winds gusting 25-30 mph. It only shows ~1 inch for PDX because the surface temps never drop below 34F. A bit surprising since there really isn't any WAA with this setup and it isn't clear how the surface temp will barely budge given the solid east winds are maintained the entire time. Even if PDX ends up at 34F and wet snow the whole time, I suspect at least some parts of the PDX metro will probably hit 32F in this scenario. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 9 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: This has been really fun to track. Had no high expectations for this going in and still don’t…but all the uncertainty and microclimates are all in play. Very cool night on the forum to see all these places snowing or changing over in this very marginal event. Here's hoping to actually see it next time instead of just tracking it 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just now, TT-SEA said: How much did you have in February 2019? We did very well out here back than. Snow on the ground for a few weeks. I didn’t measure it, but definitely one of my most memorable snowfalls in recent history. There was a very sharp cut off though just west of here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BurienSnowGlobe Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, WeatheringLoyalHeights said: Love watching this transition in real time. Heavy drops and splats to near silence. More snow than rain here, and our forecast also went from all rain to 3”+. Just needs to drop a degree or two. Waiting for that silence here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: The thing that sucks out here is a bunch of our snow ends with rain. I wish we got more going into cold air. That's why this is a special event because even though we don't have arctic air we are not going into a warm wet pattern. We will have snow on the ground maybe till Christmas now. How do you normally do going into Arctic events. It seems like your area has a lot of similar dynamics to East Vancouver Island. The Shawnigan - Parksville almost always gets snow going into an Arctic event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Its 37 in North Bend right now and it looks like there is liquid precip at the Snoqualmie Ridge exit. Nothing falling here. Not sure what is happening with the east wind... but North Bend was the coldest spot in the lowlands on Tuesday night and is one of the warmer spots tonight. I think its precip intensity dependent to the west. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: More importantly, the cold pool in the valley itself was very well established. True. Station of the Gods pulled off a lucky 13 that morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Its 37 in North Bend right now and it looks like there is liquid precip at the Snoqualmie Ridge exit. Nothing falling here. Not sure what is happening with the east wind... but North Bend was the coldest spot in the lowlands on Tuesday night and is one of the warmer spots tonight. I think its precip intensity dependent to the west. That is shocking to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: With deep offshore flow, I'm not sure how much that matters? Call me old fashioned, but I always feel a tad better about frozen precipitation chances when temperatures are well below freezing. 4 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post bainbridgekid Posted December 3, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Dumping and roads went from wet to white in 10 minutes here. Still have 4” on the ground too so it’s been a really snowy feeling week. 14 1 2 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: That is shocking to me. Update... there is some very light snow here now. 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said: Dumping and roads went from wet to white in 10 minutes here. Still have 4” on the ground too so it’s been a really snowy feeling week. Wow! Very cool. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 32.4 with a DP 31.1. Light snow. Sat for an hour watching the light earlier waiting for it to start. Gave up and turned on Gold Rush. Started 5 mins later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Call me old fashioned, but I always feel a tad better about frozen precipitation chances when temperatures are well below freezing. Marginal temps only from here on out. Sorry pal 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 15 minutes ago, Deweydog said: That…. will not happen. I would probably surmise it will be 36-37 when precip starts up there. Colder away from the river. Not so bad chance that there's a midnight high on Sunday at PDX. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowySeeker50 Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Temperature is hovering around 33 degrees so trace accumulations. Lightened up now and transitioned to a rain/snow mix. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Dumping and roads went from wet to white in 10 minutes here. Still have 4” on the ground too so it’s been a really snowy feeling week. It's amazing how different it has been up here. The days have been sunny and dry with just some frost on the ground. I went up into the Chuckanuts today and it took until about 1,200' when I started seeing snow. At the top there was a little more than a dusting and considering there's snow up there for a majority of the winter I was not particularly impressed. 1 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Margaritaville Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Started bare 4 hours ago, still dumping! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xfkirsten Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Light snow coming down in the Redmond lowlands! Not really sticking though. Should make for a pretty (if cold) sight for those who are out for the opening of Redmond Lights tonight! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 35 in North Seattle, still a mix of snow/rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 15 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: How do you normally do going into Arctic events. It seems like your area has a lot of similar dynamics to East Vancouver Island. The Shawnigan - Parksville almost always gets snow going into an Arctic event. If there is a low sliding down the coast we do good, November 2010 good example. If it's a backdoor blast we do not do well with those normally. Depending on low placement we can also miss out with onshore polor flow because of the Olympics. 4 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just came out of the Oculus vr golf world in the SW to snow falling in the streetlamp. Not a great quality snow but snow. 33.5* Ex just pinged me from Ferndale Wa of flurries happening and 29* ….she wins 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, Margaritaville said: Started bare 4 hours ago, still dumping! Location? 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Let's see how things look in 24 hours. If The Dalles is still in the mid 30s, you may be in trouble. They really need to see the ECMWF show precip over Portland. 4 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Margaritaville Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Location? Shelton, Lake Limerick 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Anybody have the 00z gfs wrf? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 34 here but the DP is 33 now and it’s mostly rain again. We’re closer to measurable snow than I thought we would be tonight though it’s very close. Could still happen just seems like it’ll be tough to do. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yellowstone Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Very very slow transition from rain to snow here. Probably 75% snow now. Don’t see how we get anything measurable out of this unless the temp starts falling much faster. Still 34.5. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: If there is a low sliding down the coast we do good, November 2010 good example. If it's a backdoor blast we do not do well with those normally. Depending on low placement we can also miss out with onshore polor flow because of the Olympics. I'm not sure anywhere north of Oregon does well in backdoor blasts. Onshore flow snowfalls are definitely more of a thing on west-facing slopes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Here comes the 00z Euro. Big run. Those euros better bow before the new king GFS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Rough illustration of where snow is falling and where it’s been more of a mix based on mPING reports. Pretty similar dividing line to Tuesday night. Closing in on an inch here since it started sticking at 9:00. 7 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowySeeker50 Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Kind of jumping around right now. One minute its snowing and the next its raining. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: They really need to see the ECMWF show precip over Portland. Yes. Pivotal Euro run #24 tonight. 2 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Currently 33 with snow coming down at a decent rate. Just looked out the window to see it finally snowing! 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 34 here and finally switched to snow. It is starting to turn the non pavement surfaces white. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 00z ECMWF Day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice_is_Everywhere Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Still 100% snow here. Temp and dp both at 33. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 00Z ECMWF... total snow through tomorrow morning. This includes everything that has already happened. 2 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 I'm rooting for you Oregonians! 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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