SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Trough next Friday is pretty chilly on the GFS.... GEM too. 4 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 That's a messy system next weekend on the GFS. If that were to trend a bit further south it could be a lot more than a Gorge snow event. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 By next Sunday an atmospheric river event in W. Oregon. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: By next Sunday an atmospheric river event in W. Oregon. The pattern overall is very active which is a good thing. Could be seeing something similar to the winter of 2016-2017 where it was active the entire winter. Bodes well for all kinds of fun. Still early but I’m sensing things are gonna be very active with lots of storms, big rain events and snow events. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BurienSnowGlobe Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: By next Sunday an atmospheric river event in W. Oregon. Yeah, it does kind of feel like we are due for some wet SW flow at some point this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 27 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Checking obs around my cabin and there were a -13 -14 reading. Just by past history it was probably around -20 up there. 2 feet of snow on the ground. How much higher are you than the surrounding valleys? I would have assumed you'd be a tad warmer if you have any relative elevation at all. Our place in Twisp is about 800ft above Twisp proper and was 4F vs -14F down in the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Pretty nice looking Arctic air precursor pattern setting up on the long range 12z GFS. 6 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Everleigh said: It's so tempting to just keep the kids home today. But, high school. AP classes. Honors classes. Sometimes I miss the easier elementary school days...... Tried to convince the little sis who I drive to UWT for her morning class to just skip for today cause I don’t wanna risk anything with black ice. It’s college, no one cares if you go or not. 1 2 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Look at this bad boy Tim. Ordered for my cabin. It's huge!! Has hand warmers and fuel injection 6 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 GEM looks a lot like the GFS last night. GFS shifted a hair north. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 18 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: 50 years old today!!! CRAP Haha I turn 40 tomorrow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 This looks familiar…. 6 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: How much higher are you than the surrounding valleys? I would have assumed you'd be a tad warmer if you have any relative elevation at all. Our place in Twisp is about 800ft above Twisp proper and was 4F vs -14F down in the valley. I'm at 3800ft but it's just a cold area. The local valley below my cabin is even colder. I have seen -10 at cabin and -25 in the little valley which is still 2500ft. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 That would be fun. 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 The snow intensity looks crazy 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Picking up at home. 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: This looks familiar…. Wow! Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: That would be fun. PDX area gets precip almost constantly from hr 150-270 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Could be a pretty fun and active winter. (Except for January) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: The snow intensity looks crazy lol! just realized the second map is a 24h total. oh gfs... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Good morning Omak from my motel room. Up to 4 degrees! It’s over. 7 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Good morning Omak from my motel room. Up to 4 degrees! It’s over. Been driving to my cabin for ten years and thats the most snow i have ever seen in omak. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Good morning Omak from my motel room. Up to 4 degrees! It’s over. Whoever left that car there... its buried! 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Good morning Omak from my motel room. Up to 4 degrees! It’s over. Go into North 40 store while you are there. My favorite store in the world. They have everything!!! It's right there about 1/2 mile from you 2 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 32 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: The pattern overall is very active which is a good thing. Could be seeing something similar to the winter of 2016-2017 where it was active the entire winter. Bodes well for all kinds of fun. Still early but I’m sensing things are gonna be very active with lots of storms, big rain events and snow events. I agree. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Yeah another great chilly trough after that AR event. Freshen up that snow pack. At the end of the run there is a ton of cold air building in NW Canada too. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 48 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Based on the euro vs gfs for 925mb temps later today…I’m thinking the main event today will likely be this morning. Some more precip moving in from the SW right now so more snow possible. Could get some tonight but I think this morning May end up more impressive for areas along I-5. I'm pretty skeptical I get anything up here. Looks like I will be in a similar drying slot to Tuesday and when the precipitation gets up here (if it does) most of the models forecast it will be too warm for snow. Which is classic, but if I've missed out three times what's a fourth time? Temperature did get pretty cold here last night early on dropping to 21.5F before popping up to 27F by midnight. Currently a 35/29 spread. Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Been driving to my cabin for ten years and thats the most snow i have ever seen in omak. One of my work contacts that lives here said they just got hit day after day over the last few weeks, sounds like that is pretty unusual for this area. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 At least no split flow in sight just yet!! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 It's over, suns out here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 @Winterdog Pick up any snow this morning? Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 1 minute ago, MossMan said: At least no split flow in sight just yet!! January. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 Pretty epic event on the 12z. Not that that would actually happen, but it does seem like before the 15th would be the some of the last windows for snow in December. 1 My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 The action looks like it really ramps up between 6pm and 6am. With 10pm-4am the heaviest. 4 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yellowstone Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, gusky said: Pretty epic event on the 12z. Not that that would actually happen, but it does seem like before the 15th would be the some of the last windows for snow in December. Only 18 inches for me in 24 hours. Throw it out! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 47 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Look at this bad boy Tim. Ordered for my cabin. It's huge!! Has hand warmers and fuel injection I've used an Ariens before at my job. Turning is so easy, you just apply a little more pressure to one of the handles and it turns effortlessly. And I do like how it's so much easier to turn the chute from side to side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, gusky said: Pretty epic event on the 12z. Not that that would actually happen, but it does seem like before the 15th would be the some of the last windows for snow in December. I'm actually a bit perplexed w/ this comment because how can we say "seems like the 15th would be last window for snow in December" when the run ends on the 18th? What's the rationality here? 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 27 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Been driving to my cabin for ten years and thats the most snow i have ever seen in omak. They had that really big snow on November 6th, and it hasn't warmed up since. And of course there has been some snow since then. A base of about 18 inches at my house, and a bit more by the fish hatchery and the cross country ski trails there. Altogether we have 3 areas of cross country ski trails in town. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 2, 2022 Report Share Posted December 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Cloud said: I'm actually a bit perplexed w/ this comment because how can we say "seems like the 15th would be last window for snow in December" when the run ends on the 18th? What's the rationality here? Santa is coming. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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