Ice_is_Everywhere Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 The back edge of the precipitation is now passing Centralia-Chehalis, per radar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Very weird it switched from heavy snow to rain then back to heavy snow in about 90 seconds. In the last hour it’s been dumping snow but only added up to 0.1” new accumulation since midnight. Probably some melting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Such a strange week, normally we have similar amounts. Yeah definitely different so far this year, I’m just thankful for what I have gotten since Skagit and Winterdog have not been so lucky unfortunately. Really coming down at the moment. Temp stuck at 33.2 but it’s not preventing the snow from adding up. 3 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BurienSnowGlobe Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 What was it that a few people posted the system will move back west or something? Any chance it just stalls over the central sound in some kind of convergence? Don’t totally understand what people were saying 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice_is_Everywhere Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Almost all rain now, either the freezing or normal type. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, BurienSnowGlobe said: What was it that a few people posted the system will move back west or something? Any chance it just stalls over the central sound in some kind of convergence? Don’t totally understand what people were saying They system was moving west towards the puget sound and then quickly retreating offshore back towards the ocean. This is why the foothills were not favored. Favored locations were more west and the hood cancel. Also there was external factors like the east wind, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Evolution of the storm since 10 AM on Thursday 12/1. The final image is from 12:30 AM (30 minutes ago). 7 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ice_is_Everywhere said: Almost all rain now, either the freezing or normal type. How much u get? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Wow just turned to a rain snow mix also at 450 feet in Kentish area. Haven’t had rain since 5pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 00z EPS shows the 00z ECMWF with that nasty ridge and mild SWLY flow Day 8.5-10 was a huge outlier. 12z did the same. Who wants a barfy warm bunch of rain in December? Not me. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skier B Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Heavy wet snow all evening with 1.5" so far. A little extra elevation was key to this working out tonight. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice_is_Everywhere Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: How much u get? Maybe 1, 1.5 inches. A lot of it melted after hitting surfaces. I’m satisfied. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Currently 33 and dumping snow. Tonight I feel like definitely over performed in my location. Snow looks to continue through at least 3am and I’ve probably gotten close to an inch so far and everything including the roads is white again. 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice_is_Everywhere Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Upper atmosphere must be warming up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Radar lighting up over Seattle metro area, particularly over I-5 and I-405 3 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 I can’t even hate on the NWS. Nobody saw this coming. Not even the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Back to snow fyi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 The snow is surprisingly wet considering the temp, but it's coming down hard and I have a little over an inch of new tonight. 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I can’t even hate on the NWS. Nobody saw this coming. Not even the GFS The GFS was getting there on the 0z run. The ICON actually did an excellent job of showing I would have snow here. That model doesn't hand out snow easily. 4 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatheringLoyalHeights Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Dumping snow a few minutes ago. Feel like we are at the point where the remnant bald slushy spots on the pavement will start filling in if it keeps up. Up to about 1.5” on non-pavement. A little discouraged by some of the spots switching back to rain, esp since they are higher elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Pressure Gradients - UPDATE Easterly gradients are tightening up quite a bit now. I just had my first "noisy" gust near west Gresham. Here we go! 1 AM [Gorge/Gap Gradients] PDX-DLS: -7.7mb TTD-DLS: -7.1mb [Cross Cascade Gradients] PDX-YKM: -9.9mb PDX-MWH: -10.8mb PDX-GEG: -10.6mb OTH-GEG: -12.9mb *Legend: PDX = Portland, DLS = The Dalles, TTD = Troutdale, YKM = Yakima, MWH = Moses Lake, GEG = Spokane, OTH = North Bend A -Negative value indicates easterly/northerly flow A +Positive value indicates westerly/onshore flow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BurienSnowGlobe Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Heavy snow to rain to heavy snow to rain right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Switched to all rain here The optimist in me says December is going to be full of snow chances with the promising colder trends but I remember I live in Fife. 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 11 minutes ago, Ice_is_Everywhere said: Upper atmosphere must be warming up. Yes, unfortunately. Here are the current 925mb temps. 0c line bulging northward just into the Tacoma area. Here is the forecast in 4 hours. Now it's lifting northward up through Seattle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said: Switched to all rain here The optimist in me says December is going to be full of snow chances with the promising colder trends but I remember I live in Fife. Yeah it's amazing the difference from south hill to fife/parkland/UP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 8 inches today 13 total. Lots of compacting of the snow. 5 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: 8 inches today 13 total. Lots of compacting of the snow. Wow! That is unreal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCola Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Belltown is ground zero right now. Pucking snow. Rain is totally gone, and we've picked up a good 3/4" on cars and streets are whitening up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2022 said: Yeah it's amazing the difference from south hill to fife/parkland/UP. I hate Fife so much man Granted I’m moving out of the fam’s home when I graduate in a year or so but still. For here, it doesn’t really matter when ensembles say “below average temps”, Fife/Puyallup always needs an actual major cold snap to produce anything. 2008 and 2019 were beyond magical. 1 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisEl Elyon Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, RCola said: Belltown is ground zero right now. Pucking snow. Rain is totally gone, and we've picked up a good 3/4" on cars and streets are whitening up. Here in Belltown Seattle myself off 1st and Vine i don't see much accumulation from my apartment but definitely an inch up hill at Queen Anne. Snowing real hard currently. Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatheringLoyalHeights Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Just incredible! IMG_3457.MOV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 06z NAM and RGEM were big step backs in terms of QPF for Sunday. Quite a crazy run to run fluctuation for something so short term. The 06z GFS is just doubling down on the same solution. Pretty ridiculous and very unlikely to verify. The run to run consistency of insisting on a bullseye over PDX is remarkable however. For something that is 30 hours out, there is a ton of uncertainty in this forecast. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCola Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, ChrisAmunRA said: Here in Belltown Seattle myself off 1st and Vine i don't see much accumulation from my apartment but definitely an inch up hill at Queen Anne. Snowing real hard currently. Nice, I'm on the other side of the needle from you. I'm just using the amount of snow on parked cars for reference. On the actual street, it's just a dusting, although probably a bit more now with the heavy snow we have going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisEl Elyon Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, RCola said: Nice, I'm on the other side of the needle from you. I'm just using the amount of snow on parked cars for reference. On the actual street, it's just a dusting, although probably a bit more now with the heavy snow we have going. About 2 inches in Capitol Hill and an inch Beacon Hill, down by water so far noting but starting to whiten up. 2 Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said: 06z NAM and RGEM were big step backs in terms of QPF for Sunday. Quite a crazy run to run fluctuation for something so short term. The 06z GFS is just doubling down on the same solution. Pretty ridiculous and very unlikely to verify. The run to run consistency of insisting on a bullseye over PDX is remarkable however. For something that is 30 hours out, there is a ton of uncertainty in this forecast. 06Z NAM 3K to be fair actually was a bit improved in showing consistent precip over the metro area-- but yeah, RGEM was a step back. To be fair, things haven't been very consistent w that model-- it's surprising how insistent the GFS is on this solution. 3 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCola Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, ChrisAmunRA said: About 2 inches in Capitol Hill and an inch Beacon Hill, down by water so far noting but starting to whiten up. Makes sense with elevation. I don't envy folks trying to park up any hills in Seattle tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Switching between sleet and snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Requiem said: 06Z NAM 3K to be fair actually was a bit improved in showing consistent precip over the metro area-- but yeah, RGEM was a step back. To be fair, things haven't been very consistent w that model-- it's surprising how insistent the GFS is on this solution. That's fair, I did notice the 3km was better. The GFS is pretty much calling for 1/10/17 version 2. This is the new upgraded GFS I believe. It will either look like a genius or a total joke after this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Switching between sleet and snow Nothing but snow here and just had a real blast of it come through. Really white out there now. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 3, 2022 Report Share Posted December 3, 2022 Feel asleep... my UW son called me and woke me up to ask about the snow. I see the burst between 1-2 is happening in Seattle just like the ECMWF showed. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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