Snownerd3000 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: It’s coming!!!! 2 1 3 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Woah! What's this? Forecast accident involving a dry ice truck near the sensor at JBLM. 1 1 5 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 12Z ECMWF for the Saturday system... 1 1 1 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 925mb temp loop from Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon... you can clearly see the cold air hanging on much longer in the Hood Canal area and Vancouver Island. 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF for the Saturday system... Figures. I’m in that little white area ne of Everett 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 For those tracking the Seahawks game on Sunday... 12Z ECMWF shows a totally dry and partly sunny day with temps in the mid 40s in Seattle. Crisis averted for the NFL. 1 1 3 1 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 26 minutes ago, Deweydog said: This was the 2005 pattern at its most favorable, right before it committed suicide. D**n. RIP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Winterdog said: Figures. I’m in that little white area ne of Everett You miss out on the skiff of slush that Mossman and I get before it transitions to rain. Own your L. 1 3 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 13 minutes ago, MossMan said: It’s coming!!!! I am getting a sense that something big is coming later this month... just soooooo much blocking. It would be awesome if it lined with Christmas again like last year. Or maybe before and then we all have a cold, white Christmas. 5 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: I am getting a sense that something big is coming later this month... just soooooo much blocking. It would be awesome if it lined with Christmas again like last year. Or maybe before and then we all have a cold, white Christmas. That would be perfection! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I am getting a sense that something big is coming later this month... just soooooo much blocking. It would be awesome if it lined with Christmas again like last year. Or maybe before and then we all have a cold, white Christmas. Pls no winter weather on christmas day. The amount of old folks that have to drive around to see families, etc.Recipe for disaster. And you know those crazy arseholes wont stay home!! 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: For those tracking the Seahawks game on Sunday... 12Z ECMWF shows a totally dry and partly sunny day with temps in the mid 40s in Seattle. Crisis averted for the NFL. dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Shows the cold pool/high pressure east of the mountains developing from 1020 to 1039 in short order. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I am getting a sense that something big is coming later this month... just soooooo much blocking. It would be awesome if it lined with Christmas again like last year. Or maybe before and then we all have a cold, white Christmas. A blizzard on the 21st. And then 10 days of sunny cold weather. Make it happen. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 7 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Pls no winter weather on christmas day. The amount of old folks that have to drive around to see families, etc.Recipe for disaster. And you know those crazy arseholes wont stay home!! Sounds like a personal problem to me. 2 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Interesting to see how Friday night play's out. FWIW the euro was way off on the hood canal totals last 2 events. 3 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Pls no winter weather on christmas day. The amount of old folks that have to drive around to see families, etc.Recipe for disaster. And you know those crazy arseholes wont stay home!! I worked at a large retirement community (independent living to assisted living to nursing) from 2006 to 2013…We saw quite a few large snow/cold events during that time…The residents would NOT change their routines for anything…Yeah let’s take our afternoon walk while trees and massive branches were falling from the sky during the massive wet snow event of November 2006, or let’s take our normal drive to QFC in the thick of December 2008, or walk across the downed power lines in November 2010…Seniors are nuts but we will all be like that someday! 3 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Bowling balls in a sea of red... apparently zonal flow does not exist any more. 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, MossMan said: I worked at a large retirement community (independent living to assisted living to nursing) from 2006 to 2013…We saw quite a few large snow/cold events during that time…The residents would NOT change their routines for anything…Yeah let’s take our afternoon walk while trees and massive branches were falling from the sky during the massive wet snow event of November 2006, or let’s take our normal drive to QFC in the thick of December 2008, or walk across the downed power lines in November 2010…Seniors are nuts but we will all be like that someday! Something else for me to add to the list of things to promise to myself not to do when I reach that age. (I don’t think it will be a struggle. I was a lot more uptight about trying to force things to happen on schedule when I was younger. I have learned through experience that in the long run, it typically doesn’t matter as much as it appeared at the time.) 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, TT-SEA said: I am getting a sense that something big is coming later this month... just soooooo much blocking. It would be awesome if it lined with Christmas again like last year. Or maybe before and then we all have a cold, white Christmas. My son, who is 6, associates Christmas with snow already at this point. I had to explain to him that it isn't normally like this that we snow/snow chances so close to Christmas. Been a good stretch recently though. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 9 minutes ago, MossMan said: I worked at a large retirement community (independent living to assisted living to nursing) from 2006 to 2013…We saw quite a few large snow/cold events during that time…The residents would NOT change their routines for anything…Yeah let’s take our afternoon walk while trees and massive branches were falling from the sky during the massive wet snow event of November 2006, or let’s take our normal drive to QFC in the thick of December 2008, or walk across the downed power lines in November 2010…Seniors are nuts but we will all be like that someday! Some of us are already there you little whippersnapper! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Kayla Posted December 7, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just looked at the 12z GFS. One word. Brutal. 1 11 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 The pattern next week on the ECMWF is spectacular for preserving snow cover. Sunny days and cold nights with very low dewpoints. I probably won't have much left to preserve here, but after Sunday whatever is left is not going anywhere. It will be awesome for the Hood Canal and Vancouver Island areas that get heavy snow on Friday night and Saturday morning. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, Kayla said: Just looked at the 12z GFS. One word. Brutal. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 9 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: My son, who is 6, associates Christmas with snow already at this point. I had to explain to him that it isn't normally like this that we snow/snow chances so close to Christmas. Been a good stretch recently though. Yeah when I was a kid the only White Christmas (with snow falling Christmas morning) was 1990 when I was 14! There might have been one when I was really young but I don’t remember much before the early 80’s. Seems to be happening a little more frequently lately! 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Bowling balls in a sea of red... apparently zonal flow does not exist any more. To the degree that jet stream strength is related to temperature contrasts, Arctic amplification should probably cause a weaker jet on average. Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 That was an unreal GFS run! 2 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The pattern next week on the ECMWF is spectacular for preserving snow cover. Sunny days and cold nights with very low dewpoints. I probably won't have much left to preserve here, but after Sunday whatever is left is not going anywhere. It will be awesome for the Hood Canal and Vancouver Island areas that get heavy snow on Friday night and Saturday morning. Unless a last minute miracle happens I will have bare ground for next week. That really bites. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, MossMan said: Yeah when I was a kid the only White Christmas (with snow falling Christmas morning) was 1990 when I was 14! There might have been one when I was really young but I don’t remember much before the early 80’s. Seems to be happening a little more frequently lately! I lived in cold-winter climates from age 4 onwards, and did not have a white Christmas until my college years. But that one was a doozy, 18". By contrast, in the most recent 25 years of my life, I have seen a white Christmas four times (2007, 2008, 2017, 2021), despite living in statistically much less snowy climates. 3 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Cold but bare ground…A sad reality for many of us next week. 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That was an unreal GFS run! They all are 1 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just a lovely day here... 6 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The pattern next week on the ECMWF is spectacular for preserving snow cover. Sunny days and cold nights with very low dewpoints. I probably won't have much left to preserve here, but after Sunday whatever is left is not going anywhere. It will be awesome for the Hood Canal and Vancouver Island areas that get heavy snow on Friday night and Saturday morning. If it snows here this weekend it will probably last till Christmas. There’s a dense 7” on the ground already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Just a lovely day here... Nice! Grass is starting to poke out of my snow now. At least it's still pristine white and not roadway brown 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsktkr Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 29 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Bowling balls in a sea of red... apparently zonal flow does not exist any more. Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 34 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Interesting to see how Friday night play's out. FWIW the euro was way off on the hood canal totals last 2 events. How much snow have you received out your way so far this season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Comparing the GFS to the Euro, they aren't really too dissimilar as far as setups and look goes, its just the level of cold air available. GFS obviously shows much colder air on tap. Will be fun to watch this unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 19 minutes ago, Kayla said: Just looked at the 12z GFS. One word. Brutal. Have no fear. Cliff just posted this "loss of forecast skill over time" chart yesterday. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, rsktkr said: Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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