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PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.


The Blob

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1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

It looks so cool when it snows over there when it is below zero. The snow looks like diamonds falling from the sky. I've had heavy snow there at -5.

We get that sparkly snow here sometimes.  When it does that you know it's real.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Brother I promise you that happiness will return.  After my wife died I truly thought I would never feel happy again, never smile or laugh. It returns. We lost a child 2 months ago and my fiancée is coming around, smiling and feeling better. It takes time but it will get better buddy.

I couldn't imagine not having my wife of 37 years around.  We are two peas in a pod.

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4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Really solid 00z GFS and GEM runs. 

I had a hunch we might be on a good road, but seeing it actually happening (at least for now) is awesome.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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6 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Brother I promise you that happiness will return.  After my wife died I truly thought I would never feel happy again, never smile or laugh. It returns. We lost a child 2 months ago and my fiancée is coming around, smiling and feeling better. It takes time but it will get better buddy.

You've been through so much buddy. I am sorry. I guess focusing on those we still do have with us and finding things we enjoy. Thank you, I appreciate what you've said here and I do hope it comes back. Soon.

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Wow what a run!  It will be interesting to see if this round of new stuff holds in future runs.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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31F and clear with about 0.5” of snow. Winter already looking good!!

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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And yet another cold shot mid month!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Down to 28 here.  Falling a bit slower than I thought it would but still cold.  Bellingham is at 18 and Lytton at zero.  The BC cold factory just keeps giving!

Some real cold in place east of the Cascades now.  The easterly gradients coming up are going to keep us cold.

  • Shivering 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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18 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Brother I promise you that happiness will return.  After my wife died I truly thought I would never feel happy again, never smile or laugh. It returns. We lost a child 2 months ago and my fiancée is coming around, smiling and feeling better. It takes time but it will get better buddy.

You're the kindest person on here my friend. You and your family will be stronger and always keep lifting one another's spirits. Thank you for showing such graciousness and I'm truly heartbroken to see what you've been through, I'm so sorry. Y'all deserve mother nature's snow gifts more than any of us.

  • Like 6

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Down to 28 here.  Falling a bit slower than I thought it would but still cold.  Bellingham is at 18 and Lytton at zero.  The BC cold factory just keeps giving!

Some real cold in place east of the Cascades now.  The easterly gradients coming up are going to keep us cold.

Should be a record low at BLI today. Tomorrow is pretty low-hanging fruit as well at 20.

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Some of the models are still pretty moist for tomorrow's system, which would theoretically bode well for snow in the lowlands. The UKMET, for example, has .6" of QPF in the Seattle area.

qpf_024h.us_nw.png

And yet, almost none of that is considered "snow" by the model. Part of it is surface temps slightly above freezing. But I was also looking at the WRF-GFS, and there is a distinct warm-nose up the valley.

slp.30.0000.gif

I haven't seem temps discussed much regarding tomorrow's system, but some of the models with higher QPF are not outputting snow, and I wonder if temps are more marginal than we would assume with the current airmass.

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4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Map looks pretty light for hour 384 smh

382AC732-532E-4843-81C6-EFB107779644.jpeg

Maybe it's slowly learning with AI that the Cascades do, in fact, exist.

In all seriousness, is the new gfs actually now the "production" GFS we see on the regular sites?  Maybe that explains the puny totals? Lol.

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1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said:

Pretty clear at this point that the default/background state for this winter is not going to be warm. There was a point where a warmup / switch to SW flow was forecast in late November and it pretty much fell apart. Reminds me of the multiple warmups forecast through April/May that ended up being one or two days before it went right back to cold.

It’s December 1st.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

I assume schools will be closed here tomorrow because there is snow on the ground.   😀

The Snoqualmie Valley school district goes through the same routine every year.   Early in the season they are shut down happy.    Then by later in the season they stay open through everything because they have run out of snow days.   I remember driving my kids to school in a blizzard one year... 40 mph wind whipping snow around and roads snow covered but the district was worried about going to school until almost July.  

Seattle schools already go till after the 4th of July this school year because of the teachers strike. 

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