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PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.


The Blob

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1 minute ago, BurienSnowGlobe said:

No green on the radar over Seattle now, and all the reports seem to verify. Something changed quickly

If you look at the region wide UW radar loop you can see a burst of heavier precip moving through from Seattle down to Tacoma and Puyallup.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just drove from Everett to Downtown Seattle.

It snowed the entire way and was sticking on the trees along I-5 all the way through downtown but isn’t sticking at sea level near the stadiums. Sticking snow level must be literally like 50-100 feet right now.

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Slipped and fell on my a** trying to pull my finance’s car into the garage. Heavy snow rn 

Almost did that 15 minutes ago walking down my wood stairs to get the mail. I got so lucky!  Hope your alright…..those type of slips hurt bad! 

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7 minutes ago, Requiem said:

I'm *hoping* this means the GFS is more on the money regarding Sunday for down here, but at the same time I know that's not how it works...

00z GFS thinks PDX will be 32F with a dp of 19F with east winds gusting to ~20 mph at 5 AM Sunday right as precip is arriving. As nice as that would be, the GFS will almost certainly bust on the temps. Just need it to be mostly right on the precip. It can be a decent bit warmer than what the GFS currently shows and still snow.

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

If you look at the region wide UW radar loop you can see a burst of heavier precip moving through from Seattle down to Tacoma and Puyallup.  

Heavy snow rn… might end up with 4-5 inches possibly…… maybe I’m just optimistic 

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4 minutes ago, BurienSnowGlobe said:

Once that goes through you think back to rain for many? Or will it help keep temps down?

No clue.   

If its related to precip intensity then maybe.    This is a technically a warm frontal feature... the ECMWF shows 925 temps rising overnight. 

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t925-1670025600-1670025600-1670112000-20.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I'm totally amazed!  It's actually snowing pretty hard and sticking now.  These situations almost never work out here.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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The temp is down to 32.9 now as the evaporative cooling works its magic.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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25 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

I really hope you get some accumulation tonight. I think your area is one of the few that has done as bad or worse than this area. You're doing better than here so far, in spite of continuous moderate radar returns overhead nothing measurable has reached the ground yet, still 38F with a SE breeze. Tonight seems like the last decent chance around here before the pattern resets and who knows when the next opportunity will come.

Thanks! I hope you pick up something tonight as well! It's not like you've gotten buried by snow and I really appreciate the sentiment. Fortunately it's early in the winter and I'm not too worried about it. If this was happening in February I'm sure I'd be anxious, but for all I know this is only the first of many chances throughout the season.

The good news is it's down to 37F and there are more flakes than drops currently so we're trending in the right direction!

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

How much u got so far?

About a quarter inch, but it just got really heavy.  Actually sticking to the road.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Corbett gusting to 53 

  • Excited 1
  • Windy 1

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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38 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Thinking it will be an outlier like 12z was. I hope so! C'MON EPS!

EPS looks like its trending towards the ECMWF... and don't look at the control run.     

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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This has got to be one of the strangest snow weeks I've ever seen.  Just so many different scenarios in such a short time.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Looking at the traffic cams around Seattle. This looks like it is going pretty darn well up there. Radar looks good too. Seems like potentially hours more of moderate snow up there for some. 

A bit too warm in some parts of the city, should be interesting if the heavier precip coming in the next 1-3 hours helps out with that. 

image.png.d4f603dbc206b6fb7b78185fce09dd05.png

image.png.54c52e20440ee0c748a97ce473da18fd.png

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Just now, TacomaWx said:

We’re in a “lull” in the precip and have been for the last 20 minutes but it’s still coming down hard. Pretty good fetch of precip. 

That is a good sign for Seattle later.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just dumping here now.  East wind really working some magic!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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