PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS... note the snow over the Olympics and north Cascades happened early this morning.   

[Fircrest]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yes... house divided as they say.    They were both at the Apple Cup in Pullman so it was actually pretty quiet at our house that day.   They are good natured about it.   And my UW son often says he wishes his college experience could have been in Pullman instead of Seattle because of the small town environment.

My daughter and her boyfriend both graduated from UW this year.  He is a triplet and he and his brother went to UW but their sister went to WSU.  In fact she is still there as a 5th year senior. They were all at the Apple Cup this year.  What a game!

[mtep]

Lovely scene this morning. Maybe a half inch of wet frozen stuff, the most accumulation I've seen so far this season. Definitely taking a drive to the mountains today. 

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z GFS... note the snow over the Olympics and north Cascades happened early this morning.   

Good 2-4" here, that would be great. 6z was unlikely of course

[SnowySeeker50]

Already a good amount melted but got about 1.5 inches accumulated around midnight so pretty good.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ICON is no beuno... but is often a little too warm.    It focuses the precip north of Portland and south of Seattle. 

 

[Timmy]

Canada looks better than it has

[Snownerd3000]

Kinda neat 

 

[SnowWillarrive]

21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Clear sky here now... going to be a sunny day.    Currently 37 in North Bend but the dewpoint is 29 so there doesn't seem to be any melting yet.   

Completely sunny here now too. I noticed a lot of snow fell off the trees this morning. 

[GHweatherChris]

1/4" of new snow overnight. 

[LowerGarfield]

17 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Not as much as the 6z but the GFS is still dead set on a band of precip over Portland

 

At this point I'll be disappointed if it doesn't verify since I've consistently seen my location modeled for two inches either tomorrow or Monday depending on the model.

[MossMan]

The morning view. Had nearly an inch of new snow when I went to bed but most of that melted with the heavy rain that set up shop. Now it’s dry, back down to 33.4, and the dripping has slowed. The hard crunchy stuff from earlier in the week remains! These little (in my area) events are fun and all but I’m ready for a December 1990, 2008 or 2021! 

Edited December 3, 2022 by MossMan

[TacomaWx]

0.7” of snow here last night and it finally switched over a little after 1am…bounced between sleet and rain/snow after that. Despite heavy precip rates we only managed 0.2” after midnight. Still hanging onto the slop this morning. 

[T-Town]

Snowy hills this morning. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Nice sunrise earlier.

 

Gusty east winds here this morning. Currently 36 with a DP of 20.

[TT-SEA]

GEM looks closer to the GFS... 

 

[TacomaWx]

Starting to look like Portland finally has a legit shot at this Sunday. Was starting to worry we would go through this whole week without oregon folks even having a chance. Hoping for the best down there. 

[LowerGarfield]

This map is basically a nice consolation to those in the Spokane/Pendleton southern areas who missed out on the Wednesday and Thursday event. That one was like a wall starting where this one ends with the exception of Pullman. PUW is in a good spot on the east side with decent elevation so they get events that hit Spokane and ones that do well in my corner.

edit consolation...thats what happens when I don't put my glasses on.

 

[TT-SEA]

Live view here... 

[thickhog]

24 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

At this point I'll be disappointed if it doesn't verify since I've consistently seen my location modeled for two inches either tomorrow or Monday depending on the model.

 I’m just hoping for a couple flurries.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Nothing new of significance overnight. Still a compacted inch or two on the ground from the dumping earlier this week. Temperature sitting right at the freezing mark.

[TacomaWx]

It’s above freezing here and the suns out so I can’t imagine our overnight snow will last very long. This is our 4th day in a row with snow on the ground though! Hoping we can manage a sub 40 high today. The euro last night is showing us staying below 40 degrees until Tuesday. Shows 39 for a high today but Sunday it shows 35 and Monday 37. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

20 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

This map is basically a nice consolation to those in the Spokane/Pendleton southern areas who missed out on the Wednesday and Thursday event. That one was like a wall starting where this one ends with the exception of Pullman. PUW is in a good spot on the east side with decent elevation so they get events that hit Spokane and ones that do well in my corner.

edit consolation...thats what happens when I don't put my glasses on.

 

Strange for the Tri-Cities to get more than Ellensburg, Yakima or Moses Lake, but I guess that just continues the overall pattern of strange snowfall distributions with this event.

[Terreboner]

I have no idea what we are getting here.  One model says a trace, one says .3, one says 1-2", one says 2.5".  Who the HELL knows!!!

[Blizzard777]

9 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

It’s above freezing here and the suns out so I can’t imagine our overnight snow will last very long. This is our 4th day in a row with snow on the ground though! Hoping we can manage a sub 40 high today. The euro last night is showing us staying below 40 degrees until Tuesday. Shows 39 for a high today but Sunday it shows 35 and Monday 37. 

Temp dropped to 32* here now….crunchy left over snow  

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, Jginmartini said:

Temp dropped to 32* here now….crunchy left over snow  

Up to 35 here now was 33 earlier this morning. 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Snowed for more than 6 hours last night.  Ended up with 1.5 inches.

I think my ruler is broken because there's gotta be more than that after snowing for more than 6 hours.  

[MossMan]

Looks like a few thousand without power again in southern Snohomish Co. I’m seeing my FB friends that live in the Kitsap are are without power as well. 

[TacomaWx]

Where were at so far this week. If a lot of this snow had managed to fall just 1-2 degrees cooler we probably would have double the snowfall this week. Think the only below freezing snowfall was yesterday mornings surprise snowfall. We’ve basically had 5 separate events 

Tuesday morning-0.7”

Wednesday night-1.2”

Thursday morning-0.8”

Friday morning-0.7”

Friday night/Saturday morning-0.7”
  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Interesting to see how temps rose through the night in the puget sound area and dropped quickly once skies cleared down this way. Looks like EUG once again got into the 20s, as we did here too. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nine years since our last significant regional arctic airmass. Unbelievable. We’ve had a lot of snow since then, but the cold has been lacking. Severely. 

[Terreboner]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Nine years since our last significant regional arctic airmass. Unbelievable. We’ve had a lot of snow since then, but the cold has been lacking. Severely. 

What's your best guess on snow for later tonight and Sunday at your location?  I'm really skeptical but also have seen this same pattern give us a freak 4-6".  I'm mostly worried about the low significantly weakening.

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Nine years since our last significant regional arctic airmass. Unbelievable. We’ve had a lot of snow since then, but the cold has been lacking. Severely. 

Still a lot of potential this month even after Sunday in the long range. 

[Terreboner]

Just now, TacomaWx said:

Still a lot of potential this month even after Sunday in the long range. 

I was telling my brother last night that it just seems that some form of blocking wants to stay no matter what.  Zonal flow or ridging keeps getting pushed back on the models.  Sooner or later it will pay off big time!!!

[TacomaWx]

Just now, Terreboner said:

I was telling my brother last night that it just seems that some form of blocking wants to stay no matter what.  Zonal flow or ridging keeps getting pushed back on the models.  Sooner or later it will pay off big time!!!

Don’t want to drink too much of the Jim cool aid since we’re only 3 days into winter…but it’s feeling like a 2016-2017 type of winter to me. We will see where we go from here but it looks to remain active. 

[Terreboner]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Don’t want to drink too much of the Jim cool aid since we’re only 3 days into winter…but it’s feeling like a 2016-2017 type of winter to me. We will see where we go from here but it looks to remain active. 

Hard not to get sucked in by his enthusiasm :).  That being said, just seems like all the pieces are in play this late fall/early winter so far.  I'm going to stay positive even though we haven't got much over here yet.

[SnowySeeker50]

Warmed up a bit overnight and cooled down again to freezing so side roads are a bit icy.

[Skagit Weather]

Ended up with 0.3" of precipitation last night which ideally would have translated to 3" of snow. This past week I've measured 0.65" of rain total so it's not like it's been dry up here, there just hasn't been the right mix of precipitation rates and cold temperatures. I've now seen snow on five different days and have nothing to show for it. I can see the snow line on Fidalgo Island this morning and it looks like it was around 3-400'.

Hopefully the next round (if it comes sometime later this month or next) brings snow here.

[TT-SEA]

Used the snowblower on the inch of snow we got last night at the end of the event just because it's fun.   And the sun will now get it to clear pavement.  

[MossMan]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Used the snowblower on the inch of snow we got last night at the end of the event just because it's fun.   And the sun will now get it to clear pavement.  

I still haven’t had enough snow to use my plow.