SnowWillarrive Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, KingstonWX said: People who live in your area can't complain about not getting snow. There's like 57,945 examples of times when you got snow measured in feet when the people closer to the sound had to deal with cold rain. Those are the rules, I don't make them. For once I want to see Mossman get 1 inch while every other location gets 3 feet #resilience Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 One thing about this regime we are in is it presents a number of different scenarios capable of producing snow. Eventually everyone should get in on something good. 3 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just now, SnowWillarrive said: For once I want to see Mossman get 1 inch while every other location gets 3 feet #resilience True rebellion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanNyberg Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Lightly snowing in Issaquah, been 31 since this afternoon. 1 -------------------- Sean Nyberg IG: @SeanNyberg X: @SeanNyberg Facebook: Sean Nyberg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, T-Town said: Still mostly liquid here. Down to 35 though. Been all snow for a little bit here but it’s not sticking. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: For once I want to see Mossman get 1 inch while every other location gets 3 feet #resilience We actually got more than him earlier in the week. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice_is_Everywhere Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, BurienSnowGlobe said: Dumping rain here at home in Central District. Our manager at the pizza shop called and said it was dumping snow in Burien so we shut down delivery. Any reports over there of sticking snow or did they just want to go home? It’s sticking here, a little north, but roads are mostly wet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 23 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: The low level airmass in the Basin in early January 2016 was definitely colder. On the other hand, the window for snowfall with that was really pretty minor due to the rapid WAA aloft and we basically just cashed in with that first solid band. Sunday appears to at least have a longer window for snow with a steady supply of offshore flow throughout the lower levels throughout the duration and with no real WAA aloft. I really think it will mostly just come down to precip rates, especially since there is that little warm layer aloft prior to the onset and it will take a little bit to get the whole column back below freezing. I think 31-32 is our best case scenario with it, maybe closer to 33 over at subtropical PDX. Not much. It's 18/12 currently in Pasco. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: We actually got more than him earlier in the week. Yea. Snow seems to be picking up. Now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, KingstonWX said: People who live in your area can't complain about not getting snow. There's like 57,945 examples of times when you got snow measured in feet when the people closer to the sound had to deal with cold rain. Those are the rules, I don't make them. Yes I can remember many many arctic air on shore flow deals that people in the cascade foothills get slammed and us over here on kitsap in the rain shadow get nothing. ZERO. 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: I think you're looking too much at current obs and not what they will be on Sunday. The source air mass in 2016 was not colder than this one. It was 24 degrees here when snow began on 1/3/16. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Oly is all rain. Has been since early evening. lame 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Fully snowing here now finally. Let's see what we can make happen. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Been all snow for a little bit here but it’s not sticking. Going to be tough. My street accumulation is actually starting to melt. Only 32 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Yes I can remember many many arctic air on shore flow deals that people in the cascade foothills get slammed and us over here on kitsap in the rain shadow get nothing. ZERO. Yep, definitely seems more common than not, though you guys are in a similar position. You guys get tons of snow when no one else in the entire region outside of the mountains does. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 This has been really fun to track. Had no high expectations for this going in and still don’t…but all the uncertainty and microclimates are all in play. Very cool night on the forum to see all these places snowing or changing over in this very marginal event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: Yea. Snow seems to be picking up. Now. How much snow does Ravensdale get a year? Probably at least 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just like that it’s mostly snow here. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 I may someday sell my house and move to the hills outside of Shelton for the snow and Mexican food trucks. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: It was 24 degrees here when snow began on 1/3/16. PDX was 32/28 that day. Not hard to imagine them being in the upper 20s as precip begins Sunday. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: Going to be tough. My street accumulation is actually starting to melt. Only 32 degrees The majority of our snow the past few days has been 32-34 degrees and mostly only sticking on elevated surfaces and not so much on the roads. Only time it really accumulated on the roads was briefly during some heavy snow this morning when it was 31. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 The GFS shows precip picking up substantially for the East Puget Sound Lowlands a bit later in the evening. Still some potential. 9 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, KingstonWX said: People who live in your area can't complain about not getting snow. There's like 57,945 examples of times when you got snow measured in feet when the people closer to the sound had to deal with cold rain. Those are the rules, I don't make them. Thanks for putting me in my place. I truly am a disgrace to the human race. I guess I have forgotten those times I have measured my snow in feet. Thanks for the reminder, I’ll be a better person for it. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 28 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said: Any thoughts on this not so believable looking mechanism driving the precip on Sunday? The low is far away and looks fairly anemic. Seems a bit hard to believe you can get a widespread area of 0.4+ in QPF seemingly out of nothing. From a distance, the circulation is similar to a summertime thunderstorm pattern with quite a bit of deep divergence, slowly lowering heights and the weak frontogenesis near the gorge. I don’t think the low position is a big factor. 4 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 58 minutes ago, HoodCanalBridge said: It's interesting. We had snow this morning at work - in Kingston - and no snow at home. But these hood canal events seem to be favorable for my neighborhood. I grew up and bought my first house in Kingston, and the microclimates just in North Kitsap are crazy! Include Central Kitsap in there. Silverdale to Seabeck is less than 8 miles. You can go from a mild beach to a foot of snow in those 8 miles. Then there is @MR.SNOWMIZER's neighborhood. Snowmageddon. Kitsap is super varied. I one time drove less than a mile on HWY 3 coming up from the auto center and the temp dropped 10 degrees and the rain changed to full snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Front Ranger said: PDX was 32/28 that day. Not hard to imagine them being in the upper 20s as precip begins Sunday. That…. will not happen. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Not much. It's 18/12 currently in Pasco. It's trying, but the 2016 cold pool got very well rooted and firmly established throughout the entire Basin rather than just the northern half. Pasco was 22/12 on 1/2/2016, Pendleton was 21/17, and The Dalles was 27/24. Granted, the WA stuff will bleed south and westwards over the next 36 hours so I do think it should be sufficient by Sunday morning to feed the Portland area with appropriately deep outflow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just now, Deweydog said: That…. will not happen. Ok May not, but I bet the forecast for 1/3/16 didn't show that either. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Winterdog said: Thanks for putting me in my place. I truly am a disgrace to the human race. I guess I have forgotten those times I have measured my snow in feet. Thanks for the reminder, I’ll be a better person for it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Randyc321 said: Include Central Kitsap in there. Silverdale to Seabeck is less than 8 miles. You can go from a mild beach to a foot of snow in those 8 miles. Then there is @MR.SNOWMIZER's neighborhood. Snowmageddon. Kitsap is super varied. I one time drove less than a mile on HWY 3 coming up from the auto center and the temp dropped 10 degrees and the rain changed to full snow. Tbh, that's just part of the fun. I love it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just now, BLI snowman said: It's trying, but the 2016 cold pool got very well rooted and firmly established throughout the entire Basin rather than just the northern half. Pasco was 22/12 on 1/2/2016, Pendleton was 21/17, and The Dalles was 27/24. Granted, the WA stuff will bleed south and westwards over the next 36 hours so I do think it should be sufficient by Sunday morning to feed the Portland area with appropriately deep outflow. More importantly, the cold pool in the valley itself was very well established. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, KingstonWX said: Yep, definitely seems more common than not, though you guys are in a similar position. You guys get tons of snow when no one else in the entire region outside of the mountains does. The thing that sucks out here is a bunch of our snow ends with rain. I wish we got more going into cold air. That's why this is a special event because even though we don't have arctic air we are not going into a warm wet pattern. We will have snow on the ground maybe till Christmas now. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatheringLoyalHeights Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Love watching this transition in real time. Heavy drops and splats to near silence. More snow than rain here, and our forecast also went from all rain to 3”+. Just needs to drop a degree or two. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: It's trying, but the 2016 cold pool got very well rooted and firmly established throughout the entire Basin rather than just the northern half. Pasco was 22/12 on 1/2/2016, Pendleton was 21/17, and The Dalles was 27/24. Granted, the WA stuff will bleed south and westwards over the next 36 hours so I do think it should be sufficient by Sunday morning to feed the Portland area with appropriately deep outflow. Yeah, temps tomorrow in the basin should be telling. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skywatcher Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 East wind is really picking up here, temp has dropped down to 35 now as the dew point rises. Definitely getting some flurries now, pretty light stuff though 1 Shred it! Greater Maple Valley area @ ~550' AGL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: How much snow does Ravensdale get a year? Probably at least 20 Well last Christmas season we had probably 20 inches over the course of a week. I’m not exactly sure what our seasonal average is. We can do pretty decent though at times. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 32 degrees, snow is sticking for now, still somewhat small flakeage. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just now, SnowWillarrive said: Well last Christmas season we had probably 20 inches over the course of a week. I’m not exactly sure what our seasonal average is. We can do pretty decent though at times. How much did you have in February 2019? 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Yeah, temps tomorrow in the basin should be telling. Hoping for an overperformance of the cold pool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: More importantly, the cold pool in the valley itself was very well established. With deep offshore flow, I'm not sure how much that matters? A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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